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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Oppdatert: March 15, 2026 at 15:11 UTC
▲ +0.32%TA Nøytral · Focus Makro + teknisk

Prognosesammendrag

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TidsrammeForventet prisForbiHistoriskInnsikt
I morgen158.4424 ▼ -0.80%I går159.2060 ▲ +0.32%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Uke156.6968 ▼ -1.89%Forrige uke157.5340 ▲ +1.39%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Måned154.9537 ▼ -2.98%Siste måned152.8210 ▲ +4.51%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
År153.8993 ▼ -3.64%I fjor147.9490 ▲ +7.96%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 år153.6875 ▼ -3.78%5 år siden109.1340 ▲ +46.35%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
I morgen158.4424▼ -0.80%
I går159.2060▲ +0.32%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Uke156.6968▼ -1.89%
Forrige uke157.5340▲ +1.39%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Måned154.9537▼ -2.98%
Siste måned152.8210▲ +4.51%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
År153.8993▼ -3.64%
I fjor147.9490▲ +7.96%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 år153.6875▼ -3.78%
5 år siden109.1340▲ +46.35%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Prisdiagram

HistoriskPrognoseBullishBearish
160.3437158.9055157.4673156.0290154.59081W AgoNow7D F

Teknisk analyse

SelgeNøytralKjøpe
Bullish
4
Bullish
1
Nøytral
0
Bearish

Nøkkelindikatorer

IndikatorVerdiSignal
RSI 1486.3 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 50157.7588 Above
SMA 200150.7174 Above
EMA 20148.5918 Above

Historiske data

Open159.2060
Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.7200 – 159.7200
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.7200
24h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.7200
Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.7200
Max Supplyn/a
Open159.2060Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.7200 – 159.7200Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.720024h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.7200Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.7200Max Supplyn/a

Støtte og motstandsnivåer

161.6194R3 — major ceiling
161.0496R2 — swing resistance
160.4798R1 — near-term resistance
159.7200Gjeldende prisUSD
152.7010S1 — near-term supportSupport
152.2780S2 — structure support
146.6090S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 160.4798; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 152.7010; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.50% daily realized volatility.

Pris Milepæler

Nøkkelnivåer og historisk kontekst
Recent159.7200Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High159.7200Local High0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low159.7200Local Low0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target154.9537Model 1M-2.98%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target153.8993Model 1Y-3.64%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario153.6875Model 5Y-3.78%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Nøyaktighet i prognosen

Hvordan modellen vår har prestert
83%
Retningsbestemt
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.50% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Algoritmen vår kalibreres på nytt ukentlig ved å bruke den siste prishandlingen, volatilitetsregimet og indikatorsignalene. Nøyaktigheten varierer etter tidsramme - kortsiktig momentum er mer pålitelig enn langsiktige anslag.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investeringsscenarier

Hvis du investerer $1,000 i USD i dag
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Målpris178.8864
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Sannsynlighet32%
Base Case
$970.16
-2.98% from current
Målpris154.9537
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Sannsynlighet40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Målpris146.9424
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Sannsynlighet28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.98% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.50% daily).

Korrelasjonsmatrise

30-dagers rullerende · hvordan USD beveger seg med andre eiendeler
USDUSDTRYUSDARSUSDPKREURCHFUSDKRW
USD1.000.990.990.98-0.980.97
USDTRY0.991.001.001.00-0.990.98
USDARS0.991.001.001.00-0.990.99
USDPKR0.981.001.001.00-0.990.99
EURCHF-0.98-0.99-0.99-0.991.00-0.99
USDKRW0.970.980.990.99-0.991.00

Prognosefaktorer

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.89%
30D drift-2.98%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI86.4 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-2.98%
1Y outlook-3.64%
5Y outlook-3.78%

Ofte stilte spørsmål

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 158.4424 versus the latest reference around 159.7200. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 156.6968, which maps to an expected drift of -1.89% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 154.9537 (-2.98%), while the 1-year target is 153.8993 (-3.64%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6875 with a modeled change of -3.78%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 160.4798, while nearest support is around 152.7010. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 159.7200 to 159.7200. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.