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Morgan Stanley 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +129.39%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Earnings + trend

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日$176.31 +3.01%昨日$168.06 -4.88%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.08%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.08%).
$185.03 +8.11%先週$180.08 -0.99%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$200.54 +17.17%先月$177.53 +11.34%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$193.84 +13.26%去年$137.11 +59.63%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$206.28 +20.53%5年前$76.05 -44.53%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日$176.31 +3.01%
昨日$168.06 -4.88%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.08%).
$185.03 +8.11%
先週$180.08 -0.99%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$200.54 +17.17%
先月$177.53 +11.34%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$193.84 +13.26%
去年$137.11 +59.63%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$206.28 +20.53%
5年前$76.05 -44.53%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
$193.95$187.65$181.34$175.03$168.721W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
2
強気
1
中性
2
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1436.0 Bearish
MACD-1.44 Bearish
SMA 50$180.39 Mid
SMA 200$155.02 Above
EMA 20$78.57 Above

過去のデータ

Open$167.12
Start Date
Day Range$163.59 – $171.49
Market Cap
Monthly Range$168.06 – $191.23
24h Volume
90D Range$151.86 – $191.23
Circulating
52W Range$99.83 – $191.23
Max Supply
Open$167.12Start Date
Day Range$163.59 – $171.49Market Cap
Monthly Range$168.06 – $191.2324h Volume
90D Range$151.86 – $191.23Circulating
52W Range$99.83 – $191.23Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

$187.59R3 — upper range
$181.33R2 — swing high
$176.63R1 — near-term cap
$171.15現在の価格MS
$165.67S1 — short-term supportSupport
$160.97S2 — trend support
$154.71S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $176.63; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $165.67; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 2.08%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent$171.15Current
Current reference level.
90D High$191.23Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$151.86Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
73%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を MS に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,336.42
+33.64% from current
目標価格$228.73
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,132.56
+13.26% from current
目標価格$193.84
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格$150.61
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.08% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · MS が他の資産とどのように移動するか
MS
MS1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 88/100
24H drift+3.01%
7D drift+8.11%
30D drift+17.17%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 25/100
RSI35.5 · Bearish
MACD-1.51 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 68/100
1M outlook+17.17%
1Y outlook+13.26%
5Y outlook+20.53%

よくある質問

Q What is the Morgan Stanley forecast for tomorrow?
Morgan Stanley is projected near $176.31 versus the latest reference around $171.15. That implies a modeled move of +3.01% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Morgan Stanley?
The weekly model points to $185.03, which maps to an expected drift of +8.11% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $200.54 (+17.17%), while the 1-year target is $193.84 (+13.26%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $206.28 with a modeled change of +20.53%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $176.63, while nearest support is around $165.67. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.