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Morgan Stanley Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

更新されました: March 13, 2026 at 11:59 UTC

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• +0.00%TA 中性 · Focus 収益＋動向

予測の概要

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時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	$161.29 ▲ +4.48%	昨日	$160.89 ▼ -4.05%	Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.08%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.08%).
週	$170.46 ▲ +10.42%	先週	$162.55 ▼ -5.03%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月	$182.29 ▲ +18.09%	先月	$177.89 ▼ -13.22%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年	$187.15 ▲ +21.23%	去年	$114.00 ▲ +35.41%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	$201.45 ▲ +30.50%	5年前	$84.34 ▲ +83.03%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明日$161.29▲ +4.48%

昨日$160.89▼ -4.05%

Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.08%).

週$170.46▲ +10.42%

先週$162.55▼ -5.03%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

月$182.29▲ +18.09%

先月$177.89▼ -13.22%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

年$187.15▲ +21.23%

去年$114.00▲ +35.41%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年$201.45▲ +30.50%

5年前$84.34▲ +83.03%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Bullish

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	76.3	Bullish
MACD	0.10	Bullish
SMA 50	$165.31	Mid
SMA 200	$152.01	Above
EMA 20	$152.28	Above

過去のデータ

Open$160.89

Start Date1993-03-01

Day Range$152.80 – $156.25

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$154.37 – $185.10

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$154.37 – $191.23

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$99.83 – $191.23

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$160.89	Start Date	1993-03-01
Day Range	$152.80 – $156.25	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$154.37 – $185.10	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$154.37 – $191.23	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$99.83 – $191.23	Max Supply	n/a

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

$163.07R3 — major ceiling

$160.46R2 — swing resistance

$157.85R1 — near-term resistance

$154.37現在の価格MS

$151.28S1 — near-term supportSupport

$146.65S2 — structure support

$142.02S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $157.85; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $151.28; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.35% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent$154.37Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$156.25Local High+1.22%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$152.80Local Low-1.02%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$182.29Model 1M+18.09%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$187.15Model 1Y+21.23%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$201.45Model 5Y+30.50%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

81%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (2.35% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

84%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

82%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

79%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

74%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±3.9%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を MS に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1304.98

+30.50% from current

目標価格$201.45

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率35%

Base Case

$1180.86

+18.09% from current

目標価格$182.29

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

目標価格$142.02

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率28%

基礎: Scenario engine blends live drift (+18.09% / 30D) and realized volatility (2.35% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · MS が他の資産とどのように移動するか

	MS	TSM	CAT	BAC	INTU	ASML
MS	1.00	0.91	0.86	0.80	0.76	0.76
TSM	0.91	1.00	0.98	0.88	0.72	0.83
CAT	0.86	0.98	1.00	0.92	0.70	0.86
BAC	0.80	0.88	0.92	1.00	0.76	0.67
INTU	0.76	0.72	0.70	0.76	1.00	0.33
ASML	0.76	0.83	0.86	0.67	0.33	1.00

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 96/100

24H drift+4.48%

7D drift+10.42%

30D drift+18.09%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 69/100

RSI75.6 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 73/100

1M outlook+18.09%

1Y outlook+21.23%

5Y outlook+30.50%

よくある質問

Q What is the MS forecast for tomorrow?

MS is projected near $161.29 versus the latest reference around $154.37. That implies a modeled move of +4.48% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for MS?

The weekly model points to $170.46, which maps to an expected drift of +10.42% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $182.29 (+18.09%), while the 1-year target is $187.15 (+21.23%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $201.45 with a modeled change of +30.50%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $157.85, while nearest support is around $151.28. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $152.80 to $156.25. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.