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パラジウム 明日、週、月、5年 の予測

更新されました: 2026年4月28日 21:09 UTC
▼ -1.20%テクニカル分析 中性 · 重点領域 マクロ+テクニカル

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日$1,528.79 +4.11%昨日$1,486.40 -1.20%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~5.34%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~5.34%).
$1,606.64 +9.41%先週$1,531.70 -4.13%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$1,615.88 +10.04%先月$1,390.90 +5.58%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$1,808.28 +23.14%去年$943.40 +55.66%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$1,961.50 +33.57%5年前$2,952.60 -50.26%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日$1,528.79 +4.11%
昨日$1,486.40 -1.20%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~5.34%).
$1,606.64 +9.41%
先週$1,531.70 -4.13%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$1,615.88 +10.04%
先月$1,390.90 +5.58%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$1,808.28 +23.14%
去年$943.40 +55.66%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$1,961.50 +33.57%
5年前$2,952.60 -50.26%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
リスク通知:この予測は情報提供のみを目的としており、財務上のアドバイスではありません。精度はボラティリティ、流動性、マクロイベント、その他の外部要因に依存します。

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
$1,657.17$1,610.00$1,562.84$1,515.67$1,468.50先週7日間

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
中性
1
強気
3
中性
1
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
相対強度指数 (RSI 14)18.3 弱気
移動平均収束発散 (MACD)0.09 強気
単純移動平均 (SMA 50)$1,539.65 ミッド
単純移動平均 (SMA 200)$1,613.87 ミッド
指数移動平均 (EMA 20)$1,756.30 ミッド

過去のデータ

始値$1,486.40
開始日1998-10-01
日範囲$1,434.50 – $1,489.00
時価総額n/a
月次範囲$1,341.30 – $1,614.00
24 時間量n/a
90 日範囲$1,341.30 – $2,169.90
循環n/a
52 週の範囲$876.60 – $2,169.90
最大供給量n/a
始値$1,486.40開始日1998-10-01
日範囲$1,434.50 – $1,489.00時価総額n/a
月次範囲$1,341.30 – $1,614.0024 時間量n/a
90 日範囲$1,341.30 – $2,169.90循環n/a
52 週の範囲$876.60 – $2,169.90最大供給量n/a

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

$2,169.90R3 — major ceiling
$1,842.00R2 — swing resistance
$1,590.40R1 — near-term resistance
$1,468.50現在の価格XPD
$1,439.13S1 — near-term supportSupport
$1,395.08S2 — structure support
$1,351.02S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $1,590.40; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $1,439.13; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.12% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
最近の$1,468.50現在
ライブ市場フィードからの現在の参照レベル。
24時間高$1,489.00ローカルハイ+1.40%
最新の市場セッションで観測されたこの日の最高値。
24時間低$1,434.50ローカルロー-2.32%
最新の市場セッションで観測された日の安値。
30Dターゲット$1,615.88モデル1M+10.04%
予測エンジンの中地平線投影。
1年目標$1,808.28モデル1Y+23.14%
予測エンジンの長期予測。
5Yシナリオ$1,961.50モデル5Y+33.57%
長期サイクルの継続シナリオ。保証されたパスではありません。

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
80%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (3.12% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
83%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
78%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
73%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±5.1%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を XPD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1335.72
+33.57% from current
目標価格$1,961.50
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率35%
Base Case
$1100.36
+10.04% from current
目標価格$1,615.88
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目標価格$1,351.02
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率28%
基礎: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+10.04%) and realized daily volatility (3.12%).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · XPD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
XPD
XPD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 85/100
24H drift+4.11%
7D drift+9.41%
30D drift+10.04%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 23/100
RSI17.6 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 69/100
1M outlook+10.04%
1Y outlook+23.14%
5Y outlook+33.57%

よくある質問

Q What is the Palladium forecast for tomorrow?
Palladium is projected near $1,528.79 versus the latest reference around $1,468.50. That implies a modeled move of +4.11% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Palladium?
The weekly model points to $1,606.64, which maps to an expected drift of +9.41% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $1,615.88 (+10.04%), while the 1-year target is $1,808.28 (+23.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $1,961.50 with a modeled change of +33.57%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $1,590.40, while nearest support is around $1,439.13. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $1,434.50 to $1,489.00. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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