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USD/JPY Ramalan: Besok, Pekan, Bulan, 5 Tahun

Diperbarui: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +0.01%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Ringkasan Prakiraan

Jangka waktuPrediksi HargaMasa laluHistorisWawasan
Besok153.6658 +0.10%Kemarin153.4892 +0.52%Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Pekan153.9824 +0.31%Minggu lalu154.3198 -0.93%The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
Bulan154.2239 +0.47%Bulan Lalu157.7975 +2.03%The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Tahun153.6189 +0.07%Tahun Lalu143.4900 -0.90%The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Tahun153.6142 +0.07%5 Tahun Lalu144.8000 +0.91%The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Besok153.6658 +0.10%
Kemarin153.4892 +0.52%
Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Pekan153.9824 +0.31%
Minggu lalu154.3198 -0.93%
The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
Bulan154.2239 +0.47%
Bulan Lalu157.7975 +2.03%
The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Tahun153.6189 +0.07%
Tahun Lalu143.4900 -0.90%
The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Tahun153.6142 +0.07%
5 Tahun Lalu144.8000 +0.91%
The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Bagan Harga

HistorisRamalanBullishKasar
156.0519154.9944153.9369152.8794151.82181W AgoNow7D F

Analisis Teknis

MenjualNetralMembeli
Bearish
2
Bullish
0
Netral
3
Kasar

Indikator Utama

IndikatorNilaiSinyal
RSI 1432.5 Bearish
MACD-2.07 Bearish
SMA 50156.0724 Below
SMA 200152.0104 Above
EMA 20147.4607 Above

Data Historis

Open153.4862
Start Date
Day Range153.4495 – 153.5253
Market Cap
Monthly Range152.7024 – 158.4268
24h Volume
90D Range152.7024 – 159.1224
Circulating
52W Range140.8250 – 159.1224
Max Supply
Open153.4862Start Date
Day Range153.4495 – 153.5253Market Cap
Monthly Range152.7024 – 158.426824h Volume
90D Range152.7024 – 159.1224Circulating
52W Range140.8250 – 159.1224Max Supply

Level Dukungan & Resistensi

157.3787R3 — upper range
155.9042R2 — swing high
154.7983R1 — near-term cap
153.5081Harga Saat IniUSD
152.2179S1 — short-term supportSupport
151.1120S2 — trend support
149.6375S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 154.7983; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 152.2179; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.55%.

Tonggak Harga

Tingkatan kunci & konteks sejarah
Recent153.5081Current
Current reference level.
90D High159.1224Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low152.7024Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Akurasi Perkiraan

Bagaimana kinerja model kami
74%
Terarah
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritme kami dikalibrasi ulang setiap minggu menggunakan aksi harga terbaru, rezim volatilitas, dan sinyal indikator. Akurasi bervariasi berdasarkan jangka waktu — momentum jangka pendek lebih dapat diandalkan dibandingkan proyeksi jangka panjang.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Skenario Investasi

Jika Anda berinvestasi $1,000 di USD hari ini
Bullish Case
$1,180.85
+18.09% from current
Harga Sasaran181.2704
SkenarioBreakout continuation
Kemungkinan25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Harga Sasaran159.6484
SkenarioTrend-following baseline
Kemungkinan50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Harga Sasaran135.0871
SkenarioVolatility drawdown
Kemungkinan25%
Dasar: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 51/100
24H drift+0.10%
7D drift+0.31%
30D drift+0.47%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 25/100
RSI32.5 · Bearish
MACD-2.07 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 50/100
1M outlook+0.47%
1Y outlook+0.07%
5Y outlook+0.07%

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Q What is the USD/JPY (USD) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/JPY is projected near 153.6658 versus the current reference around 153.5081. That implies a modeled move of +0.10% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly USD/JPY model points to 153.9824, which maps to an expected drift of +0.31% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the USD/JPY 1-month and 1-year targets?
The USD/JPY 1-month target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), while the 1-year target is 153.6189 (+0.07%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Q Why does the USD/JPY 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The USD/JPY long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6142 with a modeled change of +0.07%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?
For USD/JPY, nearest resistance is around 154.7983, while nearest support is around 152.2179. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the USD/JPY market snapshot?
The displayed forex pair snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.