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USD/PEN Ramalan: Besok, Pekan, Bulan, 5 Tahun

Diperbarui: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -6.54%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Ringkasan Prakiraan

Jangka waktuPrediksi HargaMasa laluHistorisWawasan
Besok3.3287 -0.53%Kemarin3.3530 -0.03%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Pekan3.2978 -1.45%Minggu lalu3.2922 +0.35%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Bulan3.2229 -3.69%Bulan Lalu3.2953 -2.48%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Tahun3.2623 -2.51%Tahun Lalu3.6830 -2.28%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun3.2159 -3.90%5 Tahun Lalu3.6250 -1.57%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Besok3.3287 -0.53%
Kemarin3.3530 -0.03%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Pekan3.2978 -1.45%
Minggu lalu3.2922 +0.35%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Bulan3.2229 -3.69%
Bulan Lalu3.2953 -2.48%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Tahun3.2623 -2.51%
Tahun Lalu3.6830 -2.28%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun3.2159 -3.90%
5 Tahun Lalu3.6250 -1.57%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Bagan Harga

HistorisRamalanBullishKasar
3.42443.36623.30803.24973.19151W AgoNow7D F

Analisis Teknis

MenjualNetralMembeli
Neutral
2
Bullish
1
Netral
2
Kasar

Indikator Utama

IndikatorNilaiSinyal
RSI 1456.1 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 503.3333 Above
SMA 2003.4480 Below
EMA 203.6467 Below

Data Historis

Open3.3508
Start Date
Day Range3.3452 – 3.3527
Market Cap
Monthly Range3.2614 – 3.3650
24h Volume
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4200
Circulating
52W Range3.2614 – 3.7610
Max Supply
Open3.3508Start Date
Day Range3.3452 – 3.3527Market Cap
Monthly Range3.2614 – 3.365024h Volume
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4200Circulating
52W Range3.2614 – 3.7610Max Supply

Level Dukungan & Resistensi

3.5612R3 — upper range
3.4793R2 — swing high
3.4179R1 — near-term cap
3.3463Harga Saat IniUSD
3.2747S1 — short-term supportSupport
3.2133S2 — trend support
3.1314S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 3.4179; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 3.2747; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 1.39%.

Tonggak Harga

Tingkatan kunci & konteks sejarah
Recent3.3463Current
Current reference level.
90D High3.4200Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low3.2614Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Akurasi Perkiraan

Bagaimana kinerja model kami
73%
Terarah
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritme kami dikalibrasi ulang setiap minggu menggunakan aksi harga terbaru, rezim volatilitas, dan sinyal indikator. Akurasi bervariasi berdasarkan jangka waktu — momentum jangka pendek lebih dapat diandalkan dibandingkan proyeksi jangka panjang.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Skenario Investasi

Jika Anda berinvestasi $1,000 di USD hari ini
Bullish Case
$1,150.39
+15.04% from current
Harga Sasaran3.8495
SkenarioBreakout continuation
Kemungkinan25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Harga Sasaran3.4802
SkenarioTrend-following baseline
Kemungkinan50%
Bearish Case
$866.81
-13.32% from current
Harga Sasaran2.9006
SkenarioVolatility drawdown
Kemungkinan25%
Dasar: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.06% / 30D) and volatility regime (1.39% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Pengguliran 30 hari · bagaimana USD bergerak dengan aset lainnya
USD
USD1.00

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 43/100
24H drift-0.53%
7D drift-1.45%
30D drift-3.69%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI56.2 · Neutral
MACD-0.02 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-3.69%
1Y outlook-2.51%
5Y outlook-3.90%

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Q What is the USD/PEN forecast for tomorrow?
USD/PEN is projected near 3.3287 versus the latest reference around 3.3463. That implies a modeled move of -0.53% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/PEN?
The weekly model points to 3.2978, which maps to an expected drift of -1.45% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.2229 (-3.69%), while the 1-year target is 3.2623 (-2.51%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2159 with a modeled change of -3.90%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.4179, while nearest support is around 3.2747. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.