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US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Diperbarui: March 13, 2026 at 10:46 UTC
• -0.00%TA Netral · Focus Tarif + makro

Ringkasan Prakiraan

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Jangka waktuPrediksi HargaMasa laluHistorisWawasan
Besok4.827% -1.19%Kemarin4.857% +0.58%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Pekan4.779% -2.16%Minggu lalu4.752% +2.80%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Bulan4.844% -0.83%Bulan Lalu4.788% +2.03%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Tahun4.770% -2.34%Tahun Lalu4.633% +5.44%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun4.793% -1.88%5 Tahun Lalu2.402% +103.37%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Besok4.827% -1.19%
Kemarin4.857% +0.58%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Pekan4.779% -2.16%
Minggu lalu4.752% +2.80%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Bulan4.844% -0.83%
Bulan Lalu4.788% +2.03%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Tahun4.770% -2.34%
Tahun Lalu4.633% +5.44%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun4.793% -1.88%
5 Tahun Lalu2.402% +103.37%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Bagan Harga

HistorisRamalanBullishKasar
4.885%4.842%4.800%4.757%4.715%1W AgoNow7D F

Analisis Teknis

MenjualNetralMembeli
Bullish
4
Bullish
1
Netral
0
Kasar

Indikator Utama

IndikatorNilaiSinyal
RSI 1491.4 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 504.824% Above
SMA 2004.530% Above
EMA 204.409% Above

Data Historis

Open4.857%
Start Date1984-11-01
Day Range4.885% – 4.885%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range4.633% – 4.920%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range4.080% – 5.090%
Max Supplyn/a
Open4.857%Start Date1984-11-01
Day Range4.885% – 4.885%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%24h Volumen/a
90D Range4.633% – 4.920%Circulatingn/a
52W Range4.080% – 5.090%Max Supplyn/a

Level Dukungan & Resistensi

4.972%R3 — major ceiling
4.946%R2 — swing resistance
4.920%R1 — near-term resistance
4.885%Harga Saat IniUS30Y
4.787%S1 — near-term supportSupport
4.641%S2 — structure support
4.494%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 4.920%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 4.787%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.74% daily realized volatility.

Tonggak Harga

Tingkatan kunci & konteks sejarah
Recent4.885%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High4.885%Local High-0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low4.885%Local Low-0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target4.844%Model 1M-0.84%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target4.770%Model 1Y-2.35%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario4.793%Model 5Y-1.88%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Akurasi Perkiraan

Bagaimana kinerja model kami
83%
Terarah
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.74% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Algoritme kami dikalibrasi ulang setiap minggu menggunakan aksi harga terbaru, rezim volatilitas, dan sinyal indikator. Akurasi bervariasi berdasarkan jangka waktu — momentum jangka pendek lebih dapat diandalkan dibandingkan proyeksi jangka panjang.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Skenario Investasi

Jika Anda berinvestasi $1,000 di US30Y hari ini
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Harga Sasaran5.471%
SkenarioBreakout continuation
Kemungkinan32%
Base Case
$991.61
-0.84% from current
Harga Sasaran4.844%
SkenarioTrend-following baseline
Kemungkinan40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Harga Sasaran4.494%
SkenarioVolatility drawdown
Kemungkinan28%
Dasar: Scenario engine blends live drift (-0.83% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.74% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Pengguliran 30 hari · bagaimana US30Y bergerak dengan aset lainnya
US30YUK10YDE10YUS10YUS2Y
US30Y1.00-0.96-0.680.53-0.22
UK10Y-0.961.000.75-0.420.28
DE10Y-0.680.751.000.180.82
US10Y0.53-0.420.181.000.66
US2Y-0.220.280.820.661.00

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 43/100
24H drift-1.19%
7D drift-2.16%
30D drift-0.83%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI91.6 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook-0.83%
1Y outlook-2.34%
5Y outlook-1.88%

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Q What is the US30Y forecast for tomorrow?
US30Y is projected near 4.827% versus the latest reference around 4.885%. That implies a modeled move of -1.19% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US30Y?
The weekly model points to 4.779%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.16% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 4.844% (-0.83%), while the 1-year target is 4.770% (-2.34%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of -1.88%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 4.920%, while nearest support is around 4.787%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 4.885% to 4.885%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.