Rumah » Semua » Prakiraan Obligasi » Germany 10Y Bond Yield Ramalan

Germany 10Y Bond Yield Ramalan: Besok, Pekan, Bulan, 5 Tahun

Diperbarui: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +5.90%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Rates + macro

Ringkasan Prakiraan

Jangka waktuPrediksi HargaMasa laluHistorisWawasan
Besok2.789% ▼ -0.89%Kemarin2.658% ▲ +1.52%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Pekan2.745% ▼ -2.45%Minggu lalu2.563% ▲ +14.95%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Bulan2.664% ▼ -5.34%Bulan Lalu2.376% ▲ +260.60%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Tahun3.152% ▲ +12.00%Tahun Lalu4.600% ▼ -48.48%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun3.490% ▲ +24.00%5 Tahun Lalu8.928% ▲ +94.09%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Besok2.789%▼ -0.89%
Kemarin2.658%▲ +1.52%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Pekan2.745%▼ -2.45%
Minggu lalu2.563%▲ +14.95%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Bulan2.664%▼ -5.34%
Bulan Lalu2.376%▲ +260.60%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Tahun3.152%▲ +12.00%
Tahun Lalu4.600%▼ -48.48%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun3.490%▲ +24.00%
5 Tahun Lalu8.928%▲ +94.09%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Bagan Harga

HistorisRamalanBullishKasar
3.168%2.958%2.748%2.538%2.328%1W AgoNow7D F

Analisis Teknis

MenjualNetralMembeli
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Netral
1
Kasar

Indikator Utama

IndikatorNilaiSinyal
RSI 1467.1 Bullish
MACD0.34 Bullish
SMA 502.028% Above
SMA 2001.227% Above
EMA 208.190% Below

Data Historis

Open2.658%
Start Date
Day Range2.167% – 2.814%
Market Cap
Monthly Range2.102% – 2.823%
24h Volume
90D Range0.011% – 2.823%
Circulating
52W Range0.002% – 4.560%
Max Supply
Open2.658%Start Date
Day Range2.167% – 2.814%Market Cap
Monthly Range2.102% – 2.823%24h Volume
90D Range0.011% – 2.823%Circulating
52W Range0.002% – 4.560%Max Supply

Level Dukungan & Resistensi

3.667%R3 — upper range
3.342%R2 — swing high
3.099%R1 — near-term cap
2.814%Harga Saat IniDE10Y
2.530%S1 — short-term supportSupport
2.286%S2 — trend support
1.961%S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 3.099%; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 2.530%; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 6.56%.

Tonggak Harga

Tingkatan kunci & konteks sejarah
Recent2.814%Current
Current reference level.
90D High2.823%Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low-0.649%Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Akurasi Perkiraan

Bagaimana kinerja model kami
73%
Terarah
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
Algoritme kami dikalibrasi ulang setiap minggu menggunakan aksi harga terbaru, rezim volatilitas, dan sinyal indikator. Akurasi bervariasi berdasarkan jangka waktu — momentum jangka pendek lebih dapat diandalkan dibandingkan proyeksi jangka panjang.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Skenario Investasi

Jika Anda berinvestasi $1,000 di DE10Y hari ini
Bullish Case
$1,321.60
+32.16% from current
Harga Sasaran3.719%
SkenarioBreakout continuation
Kemungkinan25%
Base Case
$1,120.00
+12.00% from current
Harga Sasaran3.152%
SkenarioTrend-following baseline
Kemungkinan50%
Bearish Case
$737.55
-26.24% from current
Harga Sasaran2.076%
SkenarioVolatility drawdown
Kemungkinan25%
Dasar: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.79% / 30D) and volatility regime (6.56% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Pengguliran 30 hari · bagaimana DE10Y bergerak dengan aset lainnya
DE10Y
DE10Y1.00

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 39/100
24H drift-0.89%
7D drift-2.45%
30D drift-5.34%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI67.2 · Bullish
MACD0.36 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook-5.34%
1Y outlook+12.00%
5Y outlook+24.00%

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Q What is the Germany 10Y Bond Yield forecast for tomorrow?
Germany 10Y Bond Yield is projected near 2.789% versus the latest reference around 2.814%. That implies a modeled move of -0.89% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Germany 10Y Bond Yield?
The weekly model points to 2.745%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.45% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 2.664% (-5.34%), while the 1-year target is 3.152% (+12.00%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.490% with a modeled change of +24.00%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.099%, while nearest support is around 2.530%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

Recommended Forecasts

Related ideas for internal navigation, grouped by stronger upside and weaker downside setups in the same market.

Stronger Bullish Ideas

Tomorrow
US 30Y Treasury YieldUS30Y+0.19%4.720%

Weaker Bearish Ideas

Tomorrow
UK 10Y Gilt YieldUK10Y-1.14%4.483%
5 Years
US 2Y Treasury YieldUS2Y-6.02%3.470%US 10Y Treasury YieldUS10Y-1.26%4.090%