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Gold Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Actualizado: March 12, 2026 at 03:49 UTC
▼ -0.28%TA Alcista · Focus Macro+técnico

Resumen de Pronóstico

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PeriodoPrecio PrevistoPasadoHistóricoComentario
Mañana$5,172.86 +0.39%Ayer$5,229.70 -1.47%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.87%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.87%).
Semana$5,408.03 +4.95%Semana Pasada$5,120.20 +0.64%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes$5,744.08 +11.47%Mes Pasado$5,050.90 +2.02%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año$5,878.23 +14.08%Año Pasado$2,912.90 +76.90%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años$6,409.26 +24.38%Hace 5 Años$1,719.50 +199.67%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Mañana$5,172.86 +0.39%
Ayer$5,229.70 -1.47%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.87%).
Semana$5,408.03 +4.95%
Semana Pasada$5,120.20 +0.64%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes$5,744.08 +11.47%
Mes Pasado$5,050.90 +2.02%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año$5,878.23 +14.08%
Año Pasado$2,912.90 +76.90%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años$6,409.26 +24.38%
Hace 5 Años$1,719.50 +199.67%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista
$5,567.59$5,434.84$5,302.09$5,169.34$5,036.591W AgoNow7D F

Análisis Técnico

VenderNeutralComprar
Bullish
3
Alcista
1
Neutral
1
Bajista

Indicadores Clave

IndicadorValorSeñal
RSI 1488.5 Bullish
MACD0.01 Neutral
SMA 50$5,304.61 Below
SMA 200$4,612.33 Above
EMA 20$4,643.32 Above

Datos Históricos

Open$5,229.70
Start Date2000-09-01
Day Range$5,130.00 – $5,189.80
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$4,622.50 – $5,318.40
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$3,947.70 – $5,318.40
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$2,565.70 – $5,318.40
Max Supplyn/a
Open$5,229.70Start Date2000-09-01
Day Range$5,130.00 – $5,189.80Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$4,622.50 – $5,318.4024h Volumen/a
90D Range$3,947.70 – $5,318.40Circulatingn/a
52W Range$2,565.70 – $5,318.40Max Supplyn/a

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

$5,514.77R3 — major ceiling
$5,406.18R2 — swing resistance
$5,297.59R1 — near-term resistance
$5,152.80Precio ActualXAU
$4,847.80S1 — near-term supportSupport
$4,270.50S2 — structure support
$3,658.20S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $5,297.59; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $4,847.80; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.93% daily realized volatility.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico
Recent$5,152.80Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$5,189.80Local High+0.72%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$5,130.00Local Low-0.44%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$5,744.08Model 1M+11.47%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$5,878.23Model 1Y+14.08%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$6,409.26Model 5Y+24.38%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo
81%
Direccional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (2.93% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.
Tomorrow
84%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
74%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±4.8%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en XAU hoy
Bullish Case
$1243.84
+24.38% from current
Precio Objetivo$6,409.26
EscenarioBreakout continuation
Probabilidad35%
Base Case
$1114.75
+11.47% from current
Precio Objetivo$5,744.08
EscenarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidad37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Precio Objetivo$4,740.58
EscenarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidad28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (+11.47% / 30D) and realized volatility (2.93% daily).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo XAU se mueve con otros activos
XAUHGZWZCXAGCT
XAU1.000.98-0.87-0.810.78-0.71
HG0.981.00-0.92-0.870.74-0.75
ZW-0.87-0.921.000.95-0.620.73
ZC-0.81-0.870.951.00-0.580.75
XAG0.780.74-0.62-0.581.00-0.14
CT-0.71-0.750.730.75-0.141.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 71/100
24H drift+0.39%
7D drift+4.95%
30D drift+11.47%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI88.4 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 66/100
1M outlook+11.47%
1Y outlook+14.08%
5Y outlook+24.38%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the XAU forecast for tomorrow?
XAU is projected near $5,172.86 versus the latest reference around $5,152.80. That implies a modeled move of +0.39% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XAU?
The weekly model points to $5,408.03, which maps to an expected drift of +4.95% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $5,744.08 (+11.47%), while the 1-year target is $5,878.23 (+14.08%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $6,409.26 with a modeled change of +24.38%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $5,297.59, while nearest support is around $4,847.80. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $5,130.00 to $5,189.80. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.