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USD/ZAR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualizováno: March 15, 2026 at 15:19 UTC
▲ +0.69%TA Medvědí · Focus Makro + technické

Shrnutí předpovědi

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Časový rámecPředpokládaná cenaMinulostHistorickýVhled
Zítra16.7374 ▼ -0.80%Včera16.7562 ▲ +0.69%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Týden16.5467 ▼ -1.93%Minulý týden16.6228 ▲ +1.50%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc16.4998 ▼ -2.21%Minulý měsíc15.9478 ▲ +5.80%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok15.6899 ▼ -7.01%Loni18.2740 ▼ -7.67%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let15.1962 ▼ -9.93%Před 5 lety14.8548 ▲ +13.58%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Zítra16.7374▼ -0.80%
Včera16.7562▲ +0.69%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Týden16.5467▼ -1.93%
Minulý týden16.6228▲ +1.50%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc16.4998▼ -2.21%
Minulý měsíc15.9478▲ +5.80%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok15.6899▼ -7.01%
Loni18.2740▼ -7.67%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let15.1962▼ -9.93%
Před 5 lety14.8548▲ +13.58%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Cenový graf

HistorickýPředpověďBýčíMedvědí
16.938216.784816.631316.477816.32431W AgoNow7D F

Technická analýza

ProdatNeutrálníNakoupit
Bullish
4
Býčí
1
Neutrální
0
Medvědí

Klíčové indikátory

IndikátorHodnotaSignál
RSI 1461.6 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 5016.6725 Above
SMA 20016.5680 Above
EMA 2016.3744 Above

Historická data

Open16.7562
Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range16.8724 – 16.9403
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range15.8432 – 16.8724
24h Volumen/a
90D Range15.7100 – 17.3648
Circulatingn/a
52W Range14.8604 – 19.7578
Max Supplyn/a
Open16.7562Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range16.8724 – 16.9403Market Capn/a
Monthly Range15.8432 – 16.872424h Volumen/a
90D Range15.7100 – 17.3648Circulatingn/a
52W Range14.8604 – 19.7578Max Supplyn/a

Úrovně podpory a odporu

17.2985R3 — major ceiling
17.1707R2 — swing resistance
17.0428R1 — near-term resistance
16.8724Aktuální cenaUSD
16.5350S1 — near-term supportSupport
16.0288S2 — structure support
15.5226S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 17.0428; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 16.5350; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.05% daily realized volatility.

Cenové milníky

Klíčové úrovně a historický kontext
Recent16.8724Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High16.9403Local High+0.40%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low16.8724Local Low0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target16.4998Model 1M-2.21%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target15.6899Model 1Y-7.01%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario15.1962Model 5Y-9.93%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Přesnost předpovědi

Jak se dařilo našemu modelu
83%
Směrový
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.05% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Náš algoritmus je překalibrován každý týden pomocí nejnovější cenové akce, režimu volatility a signálů indikátorů. Přesnost se liší podle časového rámce – krátkodobá hybnost je spolehlivější než dlouhodobé projekce.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investiční scénáře

Pokud dnes investujete $1,000 do USD
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Cílová cena18.8971
ScénářBreakout continuation
Pravděpodobnost32%
Base Case
$977.92
-2.21% from current
Cílová cena16.4998
ScénářTrend-following baseline
Pravděpodobnost40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Cílová cena15.5226
ScénářVolatility drawdown
Pravděpodobnost28%
Základ: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.21% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.05% daily).

Korelační matice

30denní průběžný · jak se USD pohybuje s ostatními aktivy
USDUSDHUFUSDSEKUSDZARUSDTWDUSDRUB
USD1.000.950.950.940.940.92
USDHUF0.951.001.000.990.950.98
USDSEK0.951.001.000.990.950.99
USDZAR0.940.990.991.000.960.97
USDTWD0.940.950.950.961.000.91
USDRUB0.920.980.990.970.911.00

Předpovědní faktory

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 43/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.93%
30D drift-2.21%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI61.7 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 40/100
1M outlook-2.21%
1Y outlook-7.01%
5Y outlook-9.93%

Často kladené otázky

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 16.7374 versus the latest reference around 16.8724. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 16.5467, which maps to an expected drift of -1.93% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.4998 (-2.21%), while the 1-year target is 15.6899 (-7.01%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.1962 with a modeled change of -9.93%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 17.0428, while nearest support is around 16.5350. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 16.8724 to 16.9403. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.