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USD/ZAR Předpověď: Zítra, Týden, Měsíc, 5 let

Aktualizováno: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +10.64%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Shrnutí předpovědi

Časový rámecPředpokládaná cenaMinulostHistorickýVhled
Zítra16.0518 ▲ +0.51%Včera15.9478 ▲ +0.49%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Týden16.1913 ▲ +1.38%Minulý týden16.0701 ▲ +0.34%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc16.4723 ▲ +3.14%Minulý měsíc16.4965 ▼ -3.97%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok15.4062 ▼ -3.54%Loni18.3190 ▼ -3.74%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let15.0334 ▼ -5.87%Před 5 lety14.5763 ▼ -20.43%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Zítra16.0518▲ +0.51%
Včera15.9478▲ +0.49%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Týden16.1913▲ +1.38%
Minulý týden16.0701▲ +0.34%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc16.4723▲ +3.14%
Minulý měsíc16.4965▼ -3.97%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok15.4062▼ -3.54%
Loni18.3190▼ -3.74%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let15.0334▼ -5.87%
Před 5 lety14.5763▼ -20.43%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Cenový graf

HistorickýPředpověďBýčíMedvědí
16.485016.311716.138415.965215.79191W AgoNow7D F

Technická analýza

ProdatNeutrálníNakoupit
Bearish
1
Býčí
1
Neutrální
3
Medvědí

Klíčové indikátory

IndikátorHodnotaSignál
RSI 1448.9 Neutral
MACD-0.06 Bearish
SMA 5016.3978 Below
SMA 20017.2822 Below
EMA 2014.7542 Above

Historická data

Open15.9333
Start Date
Day Range15.8688 – 15.9965
Market Cap
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.5121
24h Volume
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910
Circulating
52W Range15.7100 – 19.7578
Max Supply
Open15.9333Start Date
Day Range15.8688 – 15.9965Market Cap
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.512124h Volume
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910Circulating
52W Range15.7100 – 19.7578Max Supply

Úrovně podpory a odporu

16.5481R3 — upper range
16.3283R2 — swing high
16.1634R1 — near-term cap
15.9710Aktuální cenaUSD
15.7786S1 — short-term supportSupport
15.6137S2 — trend support
15.3939S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 16.1634; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 15.7786; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.78%.

Cenové milníky

Klíčové úrovně a historický kontext
Recent15.9710Current
Current reference level.
90D High17.4910Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low15.7100Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Přesnost předpovědi

Jak se dařilo našemu modelu
74%
Směrový
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Náš algoritmus je překalibrován každý týden pomocí nejnovější cenové akce, režimu volatility a signálů indikátorů. Přesnost se liší podle časového rámce – krátkodobá hybnost je spolehlivější než dlouhodobé projekce.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investiční scénáře

Pokud dnes investujete $1,000 do USD
Bullish Case
$1,138.27
+13.83% from current
Cílová cena18.1793
ScénářBreakout continuation
Pravděpodobnost25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Cílová cena16.6098
ScénářTrend-following baseline
Pravděpodobnost50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Cílová cena14.0545
ScénářVolatility drawdown
Pravděpodobnost25%
Základ: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.78% daily).

Korelační matice

30denní průběžný · jak se USD pohybuje s ostatními aktivy
USD
USD1.00

Předpovědní faktory

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 57/100
24H drift+0.51%
7D drift+1.38%
30D drift+3.14%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI48.8 · Neutral
MACD-0.07 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook+3.14%
1Y outlook-3.54%
5Y outlook-5.87%

Často kladené otázky

Q What is the USD/ZAR forecast for tomorrow?
USD/ZAR is projected near 16.0518 versus the latest reference around 15.9710. That implies a modeled move of +0.51% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/ZAR?
The weekly model points to 16.1913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.4723 (+3.14%), while the 1-year target is 15.4062 (-3.54%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.0334 with a modeled change of -5.87%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 16.1634, while nearest support is around 15.7786. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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