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CHF/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualizováno: March 15, 2026 at 15:19 UTC
▼ -0.44%TA Býčí · Focus Makro + technické

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Časový rámecPředpokládaná cenaMinulostHistorickýVhled
Zítra201.1056 -0.33%Včera201.7800 +0.00%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Týden203.3653 +0.79%Minulý týden201.7470 +0.02%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc208.2429 +3.20%Minulý měsíc198.5590 +1.62%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok214.7640 +6.43%Loni167.6041 +20.39%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let226.6610 +12.33%Před 5 lety117.6200 +71.55%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Zítra201.1056 -0.33%
Včera201.7800 +0.00%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Týden203.3653 +0.79%
Minulý týden201.7470 +0.02%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc208.2429 +3.20%
Minulý měsíc198.5590 +1.62%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok214.7640 +6.43%
Loni167.6041 +20.39%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let226.6610 +12.33%
Před 5 lety117.6200 +71.55%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Cenový graf

HistorickýPředpověďBýčíMedvědí
206.0985204.2470202.3954200.5439198.69231W AgoNow7D F

Technická analýza

ProdatNeutrálníNakoupit
Bullish
3
Býčí
1
Neutrální
1
Medvědí

Klíčové indikátory

IndikátorHodnotaSignál
RSI 1495.0 Bullish
MACD-0.01 Neutral
SMA 50203.0035 Below
SMA 200189.0893 Above
EMA 20187.5157 Above

Historická data

Open201.7800
Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range201.6940 – 202.8570
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range198.5590 – 203.5292
24h Volumen/a
90D Range189.7067 – 203.5292
Circulatingn/a
52W Range166.2490 – 203.5292
Max Supplyn/a
Open201.7800Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range201.6940 – 202.8570Market Capn/a
Monthly Range198.5590 – 203.529224h Volumen/a
90D Range189.7067 – 203.5292Circulatingn/a
52W Range166.2490 – 203.5292Max Supplyn/a

Úrovně podpory a odporu

204.3946R3 — major ceiling
203.6102R2 — swing resistance
202.8258R1 — near-term resistance
201.7800Aktuální cenaCHF
198.5340S1 — near-term supportSupport
195.8840S2 — structure support
183.9576S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 202.8258; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 198.5340; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.54% daily realized volatility.

Cenové milníky

Klíčové úrovně a historický kontext
Recent201.7800Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High202.8570Local High+0.53%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low201.6940Local Low-0.04%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target208.2429Model 1M+3.20%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target214.7640Model 1Y+6.43%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario226.6610Model 5Y+12.33%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Přesnost předpovědi

Jak se dařilo našemu modelu
83%
Směrový
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.54% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Náš algoritmus je překalibrován každý týden pomocí nejnovější cenové akce, režimu volatility a signálů indikátorů. Přesnost se liší podle časového rámce – krátkodobá hybnost je spolehlivější než dlouhodobé projekce.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investiční scénáře

Pokud dnes investujete $1,000 do CHF
Bullish Case
$1123.31
+12.33% from current
Cílová cena226.6610
ScénářBreakout continuation
Pravděpodobnost32%
Base Case
$1032.03
+3.20% from current
Cílová cena208.2429
ScénářTrend-following baseline
Pravděpodobnost40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Cílová cena185.6376
ScénářVolatility drawdown
Pravděpodobnost28%
Základ: Scenario engine blends live drift (+3.20% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.54% daily).

Korelační matice

30denní průběžný · jak se CHF pohybuje s ostatními aktivy
CHFCHFJPYGBPJPYGBPCHFCADCHFSGDJPY
CHF1.001.000.99-0.98-0.980.98
CHFJPY1.001.001.00-0.98-0.970.97
GBPJPY0.991.001.00-0.96-0.960.98
GBPCHF-0.98-0.98-0.961.000.98-0.93
CADCHF-0.98-0.97-0.960.981.00-0.91
SGDJPY0.980.970.98-0.93-0.911.00

Předpovědní faktory

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 54/100
24H drift-0.33%
7D drift+0.79%
30D drift+3.20%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI95.1 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 56/100
1M outlook+3.20%
1Y outlook+6.43%
5Y outlook+12.33%

Často kladené otázky

Q What is the CHF forecast for tomorrow?
CHF is projected near 201.1056 versus the latest reference around 201.7800. That implies a modeled move of -0.33% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for CHF?
The weekly model points to 203.3653, which maps to an expected drift of +0.79% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 208.2429 (+3.20%), while the 1-year target is 214.7640 (+6.43%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 226.6610 with a modeled change of +12.33%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 202.8258, while nearest support is around 198.5340. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 201.6940 to 202.8570. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.