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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualizováno: March 15, 2026 at 15:20 UTC
• -0.00%TA Býčí · Focus Makro + technické

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Časový rámecPředpokládaná cenaMinulostHistorickýVhled
Zítra$88.12 ▲ +1.83%Včera$86.54 • -0.00%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Týden$86.65 ▲ +0.13%Minulý týden$88.46 ▼ -2.17%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc$83.38 ▼ -3.65%Minulý měsíc$89.72 ▼ -3.54%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok$85.77 ▼ -0.89%Loni$90.17 ▼ -4.03%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let$83.97 ▼ -2.97%Před 5 lety$136.31 ▼ -36.51%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Zítra$88.12▲ +1.83%
Včera$86.54• -0.00%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Týden$86.65▲ +0.13%
Minulý týden$88.46▼ -2.17%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc$83.38▼ -3.65%
Minulý měsíc$89.72▼ -3.54%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok$85.77▼ -0.89%
Loni$90.17▼ -4.03%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let$83.97▼ -2.97%
Před 5 lety$136.31▼ -36.51%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Cenový graf

HistorickýPředpověďBýčíMedvědí
$89.18$88.25$87.33$86.41$85.491W AgoNow7D F

Technická analýza

ProdatNeutrálníNakoupit
Bearish
1
Býčí
1
Neutrální
3
Medvědí

Klíčové indikátory

IndikátorHodnotaSignál
RSI 1417.2 Bearish
MACD0.04 Bullish
SMA 50$86.62 Mid
SMA 200$92.88 Below
EMA 20$94.92 Below

Historická data

Open$86.54
Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$86.47 – $87.15
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.82
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.49
Max Supplyn/a
Open$86.54Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$86.47 – $87.15Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.8224h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.49Max Supplyn/a

Úrovně podpory a odporu

$87.90R3 — major ceiling
$87.49R2 — swing resistance
$87.08R1 — near-term resistance
$86.54Aktuální cenaTLT
$84.81S1 — near-term supportSupport
$82.21S2 — structure support
$79.62S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $87.08; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $84.81; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.65% daily realized volatility.

Cenové milníky

Klíčové úrovně a historický kontext
Recent$86.54Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$87.15Local High+0.70%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$86.47Local Low-0.08%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$83.38Model 1M-3.65%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$85.77Model 1Y-0.89%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$83.97Model 5Y-2.97%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Přesnost předpovědi

Jak se dařilo našemu modelu
83%
Směrový
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.65% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Náš algoritmus je překalibrován každý týden pomocí nejnovější cenové akce, režimu volatility a signálů indikátorů. Přesnost se liší podle časového rámce – krátkodobá hybnost je spolehlivější než dlouhodobé projekce.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investiční scénáře

Pokud dnes investujete $1,000 do TLT
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Cílová cena$96.92
ScénářBreakout continuation
Pravděpodobnost32%
Base Case
$963.49
-3.65% from current
Cílová cena$83.38
ScénářTrend-following baseline
Pravděpodobnost40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Cílová cena$79.62
ScénářVolatility drawdown
Pravděpodobnost28%
Základ: Scenario engine blends live drift (-3.65% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.65% daily).

Korelační matice

30denní průběžný · jak se TLT pohybuje s ostatními aktivy
TLTXLFXLEDIASPYQQQ
TLT1.00-0.98-0.97-0.97-0.96-0.95
XLF-0.981.000.960.990.990.98
XLE-0.970.961.000.950.940.92
DIA-0.970.990.951.000.990.98
SPY-0.960.990.940.991.001.00
QQQ-0.950.980.920.981.001.00

Předpovědní faktory

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 50/100
24H drift+1.83%
7D drift+0.13%
30D drift-3.65%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 27/100
RSI16.9 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 45/100
1M outlook-3.65%
1Y outlook-0.89%
5Y outlook-2.97%

Často kladené otázky

Q What is the TLT forecast for tomorrow?
TLT is projected near $88.12 versus the latest reference around $86.54. That implies a modeled move of +1.83% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TLT?
The weekly model points to $86.65, which maps to an expected drift of +0.13% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.38 (-3.65%), while the 1-year target is $85.77 (-0.89%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.97 with a modeled change of -2.97%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $87.08, while nearest support is around $84.81. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $86.47 to $87.15. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.