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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Aktualizováno: March 15, 2026 at 15:19 UTC

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Časový rámec	Předpokládaná cena	Minulost	Historický	Vhled
Zítra	$678.06 ▲ +2.38%	Včera	$662.29 • +0.00%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Týden	$698.79 ▲ +5.51%	Minulý týden	$672.38 ▼ -1.50%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc	$725.85 ▲ +9.60%	Minulý měsíc	$681.75 ▼ -2.85%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok	$741.68 ▲ +11.99%	Loni	$562.81 ▲ +17.68%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let	$779.76 ▲ +17.74%	Před 5 lety	$395.91 ▲ +67.28%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Zítra$678.06▲ +2.38%

Včera$662.29• +0.00%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

Týden$698.79▲ +5.51%

Minulý týden$672.38▼ -1.50%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Měsíc$725.85▲ +9.60%

Minulý měsíc$681.75▼ -2.85%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Rok$741.68▲ +11.99%

Loni$562.81▲ +17.68%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 let$779.76▲ +17.74%

Před 5 lety$395.91▲ +67.28%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Cenový graf

HistorickýPředpověďBýčíMedvědí

Technická analýza

Bullish

Býčí

Neutrální

Medvědí

Klíčové indikátory

Indikátor	Hodnota	Signál
RSI 14	86.1	Bullish
MACD	0.05	Bullish
SMA 50	$683.28	Below
SMA 200	$637.79	Above
EMA 20	$635.68	Above

Historická data

Open$662.29

Start Date1993-02-01

Day Range$661.36 – $672.34

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$662.29 – $695.41

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$652.53 – $695.49

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$496.48 – $695.49

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$662.29	Start Date	1993-02-01
Day Range	$661.36 – $672.34	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$662.29 – $695.41	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$652.53 – $695.49	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$496.48 – $695.49	Max Supply	n/a

Úrovně podpory a odporu

$675.14R3 — major ceiling

$671.29R2 — swing resistance

$667.43R1 — near-term resistance

$662.29Aktuální cenaSPY

$649.04S1 — near-term supportSupport

$629.18S2 — structure support

$609.31S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $667.43; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $649.04; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.81% daily realized volatility.

Cenové milníky

Klíčové úrovně a historický kontext

Recent$662.29Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$672.34Local High+1.52%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$661.36Local Low-0.14%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$725.85Model 1M+9.60%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$741.68Model 1Y+11.99%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$779.76Model 5Y+17.74%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Přesnost předpovědi

Jak se dařilo našemu modelu

83%

Směrový

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.81% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Náš algoritmus je překalibrován každý týden pomocí nejnovější cenové akce, režimu volatility a signálů indikátorů. Přesnost se liší podle časového rámce – krátkodobá hybnost je spolehlivější než dlouhodobé projekce.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investiční scénáře

Pokud dnes investujete $1,000 do SPY

Bullish Case

$1177.37

+17.74% from current

Cílová cena$779.76

ScénářBreakout continuation

Pravděpodobnost35%

Base Case

$1095.97

+9.60% from current

Cílová cena$725.85

ScénářTrend-following baseline

Pravděpodobnost37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Cílová cena$609.31

ScénářVolatility drawdown

Pravděpodobnost28%

Základ: Scenario engine blends live drift (+9.60% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.81% daily).

Korelační matice

30denní průběžný · jak se SPY pohybuje s ostatními aktivy

	SPY	QQQ	GLD	DIA	XLF	TLT
SPY	1.00	0.98	0.94	0.93	0.93	-0.88
QQQ	0.98	1.00	0.87	0.98	0.98	-0.96
GLD	0.94	0.87	1.00	0.82	0.80	-0.73
DIA	0.93	0.98	0.82	1.00	0.99	-0.96
XLF	0.93	0.98	0.80	0.99	1.00	-0.99
TLT	-0.88	-0.96	-0.73	-0.96	-0.99	1.00

Předpovědní faktory

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 74/100

24H drift+2.38%

7D drift+5.51%

30D drift+9.60%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 69/100

RSI85.7 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 63/100

1M outlook+9.60%

1Y outlook+11.99%

5Y outlook+17.74%

Často kladené otázky

Q What is the SPY forecast for tomorrow?

SPY is projected near $678.06 versus the latest reference around $662.29. That implies a modeled move of +2.38% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPY?

The weekly model points to $698.79, which maps to an expected drift of +5.51% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $725.85 (+9.60%), while the 1-year target is $741.68 (+11.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $779.76 with a modeled change of +17.74%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $667.43, while nearest support is around $649.04. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $661.36 to $672.34. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.