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SPDR S&P 500 ETF ትንበያ: ነገ, ሳምንት, ወር, 5 ዓመታት

ተዘምኗል: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +73.63%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

የጊዜ ገደብ	የተገመተው ዋጋ	ያለፈው	ታሪካዊ	ማስተዋል
ነገ	$693.02 ▲ +1.65%	ትናንት	$681.27 ▼ -1.54%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
ሳምንት	$711.62 ▲ +4.38%	ባለፈው ሳምንት	$686.19 ▼ -0.94%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
ወር	$743.79 ▲ +9.10%	ባለፈው ወር	$681.92 ▲ +2.44%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
አመት	$753.97 ▲ +10.59%	ያለፈው ዓመት	$603.36 ▲ +20.38%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ዓመታት	$791.72 ▲ +16.13%	ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት	$392.30 ▼ -34.98%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

ነገ$693.02▲ +1.65%

ትናንት$681.27▼ -1.54%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

ሳምንት$711.62▲ +4.38%

ባለፈው ሳምንት$686.19▼ -0.94%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

ወር$743.79▲ +9.10%

ባለፈው ወር$681.92▲ +2.44%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

አመት$753.97▲ +10.59%

ያለፈው ዓመት$603.36▲ +20.38%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 ዓመታት$791.72▲ +16.13%

ከ 5 ዓመታት በፊት$392.30▼ -34.98%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

የዋጋ ገበታ

ታሪካዊትንበያጉልበተኛተሸካሚ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

Bearish

ጉልበተኛ

ገለልተኛ

ተሸካሚ

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

አመልካች	ዋጋ	ሲግናል
RSI 14	40.7	Bearish
MACD	-1.60	Bearish
SMA 50	$687.36	Below
SMA 200	$648.65	Above
EMA 20	$389.61	Above

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

Open$681.69

Start Date

Day Range$677.52 – $686.28

Market Cap

Monthly Range$677.58 – $695.49

24h Volume

90D Range$652.53 – $695.49

Circulating

52W Range$496.48 – $695.49

Max Supply

Open	$681.69	Start Date
Day Range	$677.52 – $686.28	Market Cap
Monthly Range	$677.58 – $695.49	24h Volume
90D Range	$652.53 – $695.49	Circulating
52W Range	$496.48 – $695.49	Max Supply

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

$705.59R3 — upper range

$696.51R2 — swing high

$689.70R1 — near-term cap

$681.75የአሁኑ ዋጋSPY

$673.80S1 — short-term supportSupport

$666.99S2 — trend support

$657.91S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is $689.70; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near $673.80; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.76%.

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

ቁልፍ ደረጃዎች እና ታሪካዊ አውድ

Recent$681.75Current

Current reference level.

90D High$695.49Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low$652.53Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የእኛ ሞዴል እንዴት እንዳከናወነ

73%

አቅጣጫዊ

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

የቅርብ ጊዜውን የዋጋ እርምጃ፣ የተለዋዋጭነት አገዛዝ እና ጠቋሚ ምልክቶችን በመጠቀም የእኛ ስልተ ቀመር በየሳምንቱ እንደገና ይስተካከላል። ትክክለኛነት በጊዜ ወሰን ይለያያል - የአጭር ጊዜ መነሳሳት ከረዥም ጊዜ ትንበያዎች የበለጠ አስተማማኝ ነው።

Tomorrow

77%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

74%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

71%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

66%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ዛሬ $1,000 በSPY ውስጥ ኢንቨስት ካደረጉ

Bullish Case

$1,305.00

+30.50% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ$889.68

ሁኔታBreakout continuation

ሊሆን ይችላል።25%

Base Case

$1,105.93

+10.59% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ$753.97

ሁኔታTrend-following baseline

ሊሆን ይችላል።50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

የዒላማ ዋጋ$599.94

ሁኔታVolatility drawdown

ሊሆን ይችላል።25%

መሰረት: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.00% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.76% daily).

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የ30-ቀን ተንከባላይ · SPY ከሌሎች ንብረቶች ጋር እንዴት እንደሚንቀሳቀስ

	SPY
SPY	1.00

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 70/100

24H drift+1.65%

7D drift+4.38%

30D drift+9.10%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 40/100

RSI40.4 · Neutral

MACD-1.64 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 62/100

1M outlook+9.10%

1Y outlook+10.59%

5Y outlook+16.13%

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

Q What is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF forecast for tomorrow?

SPDR S&P 500 ETF is projected near $693.02 versus the latest reference around $681.75. That implies a modeled move of +1.65% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPDR S&P 500 ETF?

The weekly model points to $711.62, which maps to an expected drift of +4.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $743.79 (+9.10%), while the 1-year target is $753.97 (+10.59%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $791.72 with a modeled change of +16.13%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $689.70, while nearest support is around $673.80. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF ትንበያ: ነገ, ሳምንት, ወር, 5 ዓመታት

የትንበያ ማጠቃለያ

የዋጋ ገበታ

ቴክኒካዊ ትንተና

ቁልፍ አመልካቾች

ታሪካዊ ውሂብ

የድጋፍ እና የመቋቋም ደረጃዎች

የዋጋ ግስጋሴዎች

የትንበያ ትክክለኛነት

የኢንቨስትመንት ሁኔታዎች

ተዛማጅ ማትሪክስ

የትንበያ ምክንያቶች

በተደጋጋሚ የሚጠየቁ ጥያቄዎች

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