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US2Y Treasury Yield Dự báo: Ngày mai, Tuần, Tháng, 5 năm

Đã cập nhật: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -1.42%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Tóm tắt dự báo

Khung thời gianGiá dự đoánQuá khứlịch sửCái nhìn thấu suốt
Ngày mai3.434% -1.04%Hôm qua3.520% +2.03%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Tuần3.377% -2.69%Tuần trước3.570% -0.83%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Tháng3.281% -5.43%Tháng trước3.450% -4.70%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Năm3.334% -3.92%Năm ngoái4.290% -6.74%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 năm3.261% -6.02%5 năm trước4.600% +7.23%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Ngày mai3.434% -1.04%
Hôm qua3.520% +2.03%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Tuần3.377% -2.69%
Tuần trước3.570% -0.83%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Tháng3.281% -5.43%
Tháng trước3.450% -4.70%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Năm3.334% -3.92%
Năm ngoái4.290% -6.74%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 năm3.261% -6.02%
5 năm trước4.600% +7.23%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Biểu đồ giá

lịch sửDự báoTăng giáGiảm giá
3.502%3.452%3.402%3.352%3.302%1W AgoNow7D F

Phân tích kỹ thuật

BánTrung lậpMua
Bearish
1
Tăng giá
0
Trung lập
4
Giảm giá

Các chỉ số chính

Chỉ sốGiá trịTín hiệu
RSI 1436.5 Bearish
MACD0.12 Bullish
SMA 503.516% Below
SMA 2003.668% Below
EMA 204.422% Below

Dữ liệu lịch sử

Open3.520%
Start Date
Day Range3.450% – 3.610%
Market Cap
Monthly Range3.450% – 3.610%
24h Volume
90D Range3.410% – 3.630%
Circulating
52W Range3.410% – 4.360%
Max Supply
Open3.520%Start Date
Day Range3.450% – 3.610%Market Cap
Monthly Range3.450% – 3.610%24h Volume
90D Range3.410% – 3.630%Circulating
52W Range3.410% – 4.360%Max Supply

Mức hỗ trợ và kháng cự

3.624%R3 — upper range
3.565%R2 — swing high
3.521%R1 — near-term cap
3.470%Giá hiện tạiUS2Y
3.419%S1 — short-term supportSupport
3.375%S2 — trend support
3.316%S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 3.521%; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 3.419%; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.96%.

Các cột mốc giá

Các cấp độ chính và bối cảnh lịch sử
Recent3.470%Current
Current reference level.
90D High3.630%Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low3.410%Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Dự báo chính xác

Mô hình của chúng tôi đã hoạt động như thế nào
73%
định hướng
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Thuật toán của chúng tôi được hiệu chỉnh lại hàng tuần bằng cách sử dụng hành động giá, chế độ biến động và tín hiệu chỉ báo mới nhất. Độ chính xác thay đổi theo khung thời gian - động lượng ngắn hạn đáng tin cậy hơn các dự đoán dài hạn.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Kịch bản đầu tư

Nếu bạn đầu tư $1,000 vào US2Y ngay hôm nay
Bullish Case
$1,133.78
+13.38% from current
Giá mục tiêu3.934%
Kịch bảnBreakout continuation
Xác suất25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Giá mục tiêu3.609%
Kịch bảnTrend-following baseline
Xác suất50%
Bearish Case
$851.09
-14.89% from current
Giá mục tiêu2.953%
Kịch bảnVolatility drawdown
Xác suất25%
cơ sở: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.02% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.96% daily).

Ma trận tương quan

Kéo dài 30 ngày · US2Y di chuyển như thế nào với các tài sản khác
US2Y
US2Y1.00

Các yếu tố dự báo

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 38/100
24H drift-1.04%
7D drift-2.69%
30D drift-5.43%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI36.7 · Bearish
MACD0.14 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-5.43%
1Y outlook-3.92%
5Y outlook-6.02%

Câu hỏi thường gặp

Q What is the US 2Y Treasury Yield forecast for tomorrow?
US 2Y Treasury Yield is projected near 3.434% versus the latest reference around 3.470%. That implies a modeled move of -1.04% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US 2Y Treasury Yield?
The weekly model points to 3.377%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.69% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.281% (-5.43%), while the 1-year target is 3.334% (-3.92%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.261% with a modeled change of -6.02%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.521%, while nearest support is around 3.419%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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