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US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Đã cập nhật: March 15, 2026 at 14:10 UTC
• +0.00%TA giảm giá · Focus Tỷ giá + vĩ mô

Tóm tắt dự báo

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Khung thời gianGiá dự đoánQuá khứlịch sửCái nhìn thấu suốt
Ngày mai4.234% -1.20%Hôm qua4.285% +0.00%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Tuần4.162% -2.88%Tuần trước4.133% +3.68%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Tháng4.086% -4.65%Tháng trước4.056% +5.65%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Năm4.070% -5.02%Năm ngoái4.308% -0.53%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 năm4.043% -5.66%5 năm trước1.621% +164.34%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Ngày mai4.234% -1.20%
Hôm qua4.285% +0.00%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.85%).
Tuần4.162% -2.88%
Tuần trước4.133% +3.68%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Tháng4.086% -4.65%
Tháng trước4.056% +5.65%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Năm4.070% -5.02%
Năm ngoái4.308% -0.53%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 năm4.043% -5.66%
5 năm trước1.621% +164.34%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Biểu đồ giá

lịch sửDự báoTăng giáGiảm giá
4.285%4.240%4.196%4.151%4.106%1W AgoNow7D F

Phân tích kỹ thuật

BánTrung lậpMua
Bullish
4
Tăng giá
1
Trung lập
0
Giảm giá

Các chỉ số chính

Chỉ sốGiá trịTín hiệu
RSI 1486.4 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 504.197% Above
SMA 2003.908% Above
EMA 203.751% Above

Dữ liệu lịch sử

Open4.285%
Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range4.285% – 4.285%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.962% – 4.285%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.962% – 4.295%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.743% – 4.803%
Max Supplyn/a
Open4.285%Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range4.285% – 4.285%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.962% – 4.285%24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.962% – 4.295%Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.743% – 4.803%Max Supplyn/a

Mức hỗ trợ và kháng cự

4.385%R3 — major ceiling
4.355%R2 — swing resistance
4.325%R1 — near-term resistance
4.285%Giá hiện tạiUS10Y
4.199%S1 — near-term supportSupport
4.071%S2 — structure support
3.942%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 4.325%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 4.199%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.97% daily realized volatility.

Các cột mốc giá

Các cấp độ chính và bối cảnh lịch sử
Recent4.285%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High4.285%Local High-0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low4.285%Local Low-0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target4.086%Model 1M-4.64%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target4.070%Model 1Y-5.02%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario4.043%Model 5Y-5.65%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Dự báo chính xác

Mô hình của chúng tôi đã hoạt động như thế nào
83%
định hướng
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.97% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Thuật toán của chúng tôi được hiệu chỉnh lại hàng tuần bằng cách sử dụng hành động giá, chế độ biến động và tín hiệu chỉ báo mới nhất. Độ chính xác thay đổi theo khung thời gian - động lượng ngắn hạn đáng tin cậy hơn các dự đoán dài hạn.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Kịch bản đầu tư

Nếu bạn đầu tư $1,000 vào US10Y ngay hôm nay
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Giá mục tiêu4.799%
Kịch bảnBreakout continuation
Xác suất32%
Base Case
$953.56
-4.64% from current
Giá mục tiêu4.086%
Kịch bảnTrend-following baseline
Xác suất40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Giá mục tiêu3.942%
Kịch bảnVolatility drawdown
Xác suất28%
cơ sở: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.65% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.97% daily).

Ma trận tương quan

Kéo dài 30 ngày · US10Y di chuyển như thế nào với các tài sản khác
US10YUK10YUS30YDE10YUS2Y
US10Y1.00-0.950.70-0.62-0.15
UK10Y-0.951.00-0.750.750.28
US30Y0.70-0.751.00-0.78-0.43
DE10Y-0.620.75-0.781.000.82
US2Y-0.150.28-0.430.821.00

Các yếu tố dự báo

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 38/100
24H drift-1.20%
7D drift-2.88%
30D drift-4.65%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI86.6 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-4.65%
1Y outlook-5.02%
5Y outlook-5.66%

Câu hỏi thường gặp

Q What is the US10Y forecast for tomorrow?
US10Y is projected near 4.234% versus the latest reference around 4.285%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US10Y?
The weekly model points to 4.162%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.88% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 4.086% (-4.65%), while the 1-year target is 4.070% (-5.02%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.043% with a modeled change of -5.66%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 4.325%, while nearest support is around 4.199%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 4.285% to 4.285%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.