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US 30Y Treasury Yield Прогноз: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Обновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▼ -2.07%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Rates + macro

Сводка прогноза

Период	Прогнозная цена	Прошлое	Историч.	Комментарий
Завтра	4.729% ▲ +0.19%	Вчера	4.820% ▲ +0.84%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Неделя	4.752% ▲ +0.68%	Прошлая неделя	4.900% ▲ +1.66%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Месяц	4.844% ▲ +2.64%	Прошлый месяц	4.810% ▲ +1.48%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Год	4.769% ▲ +1.04%	Прошлый год	4.690% ▲ +4.92%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 лет	4.793% ▲ +1.54%	5 лет назад	4.470% ▼ -4.69%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Завтра4.729%▲ +0.19%

Вчера4.820%▲ +0.84%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

Неделя4.752%▲ +0.68%

Прошлая неделя4.900%▲ +1.66%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Месяц4.844%▲ +2.64%

Прошлый месяц4.810%▲ +1.48%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Год4.769%▲ +1.04%

Прошлый год4.690%▲ +4.92%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 лет4.793%▲ +1.54%

5 лет назад4.470%▼ -4.69%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Предупреждение о рисках:этот прогноз носит исключительно информационный характер и не является финансовой рекомендацией; точность зависит от волатильности, ликвидности, макроэкономических событий и других внешних факторов.

График цены

ИсторияПрогнозБычийМедвежий

Технический анализ

Bearish

Бычий

Нейтрально

Медвежий

Ключевые индикаторы

Индикатор	Значение	Сигнал
RSI 14	37.5	Bearish
MACD	0.06	Bullish
SMA 50	4.825%	Below
SMA 200	4.811%	Below
EMA 20	4.402%	Above

Исторические данные

Open4.820%

Start Date

Day Range4.720% – 4.910%

Market Cap

Monthly Range4.720% – 4.910%

24h Volume

90D Range4.540% – 4.910%

Circulating

52W Range4.410% – 5.080%

Max Supply

Open	4.820%	Start Date
Day Range	4.720% – 4.910%	Market Cap
Monthly Range	4.720% – 4.910%	24h Volume
90D Range	4.540% – 4.910%	Circulating
52W Range	4.410% – 5.080%	Max Supply

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

4.885%R3 — upper range

4.822%R2 — swing high

4.775%R1 — near-term cap

4.720%Текущая ценаUS30Y

4.665%S1 — short-term supportSupport

4.618%S2 — trend support

4.555%S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 4.775%; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 4.665%; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.76%.

Ценовые вехи

Ключевые уровни и исторический контекст

Recent4.720%Current

Current reference level.

90D High4.910%Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low4.540%Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точность прогноза

Как показал себя наш алгоритм

74%

Направление

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Наш алгоритм перенастраивается еженедельно на основе последнего движения цены, режима волатильности и сигналов индикаторов. Точность зависит от периода — краткосрочный импульс надежнее долгосрочных прогнозов.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Инвестиционные сценарии

Если инвестировать $1,000 в US30Y сегодня

Bullish Case

$1,192.25

+19.22% from current

Целевая цена5.627%

СценарийBreakout continuation

Вероятность25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

Целевая цена4.909%

СценарийTrend-following baseline

Вероятность50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Целевая цена4.154%

СценарийVolatility drawdown

Вероятность25%

Основание: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.06% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.76% daily).

Матрица корреляций

30 дней · как US30Y движется вместе с другими активами

	US30Y
US30Y	1.00

Факторы прогноза

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 54/100

24H drift+0.19%

7D drift+0.68%

30D drift+2.64%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Mixed — Watching · 46/100

RSI37.5 · Bearish

MACD0.06 · Bullish

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 52/100

1M outlook+2.64%

1Y outlook+1.04%

5Y outlook+1.54%

Частые вопросы

Q What is the US 30Y Treasury Yield forecast for tomorrow?

US 30Y Treasury Yield is projected near 4.729% versus the latest reference around 4.720%. That implies a modeled move of +0.19% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US 30Y Treasury Yield?

The weekly model points to 4.752%, which maps to an expected drift of +0.68% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.844% (+2.64%), while the 1-year target is 4.769% (+1.04%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of +1.54%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.775%, while nearest support is around 4.665%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

US 30Y Treasury Yield Прогноз: Завтра, Неделя, Месяц, 5 лет

Сводка прогноза

График цены

Технический анализ

Ключевые индикаторы

Исторические данные

Уровни поддержки и сопротивления

Ценовые вехи

Точность прогноза

Инвестиционные сценарии

Матрица корреляций

Факторы прогноза

Частые вопросы

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