ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒãšã¯ïŒ
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒïŒãªã¹ã¯ãšã¹ã«ã¬ãŒã¿ãŒãŸãã¯ãã€ãããã¯ããžã·ã§ã³ãµã€ãžã³ã°ãã¬ãŒã ã¯ãŒã¯ãšãåŒã°ããŸãïŒã¯ãçŸåšã®ã»ãã·ã§ã³ã®ããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ã«åºã¥ããŠããžã·ã§ã³ãµã€ãºããªã¢ã«ã¿ã€ã ã§èª¿æŽãããããã¬ãŒããŒã®ã·ã¹ãã ã§ãããããããã¡ãŒã ããããžãã¡ã³ãã®ãã¹ã¯ãããŒãžã£ãŒããããŠè³éä¿å šãæåªå ãšããèŠåŸãããªããŒã«ãã¬ãŒããŒã«äœ¿çšãããŠããŸãã
çµæã«é¢ä¿ãªãæ¯ååºå®é¡ããªã¹ã¯ã«ãããã®ã§ã¯ãªãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯ããå€ãã®ãªã¹ã¯ãåãæš©å©ãç²åŸããããšãæ±ããŸããåã¡ãã¬ãŒãã®åŸã¯ãã«ãµã€ãºãç¶æããè² ããã¬ãŒãã®åŸã¯èªåçã«ãšã¯ã¹ããŒãžã£ãŒãåæžããŸããè€æ°åã®é£æåŸã¯ãã·ã¹ãã ãæå°ããžã·ã§ã³ã«çž®å°ãããå®å šã«ããã¯ã¢ãŠãããå£åº§ãç Žå£ããæ¥æ¿ãªæ¥æ¬¡ãããŒããŠã³ãé²ããŸãã
ãã®ã³ã³ã»ããã¯ããªã¹ã¯ãããŒãžã£ãŒã飿åŸã«ãã¬ãŒããŒã®è³Œè²·åãç©ççã«æžå°ãããŠããããã®ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ããã¢ã«èµ·æºããããŸãããã®ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã³ãŒãã¯ãã®ããã»ã¹ãããžã¿ã«åããåå¿è ãããããŸã§ãã¹ãŠã®ãã¬ãŒããŒãã人éã®ãªã¹ã¯ãªãã£ãµãŒã«ç£èŠãããããšãªãæ©é¢æè³å®¶ã¬ãã«ã®ãªã¹ã¯èŠåŸã«ã¢ã¯ã»ã¹ã§ããããã«ããŸãã
éèŠãªãã€ã³ãïŒ åç55%ã®ãã¬ãŒããŒã§ãããã¬ãŒãæ¥ã®çŽ4%ã§4飿以äžãçµéšããŸãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒããªããã°ããã®ãããªæ¥ã¯æ°é±éåã®å©çãå¹ãé£ã°ãå¯èœæ§ããããŸãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒãããã°ãæå®³ã¯æ¥æ¬¡äºç®ã®ããäžéšã«æããããŸãã
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã®èšç®åŒ
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã®æ žå¿ã¯ã·ã³ãã«ãªå¹Ÿäœæžè¡°ã§ãã飿ãããã³ã«ãªã¹ã¯ãåæžããæ·±ãèœã¡ãã»ã©éãè³éãå®ãææ°é¢æ°çãªã¹ã±ãŒã«ããŠã³ãçã¿åºããŸãã
æ¥æ¬¡ããã¯ã¢ãŠãã«ãŒã«
å ·äœäŸïŒé£æã®å°ã蟌ã
å£åº§ïŒ $10,000
åºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯ïŒ 1% ($100) · æå€§æ¥æ¬¡æå€±ïŒ 5% ($500)
ããã¢ãŸã§ã®æå€§é£ææ°ïŒ 3
ãã¬ãŒã1ïŒè² ãïŒïŒ 1%ããªã¹ã¯ â $100ã®æå€±ã飿: 1ãçŽ¯èšæå€±: -$100ã
ãã¬ãŒã2ïŒè² ãïŒïŒ ãªã¹ã¯ã0.5%ã«åæž â $49.50ã®æå€±ã飿: 2ãçŽ¯èšæå€±: -$149.50ã
ãã¬ãŒã3ïŒè² ãïŒïŒ ãªã¹ã¯ãããã«0.25%ã«åæž â $24.63ã®æå€±ã飿: 3ïŒæå€§ïŒãçŽ¯èšæå€±: -$174.13ã
çµæïŒ 3飿åŸãã©ããŒã«ãããããŒããŠã³ã¯å£åº§ã®ããã1.74%ã«æããããŸãããã©ããŒãªãïŒ3 à $100ïŒã§ã¯$300 (3%)ã®æå€± â ã»ãŒ2åã§ããããã«$325.87ã®æ¥æ¬¡æå€±èš±å®¹é¡ããŸã æ®ã£ãŠããŸãã
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã³ãŒãã®äœ¿ãæ¹
1. å£åº§æ®é«ãå ¥åãã
ãã¬ãŒãç·è³éãå ¥åããŸãããã¹ãŠã®ãªã¹ã¯èšç®ã¯ãã®éé¡ãåºã«ç®åºãããŸããæ£çŽã«å ¥åããŠãã ãã â æ°Žå¢ãããæ°åã䜿ããšããŒã«ã®æå³ããªããªããŸãã
2. æå€§æ¥æ¬¡æå€±ãèšå®ãã
å£åº§ã®ããŒã»ã³ããŒãžãšããŠçµ¶å¯Ÿçãªæ¥æ¬¡æå€±äžéãéžã³ãŸãïŒäŸïŒ3-5%ïŒããã®æ¥ã®çŽ¯èšæå€±ããã®éŸå€ã«éãããšã³ãŒããããã¯ã¢ãŠãããŸããããããµãŒããããã¬ãŒã«ãŒã§ãã
3. 1ãã¬ãŒããããã®åºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯ãå®çŸ©ãã
æ¡ä»¶ãè¯å¥œã§ã¢ã¯ãã£ããªé£æããªããšãã«ã1åã®ãã¬ãŒãã§ãªã¹ã¯ã«ãããå£åº§ã®ããŒã»ã³ããŒãžãèšå®ããŸãïŒäŸïŒ0.5-2%ïŒã
4. æå€§é£æéŸå€ãèšå®ãã
æãæ·±ããªã¹ã¯åæžãããªã¬ãŒãã飿æ°ãéžã³ãŸãããã®åæ°é£æãããšããªã¹ã¯ã¯åºæ¬å€ã®4åã®1ã«äœäžããŸããã»ãšãã©ã®ãã¬ãŒããŒã«ãšã£ãŠ2-3ãæé©ãªèšå®ã§ãã
5. ãã¹ãŠã®ãã¬ãŒããèšé²ãã
åãã¬ãŒãåŸã«åã¡ãŸãã¯è² ããã¯ãªãã¯ããŸããã³ãŒããæ¬¡ã®ãã¬ãŒãã®èš±å®¹ãªã¹ã¯ãå³åº§ã«åèšç®ããŸãããã¬ãŒããã¹ãããããªãã§ãã ãã â ã»ãã·ã§ã³å šäœã远跡ããªããã°ã·ã¹ãã ã¯æ©èœããŸããã
6. ããã¯ã¢ãŠããå°éãã
èµ€ããããã¯æžã¿ãç»é¢ã衚瀺ããããããã¬ãŒããäžæ¢ããŠãã ãããäŸå€ã¯ãããŸããããã£ãŒãããé¢ãããžã£ãŒãã«ã確èªããææ¥ãªãã¬ãã·ã¥ããŠæ»ã£ãŠããŸããããçãæ®ããã¬ãŒããŒãšã¯ãèªåã®ã«ãŒã«ã«åŸããã¬ãŒããŒã§ãã
ãªã¹ã¯ã¹ã±ãŒãªã³ã°ã®å èš³
以äžã®è¡šã¯ãå飿åŸã«ã©ããŒããšã¯ã¹ããŒãžã£ãŒãã©ã®ããã«æžå°ãããããæ£ç¢ºã«ç€ºããŠããŸãã$10,000å£åº§ãåºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯1%ãæå€§æ¥æ¬¡æå€±5%ãåºæºãšããŠããŸãã
| é£ææ° | ãªã¹ã¯ % | ãªã¹ã¯ ($) | çŽ¯èšæå€± | ã¹ããŒã¿ã¹ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 (ããŒã¹) | 1.00% | $100.00 | $0 | éåžž |
| 1 è² ã | 0.50% | $49.50 | -$100.00 | çž®å°äž |
| 2 飿 | 0.25% | $24.38 | -$149.50 | çž®å°äž |
| 3 飿 | 0.25% | $24.06 | -$173.88 | æäœå°é |
| 4 飿 | 0.25% | $23.75 | -$197.94 | æäœå°é |
| 5 飿 | 0.00% | $0 | â | ãã㯠|
åºå®ãªã¹ã¯ vs ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒïŒæ¯èŒè¡š
5飿äžã«å£åº§ã¯ã©ããªãã§ããããïŒãã®å·®ã¯åçã§ããäž¡ã·ããªãªãšã$10,000å£åº§ãåºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯1%ã䜿çšããŠããŸãã
| ãã¬ãŒã | åºå®ïŒãªã¹ã¯ ($) | åºå®ïŒçŽ¯èšæå€± | ã©ããŒïŒãªã¹ã¯ ($) | ã©ããŒïŒçŽ¯èšæå€± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ãã¬ãŒã 1 | $100 | -$100 | $100 | -$100 |
| ãã¬ãŒã 2 | $100 | -$200 | $50 | -$150 |
| ãã¬ãŒã 3 | $100 | -$300 | $25 | -$175 |
| ãã¬ãŒã 4 | $100 | -$400 | $12 | -$187 |
| ãã¬ãŒã 5 | $100 | -$500 | $6 | -$193 |
çµè«ïŒ 5飿åŸãåºå®ãªã¹ã¯ã§ã¯$500 (5%)ã®æå€±ã«ãªããŸãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã§ã¯æå®³ã$193 (1.93%)ã«å¶éãã$307ãå£åº§ã«æ®ãææ¥ã®æ°ããªãã£ã³ã¹ã«æŽ»çšã§ããŸãã
é£æãæ°åŠçã«é¿ããããªãçç±
åç60%ã®éåžžã«åçæ§ã®é«ããã¬ãŒãæŠç¥ã§ããã宿çã«è€æ°ãã¬ãŒãã®é£æãçã¿åºããŸããããã¯æŠç¥ãå£ããŠãããµã€ã³ã§ã¯ãªããåºæ¬çãªç¢ºçè«ã§ããã»ãšãã©ã®ãã¬ãŒããŒãæ£åžžãªçµ±èšç忣ã®äžã§åãŠãã·ã¹ãã ãæŸæ£ããŠããŸãããããããçè§£ããããšãéèŠã§ãã
以äžã®è¡šã¯ã1幎éã®ãã¬ãŒãäžã«ç¹å®ã®é·ãã®é£æãå°ãªããšã1åçµéšãã確çã瀺ããŠããŸãïŒ250å¶æ¥æ¥ã1æ¥3ãã¬ãŒããåç60%ãæ³å®ïŒïŒ
| åç | 3é£æä»¥äž | 5é£æä»¥äž | 7é£æä»¥äž | 10é£æä»¥äž |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | ~100% | ~99% | ~85% | ~40% |
| 50% | ~100% | ~97% | ~65% | ~15% |
| 60% | ~99% | ~78% | ~25% | ~2% |
| 70% | ~92% | ~35% | ~5% | <0.1% |
æèšïŒ 飿ã¯èµ·ãããã©ããã§ã¯ãªããã€èµ·ãããã®åé¡ã§ãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯ãé£æãæ¥ããšãã«å£åº§ãã¡ã³ã¿ã«ãç Žå£ããªãããšãä¿èšŒããŸããã²ãŒã ã«æ®ãç¶ããããŸãã
ãããŒããŠã³ãšãªãã³ãžãã¬ãŒãã®å¿çåŠ
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯åãªãæ°åŠçããŒã«ã§ã¯ãªããè¡åã®ã¬ãŒãã¬ãŒã«ã§ããè¡åãã¡ã€ãã³ã¹ã®ç ç©¶ã¯äžè²«ããŠããã¬ãŒããŒããããŒããŠã³äžã«ææªã®å€æãäžãããšã瀺ããŠããŸããææ¡äœãåççãªæææ±ºå®ãä¹ã£åãããªãã³ãžãã¬ãŒããšããŠçŸããéäºã»éèµ°åå¿ãåŒãèµ·ãããŸãã
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒãé²ãããã«èšèšãããŠãã3ã€ã®æãå±éºãªå¿çççœ ã¯ä»¥äžã®éãã§ãïŒ
ãªãã³ãžãã¬ãŒãïŒã次ã®ãã¬ãŒãã§å šéšåãè¿ããïŒ
æå€±åŸã®æ¬èœã¯ãµã€ãºãå¢ãããŠçŽ æ©ãå埩ããããšã§ããããã¯ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã§æãç Žå£çãªè¡åã§ãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯ãããç©ççã«äžå¯èœã«ããŸã â åæå€±åŸã«èªåçã«ãµã€ãºãå¢ããã®ã§ã¯ãªãæžå°ããŸãã
ãã£ã«ããã¬ãŒãïŒã仿¥ã¯ãã¡ãªæ¥ã ãããç¶ããŠããŸãããïŒ
ææ çãªèç«ã¡ãå§ãŸããšããã¬ãŒããŒã¯ãã°ãã°èšç»ãå®å šã«æŸæ£ããŸããæ¥æ¬¡ããã¯ã¢ãŠãã¯åŒ·å¶çãªã¯ãŒã«ããŠã³æéã§ããã³ãŒããã¹ããããšèšã£ãããã»ãã·ã§ã³ã¯çµäºã§ã â 亀æžã®äœå°ã¯ãããŸããã
åŠèªïŒããã®é£æã¯ãããªã«ã²ã©ããªããïŒ
çŽ¯èšæå€±ããªã¢ã«ã¿ã€ã ã§è¡šç€ºããããã·ã¥ããŒãããªããã°ãé ã®äžã§æå®³ã軜èŠããã¡ã§ããã³ãŒãã¯æ£ç¢ºãªæå€±é¡ãæ¥æ¬¡äºç®ã®æ¶è²»ããŒã»ã³ããŒãžããããŠæ®ãã®äœè£ãæ£ç¢ºã«è¡šç€ºããŸãã
ããã®ã³ãïŒ ãã®ã³ãŒãããã¬ãŒããžã£ãŒãã«ãšäœµçšããŠãã ãããããã¯ã¢ãŠããããæ¥ã®ãã³ã«ãäœãèµ·ãã£ãããæžãçããŸããã â ãã¬ãŒãã ãã§ãªããã©ãæãããããæéãçµã€ã«ã€ããŠããããããã£ã«ããé¿ããã®ã«åœ¹ç«ã€ãã¿ãŒã³ãèŠããŠããŸãã
ãã¬ãŒãå£åº§ãç Žç¶»ããã6ã€ã®ãªã¹ã¯ç®¡çãã¹
1. æ¥æ¬¡æå€±äžéãèšå®ããŠããªã
峿 Œãªæ¥æ¬¡äžéããªããã°ã1æ¥ã®æªããã¬ãŒãã§1ã¶æåã®å©çãæ¶ããããšããããŸãããããããã¡ãŒã ã§ã¯ãã¹ã¯ã®ãã¹ãŠã®ãã¬ãŒããŒã«æ¥æ¬¡å¶éã課ããŠããŸããããªãããããã¹ãã§ãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã®ããã¯ã¢ãŠãæ©èœãããªãã®å人ãªã¹ã¯ãããŒãžã£ãŒã§ãã
2. èšç®åŒã§ã¯ãªãææ ã§ãµã€ãžã³ã°ãã
3é£åã§èªä¿¡ãããïŒæ¬¡ã®ãã¬ãŒãã¯ææ ã§å€§ãããã¹ãã§ã¯ãããŸãããæå€±åŸã«äžå®ãæããŠããïŒçŽæã§å°ãããã¹ãã§ããããŸããããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯çŽæã確å®çãªèšç®åŒã«çœ®ãæããŸãã
3. æå€±åŸã«åè³ãããïŒMartingaleã®èª€è¬¬ïŒ
MartingaleæŠç¥ â æå€±ã®ãã³ã«è³ãéã2åã«ãã â ã¯ååãªæéãããã°ç Žç£ç100%ã§ãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯ãã®æ£å察ã§ãåæå€±åŸã«ãšã¯ã¹ããŒãžã£ãŒãåæžãããã¢ã³ãMartingaleã·ã¹ãã ã§ããã10飿以äžã§ãè³éãç¶æã§ããããšãä¿èšŒããŸãã
4. æå€±ç¢ºå®ãé¿ããããã«ã¹ããããã¹ãåãã
ã¹ããããåºãããšã管çãããæå€±ã壿» çãªæå€±ã«å€ãããŸãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯ååå¥ã®æå€±ãå°ããäºåã«ç¢ºå®ãããã¹ããããåããèªæãåãé€ããŸããå°ããªæå€±ãåãå ¥ããŸããã â ã·ã¹ãã ãããªããã²ãŒã ã«æ®ãç¶ããŸãã
5. ã»ãã·ã§ã³ãã©ãã«ãŒãªãã§ãã¬ãŒããã
æ¥äžã®æçã远跡ããªããã°ããã€æ¢ããã¹ããããããŸããããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã³ãŒãã¯ãæ¥æ¬¡æçãæ®ãã®ãªã¹ã¯äºç®ãçŸåšã®ã¹ããªãŒã¯ããªã¢ã«ã¿ã€ã ã§è¡šç€ºããåççãªå€æã«å¿ èŠãªãã¹ãŠã®ããŒã¿ãæäŸããŸãã
6. 飿åŸã®ã¯ãŒã«ããŠã³ãããã³ã«ããªã
ã»ãšãã©ã®ãã¬ãŒããŒã¯3ã4飿åŸã«ã©ããã¹ããèšç»ããããŸãããèªåæçžŠã§ãã¬ãŒããç¶ããæå€±ã®ãã³ã«æããå¢ããŠãããŸãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯æ§é åãããããšã¹ã«ã¬ãŒã·ã§ã³ã匷å¶ããŸãïŒåæå€±åŸã«ãªã¹ã¯ãåæžããæ¥æ¬¡äžéã«éãããšããã¯ã¢ãŠããçºåããŸãã
äžçŽïŒãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒãšKellyåºæºã®äœµçš
Kellyåºæºã¯ãé·æçãªæé·ãæå€§åããããã®çè«äžæé©ãªããããµã€ãºãèšç®ããŸããå®éã«ã¯ã»ãšãã©ã®ãã¬ãŒããŒãåæ£ãæžããããã«ããŒãKellyãŸãã¯ã¯ã©ãŒã¿ãŒKellyã䜿çšããŸããKelly ã®åºåããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã³ãŒãã®åºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯ãšããŠäœ¿çšã§ããŸã â ã©ããŒãKellyã®ãšããžããŒã¹ã®ãµã€ãžã³ã°ã«å ããŠãã»ãã·ã§ã³ã¬ãã«ã®è¿œå ä¿è·å±€ãæäŸããŸããäŸãã°ãã¯ã©ãŒã¿ãŒKellyã1.5%ã®ãªã¹ã¯ã瀺ãå Žåãåºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯ã1.5%ã«èšå®ãã飿æã«ã©ããŒã§ã¹ã±ãŒã«ããŠã³ãããŸãã
ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ãã©ãããã©ãŒã ã§ã®ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã®é©çš
Binanceå ç©ïŒ Binanceå ç©ã®æ³šæãã©ãŒã ã§ãã¬ãŒããéå§ããéããã®ã³ãŒãã®ããžã·ã§ã³ãµã€ãºã䜿çšããŠãã ããããŸãã¬ãã¬ããžãèšå®ããã³ãŒããæšå¥šãããªã¹ã¯ããŒã»ã³ããŒãžã«å¯Ÿå¿ããããžã·ã§ã³ãµã€ãºãæåã§å ¥åããŸããBinanceã¯ãªã¹ã¯ãèªåã¹ã±ãŒãªã³ã°ããŸãã â ãã¬ãŒãããšã«èªåã§è¡ãå¿ èŠããããŸãã
BybitïŒ Bybitã®çµ±åãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã¢ã«ãŠã³ãã§ã¯ãå©çšå¯èœãªèšŒæ éããªã¢ã«ã¿ã€ã ã§ç¢ºèªã§ããŸããã³ãŒãã確èªããåŸãèšç®ããããã«å»ºãŠãªã¹ã¯ãBybitã®æ³šæãµã€ãºãšããŠå ¥åããŸããåé¢ããŒãžã³ã¢ãŒãã䜿çšããŠåãã¬ãŒãã®ãªã¹ã¯ãç¬ç«ããŠäžéèšå®ããã©ããŒã®ãã¬ãŒãããšã®ãªã¹ã¯ã¢ãã«ãšå®å šã«äžèŽãããŸãã
MetaTrader 4/5ïŒ MT4/MT5ãã¬ãŒããŒã¯ãã³ãŒãã®ãã«å»ºãŠãªã¹ã¯åºåããããããµã€ãºãèšç®ã§ããŸãã蚱容ãªã¹ã¯ïŒUSDïŒãã¹ããããã¹ã®pipsè·é¢ã§å²ããããã«pipå€ã§å²ã£ãŠããããµã€ãºãæ±ããŸããå€ãã®MT4 EAã¯ãã€ãããã¯ããžã·ã§ã³ãµã€ãžã³ã°ãåãå ¥ããããã«èšå®ã§ããã³ãŒãã®åºåããªã¹ã¯ãã©ã¡ãŒã¿ãšããŠãã£ãŒãã§ããŸãã
ãããã質å
ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã«ããããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒãšã¯äœã§ããïŒ
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒïŒãŸãã¯ãªã¹ã¯ãšã¹ã«ã¬ãŒã¿ãŒïŒã¯ãçŸåšã®ã»ãã·ã§ã³ã®ããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ã«åºã¥ããŠãã¬ãŒããµã€ãºãåçã«èª¿æŽããããžã·ã§ã³ãµã€ãžã³ã°ãã¬ãŒã ã¯ãŒã¯ã§ãã飿ãããã³ã«ã1ãã¬ãŒããããã®ãªã¹ã¯ãèªåçã«åæžïŒéåžžã¯åæžïŒããã飿æã®è³éãä¿è·ããŸããåã¡ãã¬ãŒãåŸã¯ãªã¹ã¯ãåºæ¬ã¬ãã«ã«ãªã»ãããããŸãã
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã³ãŒãã¯ã©ã®ããã«æ¬¡ã®ãã¬ãŒããµã€ãºãèšç®ããŸããïŒ
ã³ãŒãã¯æ¬¡ã®èšç®åŒã䜿çšããŸãïŒæ¬¡ã®ãªã¹ã¯ % = åºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯ % à 0.5^ïŒé£ææ°ïŒãåºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯ã1%ã§2飿ããŠããå Žåãæ¬¡ã®ãã¬ãŒããªã¹ã¯ã¯1% à 0.25 = 0.25%ã§ãããŸããçŽ¯èšæ¥æ¬¡æçãæå€§æ¥æ¬¡æå€±äžéãšç §åããäžéã«éããå Žåã¯ããã¯ã¢ãŠãããŸãã
æå€§æ¥æ¬¡æå€±ããŒã»ã³ããŒãžã®é©åãªå€ã¯ïŒ
ã»ãšãã©ã®ãããã¬ãŒããŒãšãããããã¡ãŒã ã¯ãæ¥æ¬¡æå€±äžéãå£åº§ç·è³ç£ã®2%ã5%ã®éã«èšå®ããŠããŸããä¿å®çãªãã¬ãŒããŒãåå¿è ã¯2-3%ããå§ããã¹ãã§ããåçã®é«ãã¢ã°ã¬ãã·ããªã¹ãã£ã«ããŒã¯5%ãŸã§äžããããšããããŸãã5%ãè¶ ããªãã§ãã ãã â 1æ¥ã®æªãæ¥ã§1é±éã®å¹³åå©ç以äžã倱ãã¹ãã§ã¯ãããŸããã
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯ã¹ã€ã³ã°ãã¬ãŒãã«ã䜿ããŸããããããšããã€ãã¬ãŒãå°çšã§ããïŒ
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯ã1ã»ãã·ã§ã³ã§è€æ°ã®ãã¬ãŒããè¡ããããã€ãã¬ãŒããã¹ãã£ã«ãã³ã°ã«æã广çã§ããã¹ã€ã³ã°ãã¬ãŒãïŒé±1-5ãã¬ãŒãïŒã§ã¯æ¥æ¬¡ããã¯ã¢ãŠãã®é¢é£æ§ã¯äœããªããŸãããã¹ããªãŒã¯ããŒã¹ã®ã¹ã±ãŒãªã³ã°ã¯äŸç¶ãšããŠæ©èœããŸãããæå€§é£ææ°ãã2-3ã«èšå®ãã1æ¥ã§ã¯ãªã1é±éã«ããã£ãŠåæžã«ãŒã«ãé©çšããŠãã ããã
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒãšMartingaleã®éãã¯äœã§ããïŒ
æ£å察ã§ããMartingaleã¯æå€±ã®ãã³ã«è³ãéã2åã«ããæ¬¡ã®åã¡ã§ãã¹ãŠãåãæ»ãããšãæåŸ ããŸããååãªæéãããã°ç Žç£ç¢ºçã¯100%ã§ãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯æå€±ã®ãã³ã«è³ãéãåæžãããå埩ãããçåãåªå ããŸããç Žç£ç¢ºçãåçã«äœäžãããŸãã
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã§äœå飿ã«èããããŸããïŒ
åºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯1%ã§åæå€±åŸã«åæžããå Žåã10飿åŸã®çޝèšãšã¯ã¹ããŒãžã£ãŒã¯å£åº§ã®çŽ2%ã§ãïŒ1% + 0.5% + 0.25% + 0.125% + ...ïŒãã©ããŒãªãã§ã¯ã1%ã§10飿ãããš10%ã®ã³ã¹ããããããŸããã©ããŒã¯é·ã飿ãçåå¯èœã«ããŸãã
ãªã¹ã¯åæžçãã«ã¹ã¿ãã€ãºã§ããŸããïŒ
ã³ãŒãã¯ããã©ã«ãã§50%åæžïŒåæžïŒã䜿çšããŠãããããã¯ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã®æ¥çæšæºã§ããããç©ãããª25%åæžãããç©æ¥µçãª66%åæžã奜ããã¬ãŒããŒãããŸããã³ãŒãã®åºåã奜ã¿ã«åãããŠèª¿æŽã§ããŸããã50%ãç¶æããããšããå§ãããŸã â è³éä¿å šãšã²ãŒã ã«æ®ãç¶ããããšã®ãã©ã³ã¹ãåããŠããŸãã
ã³ãŒãã«ããã¯ã¢ãŠãããããã©ããã¹ãã§ããïŒ
çŽã¡ã«ãã¬ãŒããäžæ¢ããŠãã ããããã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ãã©ãããã©ãŒã ãéããç»é¢ããé¢ãããžã£ãŒãã«ã確èªããŠãã ãããæå€±ãæªãå·è¡ãæªãã»ããã¢ããããŸãã¯åã«æ£åžžãªçµ±èšç忣ããæ¥ãã®ããåæããŠãã ãããå¥ã®ã¢ã«ãŠã³ãããã¢ã§ãããš1åã ãããã¬ãŒãããããšããªãã§ãã ãããããã¯ã¢ãŠãã¯ããªãèªèº«ããããªããå®ãããã«ååšããŸãã
ãªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯æå·è³ç£ãå€åœçºæ¿ãæ ªåŒã«äœ¿ããŸããïŒ
ã¯ãããªã¹ã¯ã©ããŒã¯è³ç£ã«äŸåããŸãã â ããžã·ã§ã³ãµã€ãºã管çã§ããããããåžå Žã§æ©èœããŸããæå·è³ç£ãå€åœçºæ¿ãæ ªåŒãå ç©ããªãã·ã§ã³ã®ãã¬ãŒããŒãã¹ãŠãã飿æã®ãã€ãããã¯ãªã¹ã¯ã¹ã±ãŒãªã³ã°ã®æ©æµãåããŸããå¯äžã®èŠä»¶ã¯ããšã³ããªãŒåã«1ãã¬ãŒããããã®ãªã¹ã¯ã決å®ã§ããããšã§ãã
æ°ãããã¬ãŒãæ¥ã«ã³ãŒãããªã»ããããã«ã¯ã©ãããã°ããã§ããïŒ
èšç®æ©äžéšã®ããã¹ãŠãªã»ããããã¿ã³ãã¯ãªãã¯ããŠãã ãããã»ãã·ã§ã³å±¥æŽãã¹ããªãŒã¯ã«ãŠã³ã¿ãŒãæ¥æ¬¡æçããã¹ãŠãŒãã«ãªã»ãããããŸããå£åº§æ®é«ãæå€§æ¥æ¬¡æå€±ãåºæ¬ãªã¹ã¯ã®èšå®ã¯ä¿æãããŸããæ¯æ¥ã¯ãªãŒã³ãªç¶æ ã§æ°ãã«å§ããŠãã ããã
èªåãªã¹ã¯ã¢ã©ãŒãããåžæã§ããïŒ
æ¥æ¬¡æå€±äžéã«è¿ã¥ããéã®ãªã¢ã«ã¿ã€ã éç¥ãèªåããžã·ã§ã³ãµã€ãºèšç®ãã¹ããªãŒã¯ã¢ã©ãŒããã¹ããŒããã©ã³ã«ãå±ãããŸããããã¯ã¢ãŠãã·ã°ãã«ãäºåºŠãšèŠéããŸããã
ãã¬ãã¢ã ãã©ã³ãèŠã