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Financial Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Diperbarui: March 13, 2026 at 11:50 UTC

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Jangka waktu	Prediksi Harga	Masa lalu	Historis	Wawasan
Besok	$50.05 ▲ +2.49%	Kemarin	$49.64 ▼ -1.63%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).
Pekan	$52.03 ▲ +6.56%	Minggu lalu	$51.23 ▼ -4.68%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Bulan	$54.53 ▲ +11.67%	Bulan Lalu	$53.55 ▼ -8.81%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Tahun	$54.15 ▲ +10.90%	Tahun Lalu	$47.68 ▲ +2.41%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun	$55.73 ▲ +14.14%	5 Tahun Lalu	$34.77 ▲ +40.44%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Besok$50.05▲ +2.49%

Kemarin$49.64▼ -1.63%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.09%).

Pekan$52.03▲ +6.56%

Minggu lalu$51.23▼ -4.68%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Bulan$54.53▲ +11.67%

Bulan Lalu$53.55▼ -8.81%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Tahun$54.15▲ +10.90%

Tahun Lalu$47.68▲ +2.41%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Tahun$55.73▲ +14.14%

5 Tahun Lalu$34.77▲ +40.44%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Bagan Harga

HistorisRamalanBullishKasar

Analisis Teknis

Bullish

Netral

Kasar

Indikator Utama

Indikator	Nilai	Sinyal
RSI 14	76.1	Bullish
MACD	0.06	Bullish
SMA 50	$51.05	Mid
SMA 200	$49.15	Mid
EMA 20	$48.70	Mid

Data Historis

Open$49.64

Start Date1999-01-01

Day Range$48.79 – $49.22

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$48.83 – $54.26

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$48.83 – $56.40

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$43.92 – $56.40

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$49.64	Start Date	1999-01-01
Day Range	$48.79 – $49.22	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$48.83 – $54.26	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$48.83 – $56.40	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$43.92 – $56.40	Max Supply	n/a

Level Dukungan & Resistensi

$50.23R3 — major ceiling

$49.81R2 — swing resistance

$49.39R1 — near-term resistance

$48.83Harga Saat IniXLF

$47.85S1 — near-term supportSupport

$46.39S2 — structure support

$44.92S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $49.39; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $47.85; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.19% daily realized volatility.

Tonggak Harga

Tingkatan kunci & konteks sejarah

Recent$48.83Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$49.22Local High+0.79%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$48.79Local Low-0.08%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$54.53Model 1M+11.67%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$54.15Model 1Y+10.89%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$55.73Model 5Y+14.13%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Akurasi Perkiraan

Bagaimana kinerja model kami

83%

Terarah

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (1.19% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Algoritme kami dikalibrasi ulang setiap minggu menggunakan aksi harga terbaru, rezim volatilitas, dan sinyal indikator. Akurasi bervariasi berdasarkan jangka waktu — momentum jangka pendek lebih dapat diandalkan dibandingkan proyeksi jangka panjang.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Skenario Investasi

Jika Anda berinvestasi $1,000 di XLF hari ini

Bullish Case

$1141.31

+14.13% from current

Harga Sasaran$55.73

SkenarioBreakout continuation

Kemungkinan35%

Base Case

$1116.73

+11.67% from current

Harga Sasaran$54.53

SkenarioTrend-following baseline

Kemungkinan37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Harga Sasaran$44.92

SkenarioVolatility drawdown

Kemungkinan28%

Dasar: Scenario engine blends live drift (+11.67% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.19% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Pengguliran 30 hari · bagaimana XLF bergerak dengan aset lainnya

	XLF	QQQ	SPY	DIA	TLT	XLE
XLF	1.00	0.99	0.98	0.96	-0.93	0.87
QQQ	0.99	1.00	1.00	0.98	-0.96	0.92
SPY	0.98	1.00	1.00	0.99	-0.97	0.94
DIA	0.96	0.98	0.99	1.00	-0.96	0.95
TLT	-0.93	-0.96	-0.97	-0.96	1.00	-0.98
XLE	0.87	0.92	0.94	0.95	-0.98	1.00

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 78/100

24H drift+2.49%

7D drift+6.56%

30D drift+11.67%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Mixed — Watching · 56/100

RSI75.7 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 63/100

1M outlook+11.67%

1Y outlook+10.90%

5Y outlook+14.14%

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Q What is the XLF forecast for tomorrow?

XLF is projected near $50.05 versus the latest reference around $48.83. That implies a modeled move of +2.49% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLF?

The weekly model points to $52.03, which maps to an expected drift of +6.56% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $54.53 (+11.67%), while the 1-year target is $54.15 (+10.90%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $55.73 with a modeled change of +14.14%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $49.39, while nearest support is around $47.85. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $48.79 to $49.22. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.