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Moderna Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -77.02%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Earnings + trend

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap$41.30 ▼ -2.20%Tegnap$40.11 ▼ -0.99%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~5.64%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~5.64%).
Hét$39.70 ▼ -5.99%Múlt héten$42.77 ▼ -10.88%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap$37.99 ▼ -10.03%Múlt hónap$29.49 ▲ +19.10%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év$47.48 ▲ +12.42%Tavaly$30.53 ▼ -65.07%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év$50.95 ▲ +20.65%5 évvel ezelőtt$178.53 ▲ +484.67%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap$41.30▼ -2.20%
Tegnap$40.11▼ -0.99%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~5.64%).
Hét$39.70▼ -5.99%
Múlt héten$42.77▼ -10.88%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap$37.99▼ -10.03%
Múlt hónap$29.49▲ +19.10%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év$47.48▲ +12.42%
Tavaly$30.53▼ -65.07%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év$50.95▲ +20.65%
5 évvel ezelőtt$178.53▲ +484.67%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
$46.12$43.22$40.32$37.41$34.511W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bullish
3
Bullish
0
Semleges
2
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1432.2 Bearish
MACD7.97 Bullish
SMA 50$36.74 Above
SMA 200$29.35 Above
EMA 20$154.56 Below

Történelmi adatok

Open$41.85
Start Date
Day Range$41.20 – $44.80
Market Cap
Monthly Range$30.86 – $51.87
24h Volume
90D Range$22.36 – $51.87
Circulating
52W Range$22.36 – $51.87
Max Supply
Open$41.85Start Date
Day Range$41.20 – $44.80Market Cap
Monthly Range$30.86 – $51.8724h Volume
90D Range$22.36 – $51.87Circulating
52W Range$22.36 – $51.87Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

$53.23R3 — upper range
$49.04R2 — swing high
$45.90R1 — near-term cap
$42.23Jelenlegi árMRNA
$38.56S1 — short-term supportSupport
$35.42S2 — trend support
$31.23S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $45.90; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $38.56; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 5.64%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent$42.23Current
Current reference level.
90D High$51.87Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$22.36Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
78%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
82%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
71%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a MRNA-ba
Bullish Case
$1,326.57
+32.66% from current
Irányár$56.02
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,124.21
+12.42% from current
Irányár$47.48
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$774.46
-22.55% from current
Irányár$32.71
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+1.36% / 30D) and volatility regime (5.64% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a MRNA más eszközökkel együtt
MRNA
MRNA1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 25/100
24H drift-2.20%
7D drift-5.99%
30D drift-10.03%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 54/100
RSI32.6 · Bearish
MACD8.02 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 49/100
1M outlook-10.03%
1Y outlook+12.42%
5Y outlook+20.65%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the Moderna forecast for tomorrow?
Moderna is projected near $41.30 versus the latest reference around $42.23. That implies a modeled move of -2.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Moderna?
The weekly model points to $39.70, which maps to an expected drift of -5.99% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $37.99 (-10.03%), while the 1-year target is $47.48 (+12.42%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $50.95 with a modeled change of +20.65%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $45.90, while nearest support is around $38.56. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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