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Adobe Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -47.08%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Earnings + trend

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap$254.90 ▼ -3.43%Tegnap$262.50 ▲ +2.08%Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.30%).
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.30%).
Hét$240.40 ▼ -8.93%Múlt héten$279.71 ▼ -8.21%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap$215.70 ▼ -18.29%Múlt hónap$349.99 ▲ +7.67%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év$210.45 ▼ -20.27%Tavaly$462.76 ▼ -26.22%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év$176.77 ▼ -33.03%5 évvel ezelőtt$501.64 ▲ +8.40%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap$254.90▼ -3.43%
Tegnap$262.50▲ +2.08%
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.30%).
Hét$240.40▼ -8.93%
Múlt héten$279.71▼ -8.21%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap$215.70▼ -18.29%
Múlt hónap$349.99▲ +7.67%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év$210.45▼ -20.27%
Tavaly$462.76▼ -26.22%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év$176.77▼ -33.03%
5 évvel ezelőtt$501.64▲ +8.40%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
$267.05$257.18$247.31$237.44$227.581W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bearish
1
Bullish
0
Semleges
4
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1423.2 Bearish
MACD6.25 Bullish
SMA 50$317.94 Below
SMA 200$351.99 Below
EMA 20$469.82 Below

Történelmi adatok

Open$262.17
Start Date
Day Range$257.50 – $265.29
Market Cap
Monthly Range$257.16 – $339.04
24h Volume
90D Range$257.16 – $359.91
Circulating
52W Range$257.16 – $464.11
Max Supply
Open$262.17Start Date
Day Range$257.50 – $265.29Market Cap
Monthly Range$257.16 – $339.0424h Volume
90D Range$257.16 – $359.91Circulating
52W Range$257.16 – $464.11Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

$292.04R3 — upper range
$281.35R2 — swing high
$273.33R1 — near-term cap
$263.97Jelenlegi árADBE
$254.61S1 — short-term supportSupport
$246.59S2 — trend support
$235.90S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $273.33; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $254.61; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 2.30%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent$263.97Current
Current reference level.
90D High$359.91Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$257.16Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
77%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
81%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
78%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
70%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a ADBE-ba
Bullish Case
$940.78
-5.92% from current
Irányár$248.34
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Irányár$274.53
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$735.42
-26.46% from current
Irányár$194.13
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.91% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.30% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a ADBE más eszközökkel együtt
ADBE
ADBE1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 9/100
24H drift-3.43%
7D drift-8.93%
30D drift-18.29%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI23.8 · Bearish
MACD6.33 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 10/100
1M outlook-18.29%
1Y outlook-20.27%
5Y outlook-33.03%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the Adobe forecast for tomorrow?
Adobe is projected near $254.90 versus the latest reference around $263.97. That implies a modeled move of -3.43% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Adobe?
The weekly model points to $240.40, which maps to an expected drift of -8.93% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $215.70 (-18.29%), while the 1-year target is $210.45 (-20.27%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $176.77 with a modeled change of -33.03%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $273.33, while nearest support is around $254.61. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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