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TSMC תַחֲזִית: מָחָר, שָׁבוּעַ, חוֹדֶשׁ, 5 שנים

מְעוּדכָּן: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +165.36%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Earnings + trend

סיכום תחזית

מסגרת זמן	מחיר חזוי	עָבָר	הִיסטוֹרִי	תוֹבָנָה
מָחָר	$380.21 ▲ +3.78%	אֶתמוֹל	$368.10 ▼ -1.60%	Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
שָׁבוּעַ	$401.67 ▲ +9.64%	שבוע שעבר	$325.74 ▼ -2.09%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
חוֹדֶשׁ	$434.86 ▲ +18.70%	חודש שעבר	$303.89 ▲ +7.76%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
שָׁנָה	$437.69 ▲ +19.47%	אֶשׁתָקַד	$206.38 ▲ +55.04%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 שנים	$481.31 ▲ +31.38%	לפני 5 שנים	$140.05 ▼ -32.14%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

מָחָר$380.21▲ +3.78%

אֶתמוֹל$368.10▼ -1.60%

Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).

שָׁבוּעַ$401.67▲ +9.64%

שבוע שעבר$325.74▼ -2.09%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

חוֹדֶשׁ$434.86▲ +18.70%

חודש שעבר$303.89▲ +7.76%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

שָׁנָה$437.69▲ +19.47%

אֶשׁתָקַד$206.38▲ +55.04%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 שנים$481.31▲ +31.38%

לפני 5 שנים$140.05▼ -32.14%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

טבלת מחירים

הִיסטוֹרִיתַחֲזִיתשורידוּבִּי

ניתוח טכני

Bullish

שורי

נֵטרָלִי

דוּבִּי

אינדיקטורים מרכזיים

מַד	עֵרֶך	אוֹת
RSI 14	66.8	Bullish
MACD	5.23	Bullish
SMA 50	$320.56	Above
SMA 200	$264.49	Above
EMA 20	$127.97	Above

נתונים היסטוריים

Open$369.15

Start Date

Day Range$360.77 – $371.11

Market Cap

Monthly Range$318.01 – $374.09

24h Volume

90D Range$275.06 – $374.09

Circulating

52W Range$141.37 – $374.09

Max Supply

Open	$369.15	Start Date
Day Range	$360.77 – $371.11	Market Cap
Monthly Range	$318.01 – $374.09	24h Volume
90D Range	$275.06 – $374.09	Circulating
52W Range	$141.37 – $374.09	Max Supply

רמות תמיכה והתנגדות

$406.47R3 — upper range

$391.19R2 — swing high

$379.73R1 — near-term cap

$366.36מחיר נוכחיTSM

$352.99S1 — short-term supportSupport

$341.53S2 — trend support

$326.25S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is $379.73; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near $352.99; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 2.37%.

מחיר אבני דרך

רמות מפתח והקשר היסטורי

Recent$366.36Current

Current reference level.

90D High$374.09Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low$275.06Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

דיוק תחזית

איך המודל שלנו התפקד

76%

כִּוּוּנִי

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

האלגוריתם שלנו מכויל מחדש מדי שבוע באמצעות פעולת המחיר העדכנית ביותר, משטר התנודתיות ואינדיקטורים. הדיוק משתנה לפי מסגרת זמן - מומנטום לטווח קצר אמין יותר מאשר תחזיות לטווח ארוך.

Tomorrow

80%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

77%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

74%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

69%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

תרחישי השקעות

אם אתה משקיע $1,000 ב-TSM היום

Bullish Case

$1,409.74

+40.97% from current

מחיר יעד$516.47

תַרחִישׁBreakout continuation

הִסתַבְּרוּת25%

Base Case

$1,194.69

+19.47% from current

מחיר יעד$437.69

תַרחִישׁTrend-following baseline

הִסתַבְּרוּת50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

מחיר יעד$322.40

תַרחִישׁVolatility drawdown

הִסתַבְּרוּת25%

בָּסִיס: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.65% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.37% daily).

מטריצת מתאם

30 יום מתגלגל · איך TSM נע עם נכסים אחרים

	TSM
TSM	1.00

גורמי תחזית

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 93/100

24H drift+3.78%

7D drift+9.64%

30D drift+18.70%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 92/100

RSI66.2 · Bullish

MACD5.14 · Bullish

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 73/100

1M outlook+18.70%

1Y outlook+19.47%

5Y outlook+31.38%

שאלות נפוצות

Q What is the TSMC forecast for tomorrow?

TSMC is projected near $380.21 versus the latest reference around $366.36. That implies a modeled move of +3.78% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TSMC?

The weekly model points to $401.67, which maps to an expected drift of +9.64% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $434.86 (+18.70%), while the 1-year target is $437.69 (+19.47%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $481.31 with a modeled change of +31.38%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $379.73, while nearest support is around $352.99. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

TSMC תַחֲזִית: מָחָר, שָׁבוּעַ, חוֹדֶשׁ, 5 שנים

סיכום תחזית

טבלת מחירים

ניתוח טכני

אינדיקטורים מרכזיים

נתונים היסטוריים

רמות תמיכה והתנגדות

מחיר אבני דרך

דיוק תחזית

תרחישי השקעות

מטריצת מתאם

גורמי תחזית

שאלות נפוצות

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