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Alibaba תַחֲזִית: מָחָר, שָׁבוּעַ, חוֹדֶשׁ, 5 שנים

מְעוּדכָּן: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -41.86%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Earnings + trend

סיכום תחזית

מסגרת זמןמחיר חזויעָבָרהִיסטוֹרִיתוֹבָנָה
מָחָר$153.08 -1.70%אֶתמוֹל$158.73 -3.40%Tomorrow's Alibaba (BABA) setup is anchored to $155.73 and targets $153.08 (-1.70%). The near-term read is downside; watch $163.51 / $147.95 because daily realized volatility is about 4.70%.
Tomorrow's Alibaba (BABA) setup is anchored to $155.73 and targets $153.08 (-1.70%). The near-term read is downside; watch $163.51 / $147.95 because daily realized volatility is about 4.70%.
שָׁבוּעַ$148.50 -4.64%שבוע שעבר$159.14 -7.14%The 7-day Alibaba model moves from $159.14 to $148.50 (-4.64%). It gives downside momentum context for this stock, so breaks around $163.51 / $147.95 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day Alibaba model moves from $159.14 to $148.50 (-4.64%). It gives downside momentum context for this stock, so breaks around $163.51 / $147.95 matter more than a single tick.
חוֹדֶשׁ$141.21 -9.33%חודש שעבר$146.58 -7.06%The 1-month Alibaba target is $141.21 (-9.33%), compared with the live reference near $155.73. This horizon blends current trend pressure with price momentum, liquidity, and company-specific risk.
The 1-month Alibaba target is $141.21 (-9.33%), compared with the live reference near $155.73. This horizon blends current trend pressure with price momentum, liquidity, and company-specific risk.
שָׁנָה$139.36 -10.51%אֶשׁתָקַד$118.33 +64.30%The 1-year Alibaba scenario points to $139.36 (-10.51%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year Alibaba scenario points to $139.36 (-10.51%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 שנים$129.90 -16.59%לפני 5 שנים$270.70 +128.77%The 5-year Alibaba view is $129.90 (-16.59%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year Alibaba view is $129.90 (-16.59%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
מָחָר$153.08 -1.70%
אֶתמוֹל$158.73 -3.40%
Tomorrow's Alibaba (BABA) setup is anchored to $155.73 and targets $153.08 (-1.70%). The near-term read is downside; watch $163.51 / $147.95 because daily realized volatility is about 4.70%.
שָׁבוּעַ$148.50 -4.64%
שבוע שעבר$159.14 -7.14%
The 7-day Alibaba model moves from $159.14 to $148.50 (-4.64%). It gives downside momentum context for this stock, so breaks around $163.51 / $147.95 matter more than a single tick.
חוֹדֶשׁ$141.21 -9.33%
חודש שעבר$146.58 -7.06%
The 1-month Alibaba target is $141.21 (-9.33%), compared with the live reference near $155.73. This horizon blends current trend pressure with price momentum, liquidity, and company-specific risk.
שָׁנָה$139.36 -10.51%
אֶשׁתָקַד$118.33 +64.30%
The 1-year Alibaba scenario points to $139.36 (-10.51%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 שנים$129.90 -16.59%
לפני 5 שנים$270.70 +128.77%
The 5-year Alibaba view is $129.90 (-16.59%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

טבלת מחירים

הִיסטוֹרִיתַחֲזִיתשורידוּבִּי
$166.51$159.22$151.92$144.63$137.341W AgoNow7D F

ניתוח טכני

מְכִירָהנֵטרָלִילִקְנוֹת
Bearish
2
שורי
0
נֵטרָלִי
3
דוּבִּי

אינדיקטורים מרכזיים

מַדעֵרֶךאוֹת
RSI 1431.0 Bearish
MACD9.19 Bullish
SMA 50$159.38 Below
SMA 200$143.87 Above
EMA 20$248.70 Below

נתונים היסטוריים

Open$152.85
Start Date
Day Range$152.85 – $158.11
Market Cap
Monthly Range$146.75 – $177.18
24h Volume
90D Range$146.58 – $181.33
Circulating
52W Range$99.37 – $189.34
Max Supply
Open$152.85Start Date
Day Range$152.85 – $158.11Market Cap
Monthly Range$146.75 – $177.1824h Volume
90D Range$146.58 – $181.33Circulating
52W Range$99.37 – $189.34Max Supply

רמות תמיכה והתנגדות

$179.06R3 — upper range
$170.17R2 — swing high
$163.51R1 — near-term cap
$155.73מחיר נוכחיBABA
$147.95S1 — short-term supportSupport
$141.29S2 — trend support
$132.40S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $163.51; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $147.95; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 3.24%.

מחיר אבני דרך

רמות מפתח והקשר היסטורי
Recent$155.73Current
Current reference level.
90D High$181.33Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$146.58Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

דיוק תחזית

איך המודל שלנו התפקד
73%
כִּוּוּנִי
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
האלגוריתם שלנו מכויל מחדש מדי שבוע באמצעות פעולת המחיר העדכנית ביותר, משטר התנודתיות ואינדיקטורים. הדיוק משתנה לפי מסגרת זמן - מומנטום לטווח קצר אמין יותר מאשר תחזיות לטווח ארוך.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

תרחישי השקעות

אם אתה משקיע $1,000 ב-BABA היום
Bullish Case
$1,055.97
+5.60% from current
מחיר יעד$164.45
תַרחִישׁBreakout continuation
הִסתַבְּרוּת25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
מחיר יעד$161.96
תַרחִישׁTrend-following baseline
הִסתַבְּרוּת50%
Bearish Case
$816.07
-18.39% from current
מחיר יעד$127.09
תַרחִישׁVolatility drawdown
הִסתַבְּרוּת25%
בָּסִיס: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.25% / 30D) and volatility regime (3.24% daily).

גורמי תחזית

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 29/100
24H drift-1.70%
7D drift-4.64%
30D drift-9.33%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 46/100
RSI31.3 · Bearish
MACD9.23 · Bullish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 30/100
1M outlook-9.33%
1Y outlook-10.51%
5Y outlook-16.59%

שאלות נפוצות

Q What is the Alibaba (BABA) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), Alibaba is projected near $153.08 versus the current reference around $155.73. That implies a modeled move of -1.70% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day stock outlook suggest for BABA?
The weekly Alibaba model points to $148.50, which maps to an expected drift of -4.64% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the Alibaba 1-month and 1-year targets?
The Alibaba 1-month target is $141.21 (-9.33%), while the 1-year target is $139.36 (-10.51%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by price momentum, liquidity, and company-specific risk.
Q Why does the Alibaba 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The Alibaba long-horizon scenario sits near $129.90 with a modeled change of -16.59%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are BABA support and resistance zones right now?
For Alibaba, nearest resistance is around $163.51, while nearest support is around $147.95. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the Alibaba market snapshot?
The displayed stock snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.