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US2Y Treasury Yield Předpověď: Zítra, Týden, Měsíc, 5 let

Aktualizováno: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -1.42%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Shrnutí předpovědi

Časový rámecPředpokládaná cenaMinulostHistorickýVhled
Zítra3.434% ▼ -1.04%Včera3.520% ▲ +2.03%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Týden3.377% ▼ -2.69%Minulý týden3.570% ▼ -0.83%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc3.281% ▼ -5.43%Minulý měsíc3.450% ▼ -4.70%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok3.334% ▼ -3.92%Loni4.290% ▼ -6.74%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let3.261% ▼ -6.02%Před 5 lety4.600% ▲ +7.23%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Zítra3.434%▼ -1.04%
Včera3.520%▲ +2.03%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Týden3.377%▼ -2.69%
Minulý týden3.570%▼ -0.83%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Měsíc3.281%▼ -5.43%
Minulý měsíc3.450%▼ -4.70%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Rok3.334%▼ -3.92%
Loni4.290%▼ -6.74%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 let3.261%▼ -6.02%
Před 5 lety4.600%▲ +7.23%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Cenový graf

HistorickýPředpověďBýčíMedvědí
3.502%3.452%3.402%3.352%3.302%1W AgoNow7D F

Technická analýza

ProdatNeutrálníNakoupit
Bearish
1
Býčí
0
Neutrální
4
Medvědí

Klíčové indikátory

IndikátorHodnotaSignál
RSI 1436.5 Bearish
MACD0.12 Bullish
SMA 503.516% Below
SMA 2003.668% Below
EMA 204.422% Below

Historická data

Open3.520%
Start Date
Day Range3.450% – 3.610%
Market Cap
Monthly Range3.450% – 3.610%
24h Volume
90D Range3.410% – 3.630%
Circulating
52W Range3.410% – 4.360%
Max Supply
Open3.520%Start Date
Day Range3.450% – 3.610%Market Cap
Monthly Range3.450% – 3.610%24h Volume
90D Range3.410% – 3.630%Circulating
52W Range3.410% – 4.360%Max Supply

Úrovně podpory a odporu

3.624%R3 — upper range
3.565%R2 — swing high
3.521%R1 — near-term cap
3.470%Aktuální cenaUS2Y
3.419%S1 — short-term supportSupport
3.375%S2 — trend support
3.316%S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 3.521%; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 3.419%; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.96%.

Cenové milníky

Klíčové úrovně a historický kontext
Recent3.470%Current
Current reference level.
90D High3.630%Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low3.410%Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Přesnost předpovědi

Jak se dařilo našemu modelu
73%
Směrový
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Náš algoritmus je překalibrován každý týden pomocí nejnovější cenové akce, režimu volatility a signálů indikátorů. Přesnost se liší podle časového rámce – krátkodobá hybnost je spolehlivější než dlouhodobé projekce.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investiční scénáře

Pokud dnes investujete $1,000 do US2Y
Bullish Case
$1,133.78
+13.38% from current
Cílová cena3.934%
ScénářBreakout continuation
Pravděpodobnost25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Cílová cena3.609%
ScénářTrend-following baseline
Pravděpodobnost50%
Bearish Case
$851.09
-14.89% from current
Cílová cena2.953%
ScénářVolatility drawdown
Pravděpodobnost25%
Základ: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.02% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.96% daily).

Korelační matice

30denní průběžný · jak se US2Y pohybuje s ostatními aktivy
US2Y
US2Y1.00

Předpovědní faktory

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 38/100
24H drift-1.04%
7D drift-2.69%
30D drift-5.43%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI36.7 · Bearish
MACD0.14 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-5.43%
1Y outlook-3.92%
5Y outlook-6.02%

Často kladené otázky

Q What is the US 2Y Treasury Yield forecast for tomorrow?
US 2Y Treasury Yield is projected near 3.434% versus the latest reference around 3.470%. That implies a modeled move of -1.04% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US 2Y Treasury Yield?
The weekly model points to 3.377%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.69% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.281% (-5.43%), while the 1-year target is 3.334% (-3.92%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.261% with a modeled change of -6.02%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.521%, while nearest support is around 3.419%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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