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Shopify تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

تم التحديث: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▼ -22.57%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Earnings + trend

ملخص التوقعات

الإطار الزمني	السعر المتوقع	ماضي	تاريخية	بصيرة
غداً	$111.59 ▼ -0.98%	أمس	$110.66 ▼ -6.78%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
أسبوع	$109.66 ▼ -2.70%	الأسبوع الماضي	$114.02 ▼ -16.35%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر	$102.34 ▼ -9.19%	الشهر الماضي	$160.97 ▲ +15.04%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة	$95.98 ▼ -14.83%	العام الماضي	$120.49 ▲ +32.82%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات	$85.59 ▼ -24.05%	منذ 5 سنوات	$147.40 ▲ +22.33%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

غداً$111.59▼ -0.98%

أمس$110.66▼ -6.78%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).

أسبوع$109.66▼ -2.70%

الأسبوع الماضي$114.02▼ -16.35%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

شهر$102.34▼ -9.19%

الشهر الماضي$160.97▲ +15.04%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

سنة$95.98▼ -14.83%

العام الماضي$120.49▲ +32.82%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 سنوات$85.59▼ -24.05%

منذ 5 سنوات$147.40▲ +22.33%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

مخطط الأسعار

تاريخيةتنبؤ بالمناخصاعدسبحة

التحليل الفني

Bearish

صاعد

حيادي

سبحة

المؤشرات الرئيسية

مؤشر	قيمة	إشارة
RSI 14	34.3	Bearish
MACD	7.49	Bullish
SMA 50	$150.26	Below
SMA 200	$138.09	Below
EMA 20	$129.23	Below

البيانات التاريخية

Open$110.21

Start Date

Day Range$107.43 – $113.39

Market Cap

Monthly Range$110.66 – $168.45

24h Volume

90D Range$110.66 – $179.01

Circulating

52W Range$76.89 – $179.01

Max Supply

Open	$110.21	Start Date
Day Range	$107.43 – $113.39	Market Cap
Monthly Range	$110.66 – $168.45	24h Volume
90D Range	$110.66 – $179.01	Circulating
52W Range	$76.89 – $179.01	Max Supply

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

$134.30R3 — upper range

$126.07R2 — swing high

$119.90R1 — near-term cap

$112.70السعر الحاليSHOP

$105.50S1 — short-term supportSupport

$99.33S2 — trend support

$91.10S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is $119.90; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near $105.50; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 4.15%.

معالم الأسعار

المستويات الرئيسية والسياق التاريخي

Recent$112.70Current

Current reference level.

90D High$179.01Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low$110.66Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

دقة التنبؤ

كيف أداء نموذجنا

76%

اتجاهي

Forecast Accuracy

Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.

📊

تتم إعادة معايرة الخوارزمية الخاصة بنا أسبوعيًا باستخدام أحدث حركة السعر ونظام التقلب وإشارات المؤشرات. تختلف الدقة حسب الإطار الزمني - فالزخم قصير المدى أكثر موثوقية من التوقعات طويلة المدى.

Tomorrow

80%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

77%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

74%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

69%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

إذا استثمرت $1,000 في SHOP اليوم

Bullish Case

$1,004.95

+0.49% from current

السعر المستهدف$113.26

سيناريوBreakout continuation

احتمال25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

السعر المستهدف$117.21

سيناريوTrend-following baseline

احتمال50%

Bearish Case

$817.29

-18.27% from current

السعر المستهدف$92.11

سيناريوVolatility drawdown

احتمال25%

أساس: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-1.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (4.15% daily).

مصفوفة الارتباط

متداول لمدة 30 يومًا · كيف يتحرك SHOP مع الأصول الأخرى

	SHOP
SHOP	1.00

عوامل التنبؤ

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 34/100

24H drift-0.98%

7D drift-2.70%

30D drift-9.19%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 37/100

RSI34.5 · Bearish

MACD7.51 · Bullish

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 25/100

1M outlook-9.19%

1Y outlook-14.83%

5Y outlook-24.05%

الأسئلة المتداولة

Q What is the Shopify forecast for tomorrow?

Shopify is projected near $111.59 versus the latest reference around $112.70. That implies a modeled move of -0.98% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Shopify?

The weekly model points to $109.66, which maps to an expected drift of -2.70% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $102.34 (-9.19%), while the 1-year target is $95.98 (-14.83%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $85.59 with a modeled change of -24.05%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $119.90, while nearest support is around $105.50. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

Shopify تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

ملخص التوقعات

مخطط الأسعار

التحليل الفني

المؤشرات الرئيسية

البيانات التاريخية

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

معالم الأسعار

دقة التنبؤ

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

مصفوفة الارتباط

عوامل التنبؤ

الأسئلة المتداولة

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