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GBP/USD تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

تم التحديث: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -0.02%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

ملخص التوقعات

الإطار الزمنيالسعر المتوقعماضيتاريخيةبصيرة
غداً1.3680 +0.37%أمس1.3633 -0.09%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.37%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.37%).
أسبوع1.3769 +1.02%الأسبوع الماضي1.3656 -0.24%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر1.3998 +2.70%الشهر الماضي1.3355 -0.53%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة1.4063 +3.18%العام الماضي1.3369 +2.52%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات1.4320 +5.07%منذ 5 سنوات1.3040 -2.46%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
غداً1.3680 +0.37%
أمس1.3633 -0.09%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.37%).
أسبوع1.3769 +1.02%
الأسبوع الماضي1.3656 -0.24%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر1.3998 +2.70%
الشهر الماضي1.3355 -0.53%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة1.4063 +3.18%
العام الماضي1.3369 +2.52%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات1.4320 +5.07%
منذ 5 سنوات1.3040 -2.46%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

مخطط الأسعار

تاريخيةتنبؤ بالمناخصاعدسبحة
1.39541.38441.37351.36251.35161W AgoNow7D F

التحليل الفني

يبيعحيادييشتري
Bullish
3
صاعد
1
حيادي
1
سبحة

المؤشرات الرئيسية

مؤشرقيمةإشارة
RSI 1443.2 Bearish
MACD0.01 Neutral
SMA 501.3557 Above
SMA 2001.3426 Above
EMA 201.3186 Above

البيانات التاريخية

Open1.3632
Start Date
Day Range1.3629 – 1.3633
Market Cap
Monthly Range1.3425 – 1.3795
24h Volume
90D Range1.3045 – 1.3795
Circulating
52W Range1.3015 – 1.3795
Max Supply
Open1.3632Start Date
Day Range1.3629 – 1.3633Market Cap
Monthly Range1.3425 – 1.379524h Volume
90D Range1.3045 – 1.3795Circulating
52W Range1.3015 – 1.3795Max Supply

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

1.3916R3 — upper range
1.3807R2 — swing high
1.3725R1 — near-term cap
1.3630السعر الحاليGBP
1.3534S1 — short-term supportSupport
1.3452S2 — trend support
1.3343S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1.3725; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1.3534; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.37%.

معالم الأسعار

المستويات الرئيسية والسياق التاريخي
Recent1.3630Current
Current reference level.
90D High1.3795Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low1.3045Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

دقة التنبؤ

كيف أداء نموذجنا
74%
اتجاهي
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
تتم إعادة معايرة الخوارزمية الخاصة بنا أسبوعيًا باستخدام أحدث حركة السعر ونظام التقلب وإشارات المؤشرات. تختلف الدقة حسب الإطار الزمني - فالزخم قصير المدى أكثر موثوقية من التوقعات طويلة المدى.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

إذا استثمرت $1,000 في GBP اليوم
Bullish Case
$1,217.50
+21.75% from current
السعر المستهدف1.6594
سيناريوBreakout continuation
احتمال25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
السعر المستهدف1.4175
سيناريوTrend-following baseline
احتمال50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
السعر المستهدف1.1994
سيناريوVolatility drawdown
احتمال25%
أساس: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.07% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.37% daily).

مصفوفة الارتباط

متداول لمدة 30 يومًا · كيف يتحرك GBP مع الأصول الأخرى
GBP
GBP1.00

عوامل التنبؤ

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 55/100
24H drift+0.37%
7D drift+1.02%
30D drift+2.70%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI43.1 · Neutral
MACD0.00 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook+2.70%
1Y outlook+3.18%
5Y outlook+5.07%

الأسئلة المتداولة

Q What is the GBP/USD forecast for tomorrow?
GBP/USD is projected near 1.3680 versus the latest reference around 1.3630. That implies a modeled move of +0.37% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for GBP/USD?
The weekly model points to 1.3769, which maps to an expected drift of +1.02% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1.3998 (+2.70%), while the 1-year target is 1.4063 (+3.18%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1.4320 with a modeled change of +5.07%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1.3725, while nearest support is around 1.3534. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.