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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

已更新: March 12, 2026 at 23:48 UTC
▼ -0.20%TA 看涨 · Focus 宏观+技术面

预测总结

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大体时间预计价格过去的历史洞察力
明天$88.33 ▲ +1.56%昨天$87.14 ▼ -0.20%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
星期$86.65 ▼ -0.37%上星期$88.79 ▼ -2.05%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月$83.41 ▼ -4.09%上个月$88.53 ▼ -1.76%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年$85.77 ▼ -1.38%去年$89.86 ▼ -3.22%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$83.97 ▼ -3.45%5年前$136.06 ▼ -36.08%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明天$88.33▲ +1.56%
昨天$87.14▼ -0.20%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
星期$86.65▼ -0.37%
上星期$88.79▼ -2.05%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月$83.41▼ -4.09%
上个月$88.53▼ -1.76%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年$85.77▼ -1.38%
去年$89.86▼ -3.22%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$83.97▼ -3.45%
5年前$136.06▼ -36.08%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

价格走势图

历史预报看涨看跌
$89.39$88.41$87.44$86.46$85.491W AgoNow7D F

技术分析

卖中性的买
Bearish
0
看涨
2
中性的
3
看跌

关键指标

指标价值信号
RSI 148.5 Bearish
MACD0.04 Neutral
SMA 50$86.88 Mid
SMA 200$92.86 Below
EMA 20$94.95 Below

史料

Open$87.14
Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$86.78 – $87.25
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.82
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.57
Max Supplyn/a
Open$87.14Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$86.78 – $87.25Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $90.8224h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $90.82Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $98.57Max Supplyn/a

支撑位和阻力位

$88.34R3 — major ceiling
$87.93R2 — swing resistance
$87.52R1 — near-term resistance
$86.97当前价格TLT
$85.23S1 — near-term supportSupport
$82.62S2 — structure support
$80.01S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $87.52; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $85.23; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.66% daily realized volatility.

价格里程碑

关键层面和历史背景
Recent$86.97Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$87.25Local High+0.32%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$86.78Local Low-0.22%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$83.41Model 1M-4.09%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$85.77Model 1Y-1.38%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$83.97Model 5Y-3.45%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

预测准确度

我们的模型表现如何
83%
定向
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.66% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
我们的算法每周使用最新的价格行为、波动机制和指标信号进行重新校准。准确性因时间范围而异——短期势头比长期预测更可靠。
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投资场景

如果您今天投资 $1,000 于 TLT
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
目标价格$97.41
设想Breakout continuation
可能性32%
Base Case
$959.07
-4.09% from current
目标价格$83.41
设想Trend-following baseline
可能性40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目标价格$80.01
设想Volatility drawdown
可能性28%
基础: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.09% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.66% daily).

相关矩阵

30天滚动·TLT如何与其他资产一起移动
TLTXLFDIASPYXLEQQQ
TLT1.00-0.99-0.97-0.97-0.97-0.96
XLF-0.991.000.990.990.960.98
DIA-0.970.991.000.990.950.98
SPY-0.970.990.991.000.941.00
XLE-0.970.960.950.941.000.92
QQQ-0.960.980.981.000.921.00

预测因素

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 49/100
24H drift+1.56%
7D drift-0.37%
30D drift-4.09%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 27/100
RSI8.2 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-4.09%
1Y outlook-1.38%
5Y outlook-3.45%

常见问题解答

Q What is the TLT forecast for tomorrow?
TLT is projected near $88.33 versus the latest reference around $86.97. That implies a modeled move of +1.56% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TLT?
The weekly model points to $86.65, which maps to an expected drift of -0.37% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.41 (-4.09%), while the 1-year target is $85.77 (-1.38%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.97 with a modeled change of -3.45%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $87.52, while nearest support is around $85.23. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $86.78 to $87.25. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.