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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

已更新: March 12, 2026 at 23:48 UTC
▼ -1.52%TA 中性的 · Focus 宏观+技术面

预测总结

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大体时间预计价格过去的历史洞察力
明天$681.45 ▲ +2.31%昨天$676.33 ▼ -1.52%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
星期$701.11 ▲ +5.26%上星期$681.31 ▼ -2.24%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月$727.99 ▲ +9.30%上个月$692.12 ▼ -3.77%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年$743.10 ▲ +11.57%去年$558.87 ▲ +19.18%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$780.82 ▲ +17.23%5年前$394.06 ▲ +69.03%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明天$681.45▲ +2.31%
昨天$676.33▼ -1.52%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
星期$701.11▲ +5.26%
上星期$681.31▼ -2.24%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月$727.99▲ +9.30%
上个月$692.12▼ -3.77%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年$743.10▲ +11.57%
去年$558.87▲ +19.18%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$780.82▲ +17.23%
5年前$394.06▲ +69.03%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

价格走势图

历史预报看涨看跌
$710.53$699.41$688.30$677.18$666.061W AgoNow7D F

技术分析

卖中性的买
Bullish
4
看涨
0
中性的
1
看跌

关键指标

指标价值信号
RSI 1489.6 Bullish
MACD0.05 Bullish
SMA 50$689.04 Below
SMA 200$642.14 Above
EMA 20$639.10 Above

史料

Open$676.33
Start Date1993-02-01
Day Range$665.87 – $671.65
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$666.06 – $695.41
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49
Max Supplyn/a
Open$676.33Start Date1993-02-01
Day Range$665.87 – $671.65Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$666.06 – $695.4124h Volumen/a
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49Circulatingn/a
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49Max Supplyn/a

支撑位和阻力位

$678.93R3 — major ceiling
$675.07R2 — swing resistance
$671.21R1 — near-term resistance
$666.06当前价格SPY
$652.74S1 — near-term supportSupport
$632.76S2 — structure support
$612.78S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $671.21; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $652.74; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.80% daily realized volatility.

价格里程碑

关键层面和历史背景
Recent$666.06Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$671.65Local High+0.84%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$665.87Local Low-0.03%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$727.99Model 1M+9.30%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$743.10Model 1Y+11.57%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$780.82Model 5Y+17.23%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

预测准确度

我们的模型表现如何
83%
定向
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.80% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
我们的算法每周使用最新的价格行为、波动机制和指标信号进行重新校准。准确性因时间范围而异——短期势头比长期预测更可靠。
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投资场景

如果您今天投资 $1,000 于 SPY
Bullish Case
$1172.30
+17.23% from current
目标价格$780.82
设想Breakout continuation
可能性35%
Base Case
$1092.98
+9.30% from current
目标价格$727.99
设想Trend-following baseline
可能性37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目标价格$612.78
设想Volatility drawdown
可能性28%
基础: Scenario engine blends live drift (+9.30% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.80% daily).

相关矩阵

30天滚动·SPY如何与其他资产一起移动
SPYQQQGLDDIAXLFTLT
SPY1.000.960.950.920.91-0.85
QQQ0.961.000.870.980.98-0.96
GLD0.950.871.000.820.80-0.73
DIA0.920.980.821.000.99-0.96
XLF0.910.980.800.991.00-0.99
TLT-0.85-0.96-0.73-0.96-0.991.00

预测因素

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 73/100
24H drift+2.31%
7D drift+5.26%
30D drift+9.30%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI89.2 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 62/100
1M outlook+9.30%
1Y outlook+11.57%
5Y outlook+17.23%

常见问题解答

Q What is the SPY forecast for tomorrow?
SPY is projected near $681.45 versus the latest reference around $666.06. That implies a modeled move of +2.31% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPY?
The weekly model points to $701.11, which maps to an expected drift of +5.26% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $727.99 (+9.30%), while the 1-year target is $743.10 (+11.57%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $780.82 with a modeled change of +17.23%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $671.21, while nearest support is around $652.74. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $665.87 to $671.65. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.