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US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

已更新: March 13, 2026 at 02:49 UTC
• -0.00%TA 看跌 · Focus 利率+宏观

预测总结

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大体时间预计价格过去的历史洞察力
明天3.562% ▼ -1.20%昨天3.600% ▲ +0.14%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
星期3.500% ▼ -2.91%上星期3.588% ▲ +0.47%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月3.409% ▼ -5.43%上个月3.590% ▲ +0.42%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年3.365% ▼ -6.67%去年4.197% ▼ -14.11%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年3.278% ▼ -9.07%5年前0.025% ▲ +14320.00%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明天3.562%▼ -1.20%
昨天3.600%▲ +0.14%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
星期3.500%▼ -2.91%
上星期3.588%▲ +0.47%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月3.409%▼ -5.43%
上个月3.590%▲ +0.42%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年3.365%▼ -6.67%
去年4.197%▼ -14.11%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年3.278%▼ -9.07%
5年前0.025%▲ +14320.00%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

价格走势图

历史预报看涨看跌
3.605%3.567%3.529%3.491%3.453%1W AgoNow7D F

技术分析

卖中性的买
Bullish
4
看涨
1
中性的
0
看跌

关键指标

指标价值信号
RSI 1489.5 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 503.544% Above
SMA 2003.231% Above
EMA 202.965% Above

史料

Open3.600%
Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range3.595% – 3.607%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.570% – 3.605%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.507% – 3.793%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.507% – 4.535%
Max Supplyn/a
Open3.600%Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range3.595% – 3.607%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.570% – 3.605%24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.507% – 3.793%Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.507% – 4.535%Max Supplyn/a

支撑位和阻力位

3.641%R3 — major ceiling
3.630%R2 — swing resistance
3.619%R1 — near-term resistance
3.605%当前价格US2Y
3.533%S1 — near-term supportSupport
3.425%S2 — structure support
3.317%S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 3.619%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 3.533%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.25% daily realized volatility.

价格里程碑

关键层面和历史背景
Recent3.605%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High3.607%Local High+0.06%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low3.595%Local Low-0.28%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target3.409%Model 1M-5.44%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target3.365%Model 1Y-6.66%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario3.278%Model 5Y-9.07%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

预测准确度

我们的模型表现如何
84%
定向
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.25% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
我们的算法每周使用最新的价格行为、波动机制和指标信号进行重新校准。准确性因时间范围而异——短期势头比长期预测更可靠。
Tomorrow
87%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
85%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
77%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投资场景

如果您今天投资 $1,000 于 US2Y
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
目标价格4.038%
设想Breakout continuation
可能性32%
Base Case
$945.63
-5.44% from current
目标价格3.409%
设想Trend-following baseline
可能性37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目标价格3.317%
设想Volatility drawdown
可能性31%
基础: Scenario engine blends live drift (-5.43% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.25% daily).

相关矩阵

30天滚动·US2Y如何与其他资产一起移动
US2YUK10YUS30YDE10YUS10Y
US2Y1.00-0.960.72-0.650.56
UK10Y-0.961.00-0.750.75-0.42
US30Y0.72-0.751.00-0.780.29
DE10Y-0.650.75-0.781.000.18
US10Y0.56-0.420.290.181.00

预测因素

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 37/100
24H drift-1.20%
7D drift-2.91%
30D drift-5.43%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI89.7 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 38/100
1M outlook-5.43%
1Y outlook-6.67%
5Y outlook-9.07%

常见问题解答

Q What is the US2Y forecast for tomorrow?
US2Y is projected near 3.562% versus the latest reference around 3.605%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US2Y?
The weekly model points to 3.500%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.91% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.409% (-5.43%), while the 1-year target is 3.365% (-6.67%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.278% with a modeled change of -9.07%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.619%, while nearest support is around 3.533%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 3.595% to 3.607%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.