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Germany 10Y Bond Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

已更新: March 13, 2026 at 02:53 UTC
▲ +5.90%TA 看涨 · Focus 利率+宏观

预测总结

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大体时间预计价格过去的历史洞察力
明天2.793% ▼ -0.76%昨天2.658% ▲ +5.87%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
星期2.757% ▼ -2.02%上星期2.563% ▲ +9.79%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月2.694% ▼ -4.26%上个月2.376% ▲ +18.43%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年3.071% ▲ +9.14%去年4.600% ▼ -38.83%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年3.329% ▲ +18.29%5年前8.928% ▼ -68.48%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明天2.793%▼ -0.76%
昨天2.658%▲ +5.87%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
星期2.757%▼ -2.02%
上星期2.563%▲ +9.79%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月2.694%▼ -4.26%
上个月2.376%▲ +18.43%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年3.071%▲ +9.14%
去年4.600%▼ -38.83%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年3.329%▲ +18.29%
5年前8.928%▼ -68.48%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

价格走势图

历史预报看涨看跌
2.888%2.807%2.726%2.644%2.563%1W AgoNow7D F

技术分析

卖中性的买
Bearish
1
看涨
1
中性的
3
看跌

关键指标

指标价值信号
RSI 149.8 Bearish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 502.713% Above
SMA 2003.576% Below
EMA 203.827% Below

史料

Open2.658%
Start Date2021-03-13
Day Range2.592% – 2.883%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range2.268% – 2.942%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range2.232% – 2.985%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range2.590% – 4.966%
Max Supplyn/a
Open2.658%Start Date2021-03-13
Day Range2.592% – 2.883%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range2.268% – 2.942%24h Volumen/a
90D Range2.232% – 2.985%Circulatingn/a
52W Range2.590% – 4.966%Max Supplyn/a

支撑位和阻力位

3.070%R3 — major ceiling
2.993%R2 — swing resistance
2.916%R1 — near-term resistance
2.814%当前价格DE10Y
2.712%S1 — near-term supportSupport
2.635%S2 — structure support
2.558%S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 2.916%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 2.712%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.79% daily realized volatility.

价格里程碑

关键层面和历史背景
Recent2.814%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High2.883%Local High+2.46%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low2.592%Local Low-7.87%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target2.694%Model 1M-4.26%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target3.071%Model 1Y+9.13%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario3.329%Model 5Y+18.30%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

预测准确度

我们的模型表现如何
80%
定向
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (3.79% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
我们的算法每周使用最新的价格行为、波动机制和指标信号进行重新校准。准确性因时间范围而异——短期势头比长期预测更可靠。
Tomorrow
83%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
78%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
73%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±6.3%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投资场景

如果您今天投资 $1,000 于 DE10Y
Bullish Case
$1183.01
+18.30% from current
目标价格3.329%
设想Breakout continuation
可能性32%
Base Case
$957.36
-4.26% from current
目标价格2.694%
设想Trend-following baseline
可能性40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目标价格2.589%
设想Volatility drawdown
可能性28%
基础: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.26% / 30D) and realized volatility (3.79% daily).

相关矩阵

30天滚动·DE10Y如何与其他资产一起移动
DE10YUS2YUS30YUK10YUS10Y
DE10Y1.000.82-0.780.750.18
US2Y0.821.00-0.440.280.66
US30Y-0.78-0.441.00-0.750.29
UK10Y0.750.28-0.751.00-0.42
US10Y0.180.660.29-0.421.00

预测因素

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 41/100
24H drift-0.76%
7D drift-2.02%
30D drift-4.26%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI9.9 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 53/100
1M outlook-4.26%
1Y outlook+9.14%
5Y outlook+18.29%

常见问题解答

Q What is the DE10Y forecast for tomorrow?
DE10Y is projected near 2.793% versus the latest reference around 2.814%. That implies a modeled move of -0.76% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for DE10Y?
The weekly model points to 2.757%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.02% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 2.694% (-4.26%), while the 1-year target is 3.071% (+9.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.329% with a modeled change of +18.29%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 2.916%, while nearest support is around 2.712%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 2.592% to 2.883%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.