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USD/ZAR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 23:21 UTC
▼ -2.85%TA Bearish · Focus Macro + technical

Підсумок прогнозу

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часові рамкиПрогнозована цінаминулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра16.1660 ▼ -0.76%вчора16.7694 ▼ -2.85%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
тиждень16.1942 ▼ -0.59%Минулий тиждень16.0747 ▲ +1.35%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць16.4693 ▲ +1.10%Останній місяць16.2413 ▲ +0.31%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік15.4837 ▼ -4.95%Минулого року18.2583 ▼ -10.77%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років15.0922 ▼ -7.35%5 років тому15.0659 ▲ +8.13%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
завтра16.1660▼ -0.76%
вчора16.7694▼ -2.85%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
тиждень16.1942▼ -0.59%
Минулий тиждень16.0747▲ +1.35%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць16.4693▲ +1.10%
Останній місяць16.2413▲ +0.31%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік15.4837▼ -4.95%
Минулого року18.2583▼ -10.77%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років15.0922▼ -7.35%
5 років тому15.0659▲ +8.13%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий
16.769416.570016.370716.171315.97201W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийкупити
Bullish
2
бичачий
2
Нейтральний
1
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1460.0 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 5016.3274 Mid
SMA 20016.3922 Below
EMA 2016.1946 Above

Історичні дані

Open16.7694
Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range16.1993 – 16.3077
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.7694
24h Volumen/a
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910
Circulatingn/a
52W Range14.8604 – 19.7578
Max Supplyn/a
Open16.7694Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range16.1993 – 16.3077Market Capn/a
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.769424h Volumen/a
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910Circulatingn/a
52W Range14.8604 – 19.7578Max Supplyn/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

16.7378R3 — major ceiling
16.6038R2 — swing resistance
16.4698R1 — near-term resistance
16.2911Поточна цінаUSD
15.9653S1 — near-term supportSupport
15.4765S2 — structure support
14.9878S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 16.4698; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 15.9653; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.14% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent16.2911Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High16.3077Local High+0.10%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low16.1993Local Low-0.56%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target16.4693Model 1M+1.09%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target15.4837Model 1Y-4.96%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario15.0922Model 5Y-7.36%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
83%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.14% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у USD сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Цільова ціна18.2460
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність32%
Base Case
$1010.94
+1.09% from current
Цільова ціна16.4693
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Цільова ціна14.9878
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність28%
Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (+1.10% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.14% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як USD рухається з іншими активами
USDUSDZARUSDSEKUSDRUBUSDHUFUSDTWD
USD1.000.960.950.950.930.92
USDZAR0.961.000.990.970.980.97
USDSEK0.950.991.000.981.000.97
USDRUB0.950.970.981.000.980.92
USDHUF0.930.981.000.981.000.96
USDTWD0.920.970.970.920.961.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 49/100
24H drift-0.76%
7D drift-0.59%
30D drift+1.10%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 65/100
RSI60.1 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 45/100
1M outlook+1.10%
1Y outlook-4.95%
5Y outlook-7.35%

Часті запитання

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 16.1660 versus the latest reference around 16.2911. That implies a modeled move of -0.76% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 16.1942, which maps to an expected drift of -0.59% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.4693 (+1.10%), while the 1-year target is 15.4837 (-4.95%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.0922 with a modeled change of -7.35%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 16.4698, while nearest support is around 15.9653. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 16.1993 to 16.3077. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.