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Прогноз USD/BRL: завтра, тиждень, місяць, 5 років

Оновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -2.99%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Підсумок прогнозу

ПеріодПрогнозована цінаМинулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра5.1835 -0.46%вчора5.2139 +0.29%Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.
Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.
тиждень5.1432 -1.23%Минулий тиждень5.2380 -0.78%The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.
місяць5.0389 -3.24%Останній місяць5.4216 +1.75%The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
рік5.0730 -2.58%Минулого року5.7013 +15.30%The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 років4.9976 -4.03%5 років тому5.6793 -0.39%The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
завтра5.1835 -0.46%
вчора5.2139 +0.29%
Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.
тиждень5.1432 -1.23%
Минулий тиждень5.2380 -0.78%
The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.
місяць5.0389 -3.24%
Останній місяць5.4216 +1.75%
The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
рік5.0730 -2.58%
Минулого року5.7013 +15.30%
The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 років4.9976 -4.03%
5 років тому5.6793 -0.39%
The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозБичачийВедмежий
5.24575.20285.15995.11705.07411W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийКупувати
Bearish
0
бичачий
0
Нейтральний
5
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1439.6 Bearish
MACD-0.07 Bearish
SMA 505.3664 Below
SMA 2005.4351 Below
EMA 205.5047 Below

Історичні дані

Open5.2240
Start Date
Day Range5.2074 – 5.2243
Market Cap
Monthly Range5.1836 – 5.4075
24h Volume
90D Range5.1836 – 5.5900
Circulating
52W Range5.1836 – 6.0205
Max Supply
Open5.2240Start Date
Day Range5.2074 – 5.2243Market Cap
Monthly Range5.1836 – 5.407524h Volume
90D Range5.1836 – 5.5900Circulating
52W Range5.1836 – 6.0205Max Supply

Рівні підтримки та опору

5.3399R3 — upper range
5.2894R2 — swing high
5.2516R1 — near-term cap
5.2074Поточна цінаUSD
5.1632S1 — short-term supportSupport
5.1254S2 — trend support
5.0749S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 5.2516; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 5.1632; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.55%.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent5.2074Current
Current reference level.
90D High5.5900Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low5.1836Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
74%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у USD сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1,149.56
+14.96% from current
Цільова ціна5.9862
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Цільова ціна5.4157
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність50%
Bearish Case
$870.87
-12.91% from current
Цільова ціна4.5350
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність25%
Основа: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.13% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 44/100
24H drift-0.46%
7D drift-1.23%
30D drift-3.24%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 8/100
RSI39.7 · Bearish
MACD-0.06 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-3.24%
1Y outlook-2.58%
5Y outlook-4.03%

Часті запитання

Q What is the USD/BRL (USD) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/BRL is projected near 5.1835 versus the current reference around 5.2074. That implies a modeled move of -0.46% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly USD/BRL model points to 5.1432, which maps to an expected drift of -1.23% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the USD/BRL 1-month and 1-year targets?
The USD/BRL 1-month target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), while the 1-year target is 5.0730 (-2.58%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Q Why does the USD/BRL 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The USD/BRL long-horizon scenario sits near 4.9976 with a modeled change of -4.03%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?
For USD/BRL, nearest resistance is around 5.2516, while nearest support is around 5.1632. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the USD/BRL market snapshot?
The displayed forex pair snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.