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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 21:43 UTC

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▼ -0.24%TA Neutral · Focus Macro + technical

Підсумок прогнозу

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часові рамки	Прогнозована ціна	минуле	Історичний	Інсайт
завтра	156.7851 ▼ -0.80%	вчора	158.4270 ▼ -0.24%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
тиждень	155.3348 ▼ -1.72%	Минулий тиждень	157.2570 ▲ +0.50%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць	154.4967 ▼ -2.25%	Останній місяць	156.7840 ▲ +0.81%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік	153.7312 ▼ -2.73%	Минулого року	147.6080 ▲ +7.07%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років	153.6430 ▼ -2.79%	5 років тому	108.4320 ▲ +45.76%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

завтра156.7851▼ -0.80%

вчора158.4270▼ -0.24%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

тиждень155.3348▼ -1.72%

Минулий тиждень157.2570▲ +0.50%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

місяць154.4967▼ -2.25%

Останній місяць156.7840▲ +0.81%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

рік153.7312▼ -2.73%

Минулого року147.6080▲ +7.07%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 років153.6430▼ -2.79%

5 років тому108.4320▲ +45.76%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий

Технічний аналіз

Bullish

бичачий

Нейтральний

Ведмежий

Ключові показники

Індикатор	Значення	Сигнал
RSI 14	92.6	Bullish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	156.7246	Above
SMA 200	150.3524	Above
EMA 20	147.8927	Above

Історичні дані

Open158.4270

Start Date1996-11-01

Day Range157.2620 – 158.1320

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range152.4530 – 158.4270

24h Volumen/a

90D Range152.4530 – 159.1790

Circulatingn/a

52W Range140.8760 – 159.1790

Max Supplyn/a

Open	158.4270	Start Date	1996-11-01
Day Range	157.2620 – 158.1320	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	152.4530 – 158.4270	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	152.4530 – 159.1790	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	140.8760 – 159.1790	Max Supply	n/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

160.2815R3 — major ceiling

159.6112R2 — swing resistance

158.9408R1 — near-term resistance

158.0470Поточна цінаUSD

154.8861S1 — near-term supportSupport

150.1447S2 — structure support

145.4032S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 158.9408; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 154.8861; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.59% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст

Recent158.0470Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High158.1320Local High+0.05%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low157.2620Local Low-0.50%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target154.4967Model 1M-2.25%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target153.7312Model 1Y-2.73%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario153.6430Model 5Y-2.79%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель

83%

Спрямований

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.59% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у USD сьогодні

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Цільова ціна177.0126

СценарійBreakout continuation

Ймовірність32%

Base Case

$977.54

-2.25% from current

Цільова ціна154.4967

СценарійTrend-following baseline

Ймовірність40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Цільова ціна145.4032

СценарійVolatility drawdown

Ймовірність28%

Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.25% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.59% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як USD рухається з іншими активами

	USD	USDTRY	USDARS	SGDJPY	USDINR	USDIDR
USD	1.00	0.99	0.99	0.98	0.98	0.98
USDTRY	0.99	1.00	1.00	0.98	0.98	0.98
USDARS	0.99	1.00	1.00	0.98	0.97	0.98
SGDJPY	0.98	0.98	0.98	1.00	0.99	1.00
USDINR	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.99	1.00	0.99
USDIDR	0.98	0.98	0.98	1.00	0.99	1.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 43/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.72%

30D drift-2.25%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI92.7 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 45/100

1M outlook-2.25%

1Y outlook-2.73%

5Y outlook-2.79%

Часті запитання

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 156.7851 versus the latest reference around 158.0470. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 155.3348, which maps to an expected drift of -1.72% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 154.4967 (-2.25%), while the 1-year target is 153.7312 (-2.73%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6430 with a modeled change of -2.79%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 158.9408, while nearest support is around 154.8861. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 157.2620 to 158.1320. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.