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Прогноз USD/HUF: завтра, тиждень, місяць, 5 років

Оновлено: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +8.04%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Підсумок прогнозу

ПеріодПрогнозована цінаМинулеІсторичнийІнсайт
завтра319.2847 ▲ +0.28%вчора318.9170 ▼ -0.06%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
тиждень320.9936 ▲ +0.82%Минулий тиждень321.4810 ▲ +0.13%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць324.4118 ▲ +1.89%Останній місяць326.9410 ▼ -1.14%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік308.8912 ▼ -2.98%Минулого року382.9700 ▲ +5.23%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років302.7406 ▼ -4.91%5 років тому300.1700 ▼ -21.62%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
завтра319.2847▲ +0.28%
вчора318.9170▼ -0.06%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
тиждень320.9936▲ +0.82%
Минулий тиждень321.4810▲ +0.13%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць324.4118▲ +1.89%
Останній місяць326.9410▼ -1.14%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік308.8912▼ -2.98%
Минулого року382.9700▲ +5.23%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років302.7406▼ -4.91%
5 років тому300.1700▼ -21.62%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозБичачийВедмежий
325.3779322.8811320.3844317.8877315.39101W AgoNow7D F

Технічний аналіз

ПродатиНейтральнийКупувати
Bearish
1
бичачий
0
Нейтральний
4
Ведмежий

Ключові показники

ІндикаторЗначенняСигнал
RSI 1444.5 Bearish
MACD-2.57 Bearish
SMA 50325.9760 Below
SMA 200336.7222 Below
EMA 20299.4714 Above

Історичні дані

Open319.6700
Start Date
Day Range317.6700 – 319.6700
Market Cap
Monthly Range315.6100 – 331.4940
24h Volume
90D Range315.6100 – 338.5210
Circulating
52W Range315.6100 – 385.4140
Max Supply
Open319.6700Start Date
Day Range317.6700 – 319.6700Market Cap
Monthly Range315.6100 – 331.494024h Volume
90D Range315.6100 – 338.5210Circulating
52W Range315.6100 – 385.4140Max Supply

Рівні підтримки та опору

327.0457R3 — upper range
323.7445R2 — swing high
321.2686R1 — near-term cap
318.3800Поточна цінаUSD
315.4914S1 — short-term supportSupport
313.0155S2 — trend support
309.7143S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 321.2686; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 315.4914; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.59%.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст
Recent318.3800Current
Current reference level.
90D High338.5210Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low315.6100Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель
74%
Спрямований
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у USD сьогодні
Bullish Case
$1,144.83
+14.48% from current
Цільова ціна364.4916
СценарійBreakout continuation
Ймовірність25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Цільова ціна331.1152
СценарійTrend-following baseline
Ймовірність50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Цільова ціна280.1744
СценарійVolatility drawdown
Ймовірність25%
Основа: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.59% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як USD рухається з іншими активами
USD
USD1.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 54/100
24H drift+0.28%
7D drift+0.82%
30D drift+1.89%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI44.5 · Neutral
MACD-2.58 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook+1.89%
1Y outlook-2.98%
5Y outlook-4.91%

Часті запитання

Q What is the USD/HUF forecast for tomorrow?
USD/HUF is projected near 319.2847 versus the latest reference around 318.3800. That implies a modeled move of +0.28% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/HUF?
The weekly model points to 320.9936, which maps to an expected drift of +0.82% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 324.4118 (+1.89%), while the 1-year target is 308.8912 (-2.98%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 302.7406 with a modeled change of -4.91%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 321.2686, while nearest support is around 315.4914. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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