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ARK Innovation ETF Tahmin etmek: Yarın, Hafta, Ay, 5 Yıl

Güncellendi: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -55.13%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Tahmin Özeti

Zaman aralığıTahmini FiyatGeçmişTarihselİç yüzü
Yarın$68.83 -2.02%Dün$68.45 -3.41%Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Hafta$66.28 -5.65%Geçen hafta$69.99 -12.42%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Ay$61.93 -11.84%Geçen ay$76.92 +1.89%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Yıl$59.95 -14.66%Geçen sene$62.68 +26.40%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Yıl$53.44 -23.93%5 Yıl Önce$155.12 +147.48%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Yarın$68.83 -2.02%
Dün$68.45 -3.41%
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Hafta$66.28 -5.65%
Geçen hafta$69.99 -12.42%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Ay$61.93 -11.84%
Geçen ay$76.92 +1.89%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Yıl$59.95 -14.66%
Geçen sene$62.68 +26.40%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Yıl$53.44 -23.93%
5 Yıl Önce$155.12 +147.48%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Fiyat Tablosu

TarihselTahmin etmekYükselişdüşüş eğilimi
$72.44$69.94$67.44$64.95$62.451W AgoNow7D F

Teknik Analiz

SatmakDoğalSatın almak
Bearish
1
Yükseliş
0
Doğal
4
düşüş eğilimi

Temel Göstergeler

GöstergeDeğerSinyal
RSI 1430.7 Bearish
MACD8.00 Bullish
SMA 50$78.51 Below
SMA 200$75.00 Below
EMA 20$136.65 Below

Geçmiş Veriler

Open$69.56
Start Date
Day Range$68.94 – $71.34
Market Cap
Monthly Range$66.33 – $83.21
24h Volume
90D Range$66.33 – $92.53
Circulating
52W Range$40.51 – $92.53
Max Supply
Open$69.56Start Date
Day Range$68.94 – $71.34Market Cap
Monthly Range$66.33 – $83.2124h Volume
90D Range$66.33 – $92.53Circulating
52W Range$40.51 – $92.53Max Supply

Destek ve Direnç Seviyeleri

$78.34R3 — upper range
$75.26R2 — swing high
$72.95R1 — near-term cap
$70.25Güncel FiyatARKK
$67.55S1 — short-term supportSupport
$65.24S2 — trend support
$62.16S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $72.95; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $67.55; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 2.49%.

Fiyat Aşamaları

Anahtar seviyeler ve tarihsel bağlam
Recent$70.25Current
Current reference level.
90D High$92.53Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$66.33Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Tahmin Doğruluğu

Modelimizin performansı nasıl?
74%
Yönlü
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritmamız, en son fiyat hareketi, oynaklık rejimi ve gösterge sinyalleri kullanılarak haftalık olarak yeniden kalibre edilir. Doğruluk zaman dilimine göre değişir; kısa vadeli momentum, uzun vadeli tahminlerden daha güvenilirdir.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Yatırım Senaryoları

Bugün $1,000'yu ARKK'ya yatırırsanız
Bullish Case
$1,007.00
+0.70% from current
Hedef Fiyat$70.74
SenaryoBreakout continuation
Olasılık25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Hedef Fiyat$73.06
SenaryoTrend-following baseline
Olasılık50%
Bearish Case
$793.40
-20.66% from current
Hedef Fiyat$55.74
SenaryoVolatility drawdown
Olasılık25%
Temel: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.27% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.49% daily).

Korelasyon Matrisi

30 günlük döngü · ARKK'nun diğer varlıklarla birlikte nasıl hareket ettiği
ARKK
ARKK1.00

Tahmin Faktörleri

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 24/100
24H drift-2.02%
7D drift-5.65%
30D drift-11.84%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI31.0 · Bearish
MACD8.05 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 22/100
1M outlook-11.84%
1Y outlook-14.66%
5Y outlook-23.93%

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

Q What is the ARK Innovation ETF forecast for tomorrow?
ARK Innovation ETF is projected near $68.83 versus the latest reference around $70.25. That implies a modeled move of -2.02% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for ARK Innovation ETF?
The weekly model points to $66.28, which maps to an expected drift of -5.65% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $61.93 (-11.84%), while the 1-year target is $59.95 (-14.66%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $53.44 with a modeled change of -23.93%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $72.95, while nearest support is around $67.55. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.