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Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Uppdaterad: March 15, 2026 at 14:12 UTC

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• -0.00%TA Hausse · Focus Makro + teknisk

Prognossammanfattning

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Tidsram	Förväntat pris	Tidigare	Historiska	Insikt
Imorgon	$56.42 ▼ -2.22%	Igår	$57.70 • -0.00%	Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Vecka	$58.01 ▲ +0.54%	Förra veckan	$56.57 ▲ +2.00%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Månad	$61.09 ▲ +5.87%	Förra månaden	$53.98 ▲ +6.89%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
år	$62.97 ▲ +9.13%	Förra året	$44.88 ▲ +28.57%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 år	$68.11 ▲ +18.05%	5 år sedan	$25.73 ▲ +124.30%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Imorgon$56.42▼ -2.22%

Igår$57.70• -0.00%

Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).

Vecka$58.01▲ +0.54%

Förra veckan$56.57▲ +2.00%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Månad$61.09▲ +5.87%

Förra månaden$53.98▲ +6.89%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

år$62.97▲ +9.13%

Förra året$44.88▲ +28.57%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 år$68.11▲ +18.05%

5 år sedan$25.73▲ +124.30%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Prisdiagram

HistoriskaPrognosHausseBaisse

Teknisk analys

Bullish

Hausse

Neutral

Baisse

Nyckelindikatorer

Indikator	Värde	Signal
RSI 14	90.1	Bullish
MACD	-0.05	Bearish
SMA 50	$57.92	Below
SMA 200	$52.45	Above
EMA 20	$52.09	Above

Historiska data

Open$57.70

Start Date1999-01-01

Day Range$57.10 – $57.93

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.70

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$43.60 – $57.70

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$38.22 – $57.70

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$57.70	Start Date	1999-01-01
Day Range	$57.10 – $57.93	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$50.05 – $57.70	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$43.60 – $57.70	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$38.22 – $57.70	Max Supply	n/a

Stöd- och motståndsnivåer

$59.59R3 — major ceiling

$59.02R2 — swing resistance

$58.45R1 — near-term resistance

$57.70Aktuellt prisXLE

$53.18S1 — near-term supportSupport

$43.98S2 — structure support

$42.35S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $58.45; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $53.18; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.36% daily realized volatility.

Pris Milstolpar

Nyckelnivåer & historiskt sammanhang

Recent$57.70Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$57.93Local High+0.40%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$57.10Local Low-1.04%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$61.09Model 1M+5.88%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$62.97Model 1Y+9.13%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$68.11Model 5Y+18.04%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Prognosnoggrannhet

Hur vår modell har presterat

82%

Riktad

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (1.36% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Vår algoritm omkalibreras varje vecka med den senaste prisåtgärden, volatilitetsregimen och indikatorsignaler. Noggrannheten varierar beroende på tidsram – kortsiktigt momentum är mer tillförlitligt än långsiktiga prognoser.

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investeringsscenarier

Om du investerar $1,000 i XLE idag

Bullish Case

$1180.42

+18.04% from current

Riktpris$68.11

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Sannolikhet35%

Base Case

$1058.75

+5.88% from current

Riktpris$61.09

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Sannolikhet37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Riktpris$53.08

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Sannolikhet28%

Grund: Scenario engine blends live drift (+5.87% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.36% daily).

Korrelationsmatris

30-dagars rullande · hur XLE rör sig med andra tillgångar

	XLE	SPY	QQQ	DIA	XLF	TLT
XLE	1.00	1.00	0.99	0.99	0.98	-0.96
SPY	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.99	0.99	-0.97
QQQ	0.99	1.00	1.00	0.98	0.98	-0.96
DIA	0.99	0.99	0.98	1.00	0.99	-0.96
XLF	0.98	0.99	0.98	0.99	1.00	-0.99
TLT	-0.96	-0.97	-0.96	-0.96	-0.99	1.00

Prognosfaktorer

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 52/100

24H drift-2.22%

7D drift+0.54%

30D drift+5.87%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 69/100

RSI90.5 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 60/100

1M outlook+5.87%

1Y outlook+9.13%

5Y outlook+18.05%

Vanliga frågor

Q What is the XLE forecast for tomorrow?

XLE is projected near $56.42 versus the latest reference around $57.70. That implies a modeled move of -2.22% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLE?

The weekly model points to $58.01, which maps to an expected drift of +0.54% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $61.09 (+5.87%), while the 1-year target is $62.97 (+9.13%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $68.11 with a modeled change of +18.05%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $58.45, while nearest support is around $53.18. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $57.10 to $57.93. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.