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US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: March 18, 2026 at 15:15 UTC

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▲ +0.16%TA Neutral · Focus Rates + macro

Forecast Summary

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Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	4.803% ▼ -1.17%	Yesterday	4.852% ▲ +0.16%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Week	4.768% ▼ -1.89%	Last Week	4.857% ▲ +0.06%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	4.844% ▼ -0.33%	Last Month	4.698% ▲ +3.45%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	4.770% ▼ -1.86%	Last Year	4.579% ▲ +6.14%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	4.793% ▼ -1.38%	5 Years Ago	2.451% ▲ +98.29%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow4.803%▼ -1.17%

Yesterday4.852%▲ +0.16%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

Week4.768%▼ -1.89%

Last Week4.857%▲ +0.06%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month4.844%▼ -0.33%

Last Month4.698%▲ +3.45%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year4.770%▼ -1.86%

Last Year4.579%▲ +6.14%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years4.793%▼ -1.38%

5 Years Ago2.451%▲ +98.29%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	93.7	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	4.831%	Above
SMA 200	4.524%	Above
EMA 20	4.409%	Above

Historical Data

Open4.852%

Start Date1984-11-01

Day Range4.832% – 4.869%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range4.633% – 4.915%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range4.633% – 4.920%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range4.132% – 5.090%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.852%	Start Date	1984-11-01
Day Range	4.832% – 4.869%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	4.633% – 4.915%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	4.633% – 4.920%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	4.132% – 5.090%	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

4.948%R3 — major ceiling

4.921%R2 — swing resistance

4.895%R1 — near-term resistance

4.860%Current PriceUS30Y

4.763%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.617%S2 — structure support

4.471%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.895%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.763%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.75% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent4.860%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.869%Local High+0.19%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.832%Local Low-0.58%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.844%Model 1M-0.33%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.770%Model 1Y-1.85%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.793%Model 5Y-1.38%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

83%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.75% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in US30Y today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price5.443%

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$996.71

-0.33% from current

Target Price4.844%

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price4.471%

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-0.33% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.75% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how US30Y moves with other assets

	US30Y	UK10Y	DE10Y	US10Y	US2Y
US30Y	1.00	-0.96	-0.67	0.57	-0.20
UK10Y	-0.96	1.00	0.75	-0.42	0.28
DE10Y	-0.67	0.75	1.00	0.18	0.82
US10Y	0.57	-0.42	0.18	1.00	0.65
US2Y	-0.20	0.28	0.82	0.65	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 44/100

24H drift-1.17%

7D drift-1.89%

30D drift-0.33%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI93.9 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 48/100

1M outlook-0.33%

1Y outlook-1.86%

5Y outlook-1.38%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the US30Y forecast for tomorrow?

US30Y is projected near 4.803% versus the latest reference around 4.860%. That implies a modeled move of -1.17% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US30Y?

The weekly model points to 4.768%, which maps to an expected drift of -1.89% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.844% (-0.33%), while the 1-year target is 4.770% (-1.86%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of -1.38%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.895%, while nearest support is around 4.763%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.832% to 4.869%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.