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US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: March 18, 2026 at 15:17 UTC

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▲ +0.14%TA Bearish · Focus Rates + macro

Forecast Summary

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Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	3.567% ▼ -1.20%	Yesterday	3.605% ▲ +0.14%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Week	3.505% ▼ -2.92%	Last Week	3.600% ▲ +0.28%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	3.413% ▼ -5.45%	Last Month	3.593% ▲ +0.47%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	3.366% ▼ -6.76%	Last Year	4.195% ▼ -13.95%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	3.279% ▼ -9.18%	5 Years Ago	0.005% ▲ +72100.00%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow3.567%▼ -1.20%

Yesterday3.605%▲ +0.14%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).

Week3.505%▼ -2.92%

Last Week3.600%▲ +0.28%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month3.413%▼ -5.45%

Last Month3.593%▲ +0.47%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year3.366%▼ -6.76%

Last Year4.195%▼ -13.95%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years3.279%▼ -9.18%

5 Years Ago0.005%▲ +72100.00%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	83.8	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	3.550%	Above
SMA 200	3.233%	Above
EMA 20	2.966%	Above

Historical Data

Open3.605%

Start Date1985-01-01

Day Range3.607% – 3.612%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.570% – 3.610%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.507% – 3.793%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.507% – 4.535%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	3.605%	Start Date	1985-01-01
Day Range	3.607% – 3.612%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.570% – 3.610%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.507% – 3.793%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.507% – 4.535%	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

3.646%R3 — major ceiling

3.635%R2 — swing resistance

3.624%R1 — near-term resistance

3.610%Current PriceUS2Y

3.538%S1 — near-term supportSupport

3.430%S2 — structure support

3.321%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 3.624%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 3.538%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.24% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent3.610%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High3.612%Local High+0.06%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low3.607%Local Low-0.08%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target3.413%Model 1M-5.46%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.366%Model 1Y-6.76%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.279%Model 5Y-9.17%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

84%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.24% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

87%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

85%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

82%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

77%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in US2Y today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price4.043%

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$945.43

-5.46% from current

Target Price3.413%

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price3.321%

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability31%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-5.45% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.24% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how US2Y moves with other assets

	US2Y	UK10Y	US30Y	DE10Y	US10Y
US2Y	1.00	-0.96	0.72	-0.65	0.57
UK10Y	-0.96	1.00	-0.75	0.75	-0.42
US30Y	0.72	-0.75	1.00	-0.79	0.28
DE10Y	-0.65	0.75	-0.79	1.00	0.18
US10Y	0.57	-0.42	0.28	0.18	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 37/100

24H drift-1.20%

7D drift-2.92%

30D drift-5.45%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI84.0 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 38/100

1M outlook-5.45%

1Y outlook-6.76%

5Y outlook-9.18%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the US2Y forecast for tomorrow?

US2Y is projected near 3.567% versus the latest reference around 3.610%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US2Y?

The weekly model points to 3.505%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.92% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.413% (-5.45%), while the 1-year target is 3.366% (-6.76%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.279% with a modeled change of -9.18%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.624%, while nearest support is around 3.538%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 3.607% to 3.612%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.