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CBOE Volatility Index Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +6.16%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap$21.27 ▲ +0.34%Tegnap$20.60 ▼ -1.06%Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).
Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).
Hét$21.41 ▲ +1.01%Múlt héten$21.77 ▲ +33.15%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap$22.55 ▲ +6.37%Múlt hónap$14.51 ▼ -41.23%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év$23.28 ▲ +9.80%Tavaly$15.10 ▲ +8.40%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év$24.58 ▲ +15.95%5 évvel ezelőtt$21.46 ▲ +42.12%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap$21.27▲ +0.34%
Tegnap$20.60▼ -1.06%
Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).
Hét$21.41▲ +1.01%
Múlt héten$21.77▲ +33.15%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap$22.55▲ +6.37%
Múlt hónap$14.51▼ -41.23%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év$23.28▲ +9.80%
Tavaly$15.10▲ +8.40%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év$24.58▲ +15.95%
5 évvel ezelőtt$21.46▲ +42.12%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
$25.64$23.53$21.41$19.30$17.181W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Semleges
1
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1464.7 Bullish
MACD0.42 Bullish
SMA 50$16.47 Above
SMA 200$17.41 Above
EMA 20$22.90 Below

Történelmi adatok

Open$20.73
Start Date
Day Range$20.37 – $21.62
Market Cap
Monthly Range$14.49 – $21.77
24h Volume
90D Range$13.47 – $26.42
Circulating
52W Range$13.47 – $52.33
Max Supply
Open$20.73Start Date
Day Range$20.37 – $21.62Market Cap
Monthly Range$14.49 – $21.7724h Volume
90D Range$13.47 – $26.42Circulating
52W Range$13.47 – $52.33Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

$29.54R3 — upper range
$26.37R2 — swing high
$23.98R1 — near-term cap
$21.20Jelenlegi árVIX
$18.42S1 — short-term supportSupport
$16.03S2 — trend support
$12.86S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $23.98; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $18.42; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 8.52%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent$21.20Current
Current reference level.
90D High$26.42Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$13.47Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
76%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
80%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
77%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
69%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a VIX-ba
Bullish Case
$1,295.68
+29.57% from current
Irányár$27.47
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,098.03
+9.80% from current
Irányár$23.28
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$659.24
-34.08% from current
Irányár$13.98
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+1.62% / 30D) and volatility regime (8.52% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a VIX más eszközökkel együtt
VIX
VIX1.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 59/100
24H drift+0.34%
7D drift+1.01%
30D drift+6.37%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI64.6 · Bullish
MACD0.41 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 60/100
1M outlook+6.37%
1Y outlook+9.80%
5Y outlook+15.95%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the CBOE Volatility Index forecast for tomorrow?
CBOE Volatility Index is projected near $21.27 versus the latest reference around $21.20. That implies a modeled move of +0.34% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for CBOE Volatility Index?
The weekly model points to $21.41, which maps to an expected drift of +1.01% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $22.55 (+6.37%), while the 1-year target is $23.28 (+9.80%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $24.58 with a modeled change of +15.95%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $23.98, while nearest support is around $18.42. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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