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Nikkei 225 Előrejelzés: Holnap, Hét, Hónap, 5 év

Frissítve: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +86.45%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Előrejelzési összefoglaló

IdőkeretMegjósolt árElmúltTörténelmiBetekintés
Holnap$58,395.81 ▲ +2.80%Tegnap$56,941.97 ▼ -1.21%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.57%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.57%).
Hét$61,079.25 ▲ +7.52%Múlt héten$54,293.36 ▲ +2.66%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap$65,122.39 ▲ +14.64%Múlt hónap$50,526.92 ▲ +0.30%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év$67,825.01 ▲ +19.40%Tavaly$38,520.09 ▲ +5.48%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év$74,884.73 ▲ +31.82%5 évvel ezelőtt$30,467.75 ▼ -20.90%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Holnap$58,395.81▲ +2.80%
Tegnap$56,941.97▼ -1.21%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.57%).
Hét$61,079.25▲ +7.52%
Múlt héten$54,293.36▲ +2.66%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Hónap$65,122.39▲ +14.64%
Múlt hónap$50,526.92▲ +0.30%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Év$67,825.01▲ +19.40%
Tavaly$38,520.09▲ +5.48%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 év$74,884.73▲ +31.82%
5 évvel ezelőtt$30,467.75▼ -20.90%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Ártáblázat

TörténelmiElőrejelzésBullishMogorva
$63,301.81$61,567.34$59,832.88$58,098.41$56,363.941W AgoNow7D F

Technikai elemzés

EladSemlegesVétel
Bullish
5
Bullish
0
Semleges
0
Mogorva

Kulcsmutatók

IndikátorÉrtékJel
RSI 1472.6 Bullish
MACD248.12 Bullish
SMA 50$52,357.63 Above
SMA 200$45,099.88 Above
EMA 20$29,742.34 Above

Történelmi adatok

Open$57,212.97
Start Date
Day Range$56,748.18 – $57,219.20
Market Cap
Monthly Range$50,339.48 – $57,650.54
24h Volume
90D Range$44,936.73 – $57,650.54
Circulating
52W Range$31,136.58 – $57,650.54
Max Supply
Open$57,212.97Start Date
Day Range$56,748.18 – $57,219.20Market Cap
Monthly Range$50,339.48 – $57,650.5424h Volume
90D Range$44,936.73 – $57,650.54Circulating
52W Range$31,136.58 – $57,650.54Max Supply

Támogatási és ellenállási szintek

$60,925.59R3 — upper range
$59,356.38R2 — swing high
$58,179.47R1 — near-term cap
$56,806.41Jelenlegi árN225
$55,433.35S1 — short-term supportSupport
$54,256.44S2 — trend support
$52,687.23S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $58,179.47; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $55,433.35; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 1.57%.

Ár mérföldkövek

Kulcsszintek és történelmi kontextus
Recent$56,806.41Current
Current reference level.
90D High$57,650.54Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$44,936.73Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Előrejelzés pontossága

Hogyan teljesített a modellünk
75%
Irány
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritmusunkat hetente újrakalibráljuk a legújabb ármozgás, volatilitási rendszer és indikátorjelek felhasználásával. A pontosság időkeretenként változik – a rövid távú lendület megbízhatóbb, mint a hosszú távú előrejelzések.
Tomorrow
79%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
73%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
68%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Befektetési forgatókönyvek

Ha ma befekteti a $1,000-t a N225-ba
Bullish Case
$1,408.88
+40.89% from current
Irányár$80,033.51
ForgatókönyvBreakout continuation
Valószínűség25%
Base Case
$1,193.97
+19.40% from current
Irányár$67,825.01
ForgatókönyvTrend-following baseline
Valószínűség50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Irányár$49,989.64
ForgatókönyvVolatility drawdown
Valószínűség25%
Alap: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.40% / 30D) and volatility regime (1.57% daily).

Korrelációs mátrix

30 napos gördülés · hogyan mozog a N225 más eszközökkel együtt
N225
N2251.00

Előrejelzési tényezők

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 84/100
24H drift+2.80%
7D drift+7.52%
30D drift+14.64%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 92/100
RSI72.1 · Bullish
MACD248.06 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 70/100
1M outlook+14.64%
1Y outlook+19.40%
5Y outlook+31.82%

Gyakran Ismételt Kérdések

Q What is the Nikkei 225 forecast for tomorrow?
Nikkei 225 is projected near $58,395.81 versus the latest reference around $56,806.41. That implies a modeled move of +2.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Nikkei 225?
The weekly model points to $61,079.25, which maps to an expected drift of +7.52% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $65,122.39 (+14.64%), while the 1-year target is $67,825.01 (+19.40%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $74,884.73 with a modeled change of +31.82%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $58,179.47, while nearest support is around $55,433.35. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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