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i Shares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF תַחֲזִית: מָחָר, שָׁבוּעַ, חוֹדֶשׁ, 5 שנים

מְעוּדכָּן: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -39.03%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

סיכום תחזית

מסגרת זמןמחיר חזויעָבָרהִיסטוֹרִיתוֹבָנָה
מָחָר$88.56 -1.27%אֶתמוֹל$89.23 +1.33%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
שָׁבוּעַ$86.65 -3.40%שבוע שעבר$86.54 -2.05%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
חוֹדֶשׁ$83.29 -7.15%חודש שעבר$87.16 -2.17%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
שָׁנָה$85.77 -4.39%אֶשׁתָקַד$87.23 -7.05%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 שנים$83.96 -6.40%לפני 5 שנים$144.87 +66.08%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
מָחָר$88.56 -1.27%
אֶתמוֹל$89.23 +1.33%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
שָׁבוּעַ$86.65 -3.40%
שבוע שעבר$86.54 -2.05%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
חוֹדֶשׁ$83.29 -7.15%
חודש שעבר$87.16 -2.17%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
שָׁנָה$85.77 -4.39%
אֶשׁתָקַד$87.23 -7.05%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 שנים$83.96 -6.40%
לפני 5 שנים$144.87 +66.08%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

טבלת מחירים

הִיסטוֹרִיתַחֲזִיתשורידוּבִּי
$89.66$88.61$87.55$86.50$85.451W AgoNow7D F

ניתוח טכני

מְכִירָהנֵטרָלִילִקְנוֹת
Bullish
4
שורי
0
נֵטרָלִי
1
דוּבִּי

אינדיקטורים מרכזיים

מַדעֵרֶךאוֹת
RSI 1460.5 Bullish
MACD1.80 Bullish
SMA 50$87.78 Above
SMA 200$87.90 Above
EMA 20$141.31 Below

נתונים היסטוריים

Open$89.63
Start Date
Day Range$89.52 – $89.81
Market Cap
Monthly Range$86.54 – $89.72
24h Volume
90D Range$86.54 – $92.06
Circulating
52W Range$83.97 – $92.85
Max Supply
Open$89.63Start Date
Day Range$89.52 – $89.81Market Cap
Monthly Range$86.54 – $89.7224h Volume
90D Range$86.54 – $92.06Circulating
52W Range$83.97 – $92.85Max Supply

רמות תמיכה והתנגדות

$92.19R3 — upper range
$91.24R2 — swing high
$90.53R1 — near-term cap
$89.70מחיר נוכחיTLT
$88.87S1 — short-term supportSupport
$88.16S2 — trend support
$87.21S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $90.53; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $88.87; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.60%.

מחיר אבני דרך

רמות מפתח והקשר היסטורי
Recent$89.70Current
Current reference level.
90D High$92.06Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$86.54Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

דיוק תחזית

איך המודל שלנו התפקד
74%
כִּוּוּנִי
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
האלגוריתם שלנו מכויל מחדש מדי שבוע באמצעות פעולת המחיר העדכנית ביותר, משטר התנודתיות ואינדיקטורים. הדיוק משתנה לפי מסגרת זמן - מומנטום לטווח קצר אמין יותר מאשר תחזיות לטווח ארוך.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

תרחישי השקעות

אם אתה משקיע $1,000 ב-TLT היום
Bullish Case
$1,128.24
+12.82% from current
מחיר יעד$101.20
תַרחִישׁBreakout continuation
הִסתַבְּרוּת25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
מחיר יעד$93.29
תַרחִישׁTrend-following baseline
הִסתַבְּרוּת50%
Bearish Case
$835.64
-16.44% from current
מחיר יעד$74.96
תַרחִישׁVolatility drawdown
הִסתַבְּרוּת25%
בָּסִיס: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.60% daily).

מטריצת מתאם

30 יום מתגלגל · איך TLT נע עם נכסים אחרים
TLT
TLT1.00

גורמי תחזית

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 34/100
24H drift-1.27%
7D drift-3.40%
30D drift-7.15%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI60.7 · Bullish
MACD1.83 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 39/100
1M outlook-7.15%
1Y outlook-4.39%
5Y outlook-6.40%

שאלות נפוצות

Q What is the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF forecast for tomorrow?
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is projected near $88.56 versus the latest reference around $89.70. That implies a modeled move of -1.27% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF?
The weekly model points to $86.65, which maps to an expected drift of -3.40% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.29 (-7.15%), while the 1-year target is $85.77 (-4.39%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.96 with a modeled change of -6.40%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $90.53, while nearest support is around $88.87. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.