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Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

به روز شد: March 15, 2026 at 15:19 UTC
• -0.00%TA صعودی · Focus ماکرو + فنی

خلاصه پیش بینی

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بازه زمانیقیمت پیش بینی شدهگذشتهتاریخیبینش
فردا$56.42 ▼ -2.22%دیروز$57.70 • -0.00%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
هفته$58.01 ▲ +0.54%هفته گذشته$56.57 ▲ +2.00%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
ماه$61.09 ▲ +5.87%ماه گذشته$54.35 ▲ +6.16%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سال$62.97 ▲ +9.13%سال گذشته$44.88 ▲ +28.57%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سال$68.11 ▲ +18.05%5 سال پیش$25.73 ▲ +124.30%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
فردا$56.42▼ -2.22%
دیروز$57.70• -0.00%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
هفته$58.01▲ +0.54%
هفته گذشته$56.57▲ +2.00%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
ماه$61.09▲ +5.87%
ماه گذشته$54.35▲ +6.16%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سال$62.97▲ +9.13%
سال گذشته$44.88▲ +28.57%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سال$68.11▲ +18.05%
5 سال پیش$25.73▲ +124.30%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

نمودار قیمت

تاریخیپیش بینیصعودینزولی
$58.81$58.04$57.27$56.50$55.731W AgoNow7D F

تحلیل فنی

فروشخنثیخرید کنید
Bullish
3
صعودی
0
خنثی
2
نزولی

شاخص های کلیدی

شاخصارزشسیگنال
RSI 1490.1 Bullish
MACD-0.05 Bearish
SMA 50$57.92 Below
SMA 200$52.49 Above
EMA 20$52.11 Above

داده های تاریخی

Open$57.70
Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$57.10 – $57.93
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.70
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.70
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.70
Max Supplyn/a
Open$57.70Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$57.10 – $57.93Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.7024h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.70Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.70Max Supplyn/a

سطوح پشتیبانی و مقاومت

$59.59R3 — major ceiling
$59.02R2 — swing resistance
$58.45R1 — near-term resistance
$57.70قیمت فعلیXLE
$53.18S1 — near-term supportSupport
$43.98S2 — structure support
$42.35S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $58.45; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $53.18; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.36% daily realized volatility.

نقاط عطف قیمت

سطوح کلیدی و بافت تاریخی
Recent$57.70Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$57.93Local High+0.40%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$57.10Local Low-1.04%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$61.09Model 1M+5.88%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$62.97Model 1Y+9.13%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$68.11Model 5Y+18.04%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

دقت پیش بینی

مدل ما چگونه عمل کرده است
82%
جهت دار
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.36% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
الگوریتم ما هر هفته با استفاده از آخرین اقدام قیمت، رژیم نوسانات و سیگنال‌های نشانگر کالیبره می‌شود. دقت در بازه زمانی متفاوت است - حرکت کوتاه مدت قابل اعتمادتر از پیش بینی های بلند مدت است.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

سناریوهای سرمایه گذاری

اگر امروز $1,000 را در XLE سرمایه گذاری کنید
Bullish Case
$1180.42
+18.04% from current
قیمت هدف$68.11
سناریوBreakout continuation
احتمال35%
Base Case
$1058.75
+5.88% from current
قیمت هدف$61.09
سناریوTrend-following baseline
احتمال37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
قیمت هدف$53.08
سناریوVolatility drawdown
احتمال28%
اساس: Scenario engine blends live drift (+5.87% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.36% daily).

ماتریس همبستگی

چرخش 30 روزه · نحوه حرکت XLE با سایر دارایی ها
XLESPYQQQDIAXLFTLT
XLE1.001.000.990.990.98-0.95
SPY1.001.001.000.990.99-0.97
QQQ0.991.001.000.980.98-0.96
DIA0.990.990.981.000.99-0.96
XLF0.980.990.980.991.00-0.99
TLT-0.95-0.97-0.96-0.96-0.991.00

عوامل پیش بینی

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 52/100
24H drift-2.22%
7D drift+0.54%
30D drift+5.87%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI90.5 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 60/100
1M outlook+5.87%
1Y outlook+9.13%
5Y outlook+18.05%

سوالات متداول

Q What is the XLE forecast for tomorrow?
XLE is projected near $56.42 versus the latest reference around $57.70. That implies a modeled move of -2.22% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLE?
The weekly model points to $58.01, which maps to an expected drift of +0.54% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $61.09 (+5.87%), while the 1-year target is $62.97 (+9.13%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $68.11 with a modeled change of +18.05%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $58.45, while nearest support is around $53.18. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $57.10 to $57.93. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.