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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Opdateret: March 13, 2026 at 20:15 UTC
▲ +0.38%TA Neutral · Focus Makro + teknisk

Oversigt over prognose

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TidsrammeForventet prisForbiHistoriskIndsigt
I morgen158.3998 -0.80%I går159.0750 +0.38%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Uge156.6590 -1.89%Sidste uge157.5340 +1.36%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Måned154.9388 -2.97%Sidste måned154.4820 +3.36%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
År153.8938 -3.62%Sidste år148.2790 +7.69%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 år153.6860 -3.75%5 år siden108.5550 +47.09%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
I morgen158.3998 -0.80%
I går159.0750 +0.38%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Uge156.6590 -1.89%
Sidste uge157.5340 +1.36%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Måned154.9388 -2.97%
Sidste måned154.4820 +3.36%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
År153.8938 -3.62%
Sidste år148.2790 +7.69%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 år153.6860 -3.75%
5 år siden108.5550 +47.09%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Prisdiagram

HistoriskVejrudsigtBullishBearish
160.3006158.8638157.4271155.9903154.55351W AgoNow7D F

Teknisk Analyse

SælgeNeutralKøbe
Bullish
4
Bullish
1
Neutral
0
Bearish

Nøgleindikatorer

IndikatorVærdiSignal
RSI 1486.5 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 50157.7139 Above
SMA 200150.8444 Above
EMA 20148.5660 Above

Historiske data

Open159.0750
Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.0010 – 159.6920
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.6770
24h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.6770
Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.6770
Max Supplyn/a
Open159.0750Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.0010 – 159.6920Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.677024h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.6770Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.6770Max Supplyn/a

Support og modstandsniveauer

161.7660R3 — major ceiling
161.1393R2 — swing resistance
160.5126R1 — near-term resistance
159.6770Nuværende prisUSD
152.7010S1 — near-term supportSupport
152.2780S2 — structure support
146.6090S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 160.5126; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 152.7010; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.55% daily realized volatility.

Pris milepæle

Nøgleniveauer og historisk kontekst
Recent159.6770Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High159.6920Local High+0.01%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low159.0010Local Low-0.42%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target154.9388Model 1M-2.97%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target153.8938Model 1Y-3.62%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario153.6860Model 5Y-3.75%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Nøjagtighed

Hvordan vores model har klaret sig
83%
Retningsbestemt
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.55% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Vores algoritme re-kalibreres ugentligt ved hjælp af den seneste prishandling, volatilitetsregime og indikatorsignaler. Nøjagtigheden varierer efter tidsramme - kortsigtet momentum er mere pålideligt end langsigtede fremskrivninger.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investeringsscenarier

Hvis du investerer $1,000 i USD i dag
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Målpris178.8382
ScenarieBreakout continuation
Sandsynlighed32%
Base Case
$970.33
-2.97% from current
Målpris154.9388
ScenarieTrend-following baseline
Sandsynlighed40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Målpris146.9028
ScenarieVolatility drawdown
Sandsynlighed28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.97% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.55% daily).

Korrelationsmatrix

30-dages rullende · hvordan USD bevæger sig med andre aktiver
USDUSDTRYUSDARSUSDPKREURCHFSGDJPY
USD1.000.990.990.98-0.980.98
USDTRY0.991.001.001.00-0.990.98
USDARS0.991.001.001.00-0.990.98
USDPKR0.981.001.001.00-0.990.97
EURCHF-0.98-0.99-0.99-0.991.00-0.98
SGDJPY0.980.980.980.97-0.981.00

Forudsigelsesfaktorer

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.89%
30D drift-2.97%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI86.6 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-2.97%
1Y outlook-3.62%
5Y outlook-3.75%

Ofte stillede spørgsmål

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 158.3998 versus the latest reference around 159.6770. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 156.6590, which maps to an expected drift of -1.89% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 154.9388 (-2.97%), while the 1-year target is 153.8938 (-3.62%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6860 with a modeled change of -3.75%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 160.5126, while nearest support is around 152.7010. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 159.0010 to 159.6920. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.