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Microsoft تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

تم التحديث: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +63.81%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Earnings + trend

ملخص التوقعات

الإطار الزمنيالسعر المتوقعماضيتاريخيةبصيرة
غداً$412.99 ▲ +2.91%أمس$401.84 ▼ -0.63%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
أسبوع$432.74 ▲ +7.83%الأسبوع الماضي$414.19 ▼ -11.93%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر$465.03 ▲ +15.87%الشهر الماضي$483.62 ▼ -4.70%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة$374.70 ▼ -6.63%العام الماضي$409.04 ▼ -2.74%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات$354.34 ▼ -11.71%منذ 5 سنوات$243.70 ▼ -40.42%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
غداً$412.99▲ +2.91%
أمس$401.84▼ -0.63%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
أسبوع$432.74▲ +7.83%
الأسبوع الماضي$414.19▼ -11.93%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر$465.03▲ +15.87%
الشهر الماضي$483.62▼ -4.70%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة$374.70▼ -6.63%
العام الماضي$409.04▼ -2.74%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات$354.34▼ -11.71%
منذ 5 سنوات$243.70▼ -40.42%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

مخطط الأسعار

تاريخيةتنبؤ بالمناخصاعدسبحة
$457.80$441.26$424.72$408.18$391.641W AgoNow7D F

التحليل الفني

يبيعحيادييشتري
Bullish
2
صاعد
2
حيادي
1
سبحة

المؤشرات الرئيسية

مؤشرقيمةإشارة
RSI 1425.4 Bearish
MACD0.67 Bullish
SMA 50$460.94 Mid
SMA 200$487.38 Mid
EMA 20$237.15 Above

البيانات التاريخية

Open$404.45
Start Date
Day Range$398.05 – $405.54
Market Cap
Monthly Range$393.67 – $483.47
24h Volume
90D Range$393.67 – $542.07
Circulating
52W Range$354.56 – $542.07
Max Supply
Open$404.45Start Date
Day Range$398.05 – $405.54Market Cap
Monthly Range$393.67 – $483.4724h Volume
90D Range$393.67 – $542.07Circulating
52W Range$354.56 – $542.07Max Supply

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

$447.63R3 — upper range
$429.99R2 — swing high
$416.76R1 — near-term cap
$401.32السعر الحاليMSFT
$385.88S1 — short-term supportSupport
$372.65S2 — trend support
$355.01S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $416.76; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $385.88; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 2.50%.

معالم الأسعار

المستويات الرئيسية والسياق التاريخي
Recent$401.32Current
Current reference level.
90D High$542.07Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$393.67Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

دقة التنبؤ

كيف أداء نموذجنا
75%
اتجاهي
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
تتم إعادة معايرة الخوارزمية الخاصة بنا أسبوعيًا باستخدام أحدث حركة السعر ونظام التقلب وإشارات المؤشرات. تختلف الدقة حسب الإطار الزمني - فالزخم قصير المدى أكثر موثوقية من التوقعات طويلة المدى.
Tomorrow
79%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
73%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
68%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

إذا استثمرت $1,000 في MSFT اليوم
Bullish Case
$1,101.74
+10.17% from current
السعر المستهدف$442.15
سيناريوBreakout continuation
احتمال25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
السعر المستهدف$417.37
سيناريوTrend-following baseline
احتمال50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
السعر المستهدف$353.16
سيناريوVolatility drawdown
احتمال25%
أساس: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.59% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.50% daily).

مصفوفة الارتباط

متداول لمدة 30 يومًا · كيف يتحرك MSFT مع الأصول الأخرى
MSFT
MSFT1.00

عوامل التنبؤ

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 86/100
24H drift+2.91%
7D drift+7.83%
30D drift+15.87%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 46/100
RSI24.9 · Bearish
MACD0.60 · Bullish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 50/100
1M outlook+15.87%
1Y outlook-6.63%
5Y outlook-11.71%

الأسئلة المتداولة

Q What is the Microsoft forecast for tomorrow?
Microsoft is projected near $412.99 versus the latest reference around $401.32. That implies a modeled move of +2.91% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Microsoft?
The weekly model points to $432.74, which maps to an expected drift of +7.83% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $465.03 (+15.87%), while the 1-year target is $374.70 (-6.63%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $354.34 with a modeled change of -11.71%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $416.76, while nearest support is around $385.88. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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