بيت » الجميع » توقعات الفوركس » EUR/JPY تنبؤ بالمناخ

EUR/JPY تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

تم التحديث: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +42.28%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

ملخص التوقعات

الإطار الزمني	السعر المتوقع	ماضي	تاريخية	بصيرة
غداً	183.3736 ▲ +0.80%	أمس	181.3720 ▼ -0.36%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
أسبوع	185.5567 ▲ +2.00%	الأسبوع الماضي	185.1830 ▲ +1.04%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر	191.0126 ▲ +5.00%	الشهر الماضي	183.7470 ▲ +1.43%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة	194.6313 ▲ +6.99%	العام الماضي	156.8790 ▼ -3.94%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات	202.6741 ▲ +11.41%	منذ 5 سنوات	130.5100 ▼ -16.81%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

غداً183.3736▲ +0.80%

أمس181.3720▼ -0.36%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).

أسبوع185.5567▲ +2.00%

الأسبوع الماضي185.1830▲ +1.04%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

شهر191.0126▲ +5.00%

الشهر الماضي183.7470▲ +1.43%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

سنة194.6313▲ +6.99%

العام الماضي156.8790▼ -3.94%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 سنوات202.6741▲ +11.41%

منذ 5 سنوات130.5100▼ -16.81%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

مخطط الأسعار

تاريخيةتنبؤ بالمناخصاعدسبحة

التحليل الفني

Bearish

صاعد

حيادي

سبحة

المؤشرات الرئيسية

مؤشر	قيمة	إشارة
RSI 14	43.5	Bearish
MACD	-0.50	Bearish
SMA 50	183.5290	Below
SMA 200	175.0727	Above
EMA 20	128.5918	Above

البيانات التاريخية

Open181.0650

Start Date

Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970

Market Cap

Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.2900

24h Volume

90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900

Circulating

52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900

Max Supply

Open	181.0650	Start Date
Day Range	181.0590 – 182.2970	Market Cap
Monthly Range	181.3720 – 186.2900	24h Volume
90D Range	175.5560 – 186.2900	Circulating
52W Range	155.9280 – 186.2900	Max Supply

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

186.2623R3 — upper range

184.6077R2 — swing high

183.3668R1 — near-term cap

181.9190السعر الحاليEUR

180.4712S1 — short-term supportSupport

179.2303S2 — trend support

177.5757S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 183.3668; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 180.4712; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.52%.

معالم الأسعار

المستويات الرئيسية والسياق التاريخي

Recent181.9190Current

Current reference level.

90D High186.2900Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low175.5560Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

دقة التنبؤ

كيف أداء نموذجنا

74%

اتجاهي

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

تتم إعادة معايرة الخوارزمية الخاصة بنا أسبوعيًا باستخدام أحدث حركة السعر ونظام التقلب وإشارات المؤشرات. تختلف الدقة حسب الإطار الزمني - فالزخم قصير المدى أكثر موثوقية من التوقعات طويلة المدى.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

إذا استثمرت $1,000 في EUR اليوم

Bullish Case

$1,262.46

+26.25% from current

السعر المستهدف229.6649

سيناريوBreakout continuation

احتمال25%

Base Case

$1,069.88

+6.99% from current

السعر المستهدف194.6313

سيناريوTrend-following baseline

احتمال50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

السعر المستهدف160.0887

سيناريوVolatility drawdown

احتمال25%

أساس: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.52% daily).

مصفوفة الارتباط

متداول لمدة 30 يومًا · كيف يتحرك EUR مع الأصول الأخرى

	EUR
EUR	1.00

عوامل التنبؤ

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 60/100

24H drift+0.80%

7D drift+2.00%

30D drift+5.00%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 40/100

RSI43.4 · Neutral

MACD-0.52 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 57/100

1M outlook+5.00%

1Y outlook+6.99%

5Y outlook+11.41%

الأسئلة المتداولة

Q What is the EUR/JPY forecast for tomorrow?

EUR/JPY is projected near 183.3736 versus the latest reference around 181.9190. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/JPY?

The weekly model points to 185.5567, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 191.0126 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 194.6313 (+6.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 202.6741 with a modeled change of +11.41%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 183.3668, while nearest support is around 180.4712. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

EUR/JPY تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

ملخص التوقعات

مخطط الأسعار

التحليل الفني

المؤشرات الرئيسية

البيانات التاريخية

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

معالم الأسعار

دقة التنبؤ

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

مصفوفة الارتباط

عوامل التنبؤ

الأسئلة المتداولة

Recommended Forecasts

Stronger Bullish Ideas

Weaker Bearish Ideas