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i Shares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

تم التحديث: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -39.03%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

ملخص التوقعات

الإطار الزمنيالسعر المتوقعماضيتاريخيةبصيرة
غداً$88.56 ▼ -1.27%أمس$89.23 ▲ +1.33%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
أسبوع$86.65 ▼ -3.40%الأسبوع الماضي$86.54 ▼ -2.05%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر$83.29 ▼ -7.15%الشهر الماضي$87.16 ▼ -2.17%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة$85.77 ▼ -4.39%العام الماضي$87.23 ▼ -7.05%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات$83.96 ▼ -6.40%منذ 5 سنوات$144.87 ▲ +66.08%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
غداً$88.56▼ -1.27%
أمس$89.23▲ +1.33%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
أسبوع$86.65▼ -3.40%
الأسبوع الماضي$86.54▼ -2.05%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر$83.29▼ -7.15%
الشهر الماضي$87.16▼ -2.17%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة$85.77▼ -4.39%
العام الماضي$87.23▼ -7.05%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات$83.96▼ -6.40%
منذ 5 سنوات$144.87▲ +66.08%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

مخطط الأسعار

تاريخيةتنبؤ بالمناخصاعدسبحة
$89.66$88.61$87.55$86.50$85.451W AgoNow7D F

التحليل الفني

يبيعحيادييشتري
Bullish
4
صاعد
0
حيادي
1
سبحة

المؤشرات الرئيسية

مؤشرقيمةإشارة
RSI 1460.5 Bullish
MACD1.80 Bullish
SMA 50$87.78 Above
SMA 200$87.90 Above
EMA 20$141.31 Below

البيانات التاريخية

Open$89.63
Start Date
Day Range$89.52 – $89.81
Market Cap
Monthly Range$86.54 – $89.72
24h Volume
90D Range$86.54 – $92.06
Circulating
52W Range$83.97 – $92.85
Max Supply
Open$89.63Start Date
Day Range$89.52 – $89.81Market Cap
Monthly Range$86.54 – $89.7224h Volume
90D Range$86.54 – $92.06Circulating
52W Range$83.97 – $92.85Max Supply

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

$92.19R3 — upper range
$91.24R2 — swing high
$90.53R1 — near-term cap
$89.70السعر الحاليTLT
$88.87S1 — short-term supportSupport
$88.16S2 — trend support
$87.21S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $90.53; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $88.87; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.60%.

معالم الأسعار

المستويات الرئيسية والسياق التاريخي
Recent$89.70Current
Current reference level.
90D High$92.06Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$86.54Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

دقة التنبؤ

كيف أداء نموذجنا
74%
اتجاهي
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
تتم إعادة معايرة الخوارزمية الخاصة بنا أسبوعيًا باستخدام أحدث حركة السعر ونظام التقلب وإشارات المؤشرات. تختلف الدقة حسب الإطار الزمني - فالزخم قصير المدى أكثر موثوقية من التوقعات طويلة المدى.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

إذا استثمرت $1,000 في TLT اليوم
Bullish Case
$1,128.24
+12.82% from current
السعر المستهدف$101.20
سيناريوBreakout continuation
احتمال25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
السعر المستهدف$93.29
سيناريوTrend-following baseline
احتمال50%
Bearish Case
$835.64
-16.44% from current
السعر المستهدف$74.96
سيناريوVolatility drawdown
احتمال25%
أساس: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.60% daily).

مصفوفة الارتباط

متداول لمدة 30 يومًا · كيف يتحرك TLT مع الأصول الأخرى
TLT
TLT1.00

عوامل التنبؤ

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 34/100
24H drift-1.27%
7D drift-3.40%
30D drift-7.15%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI60.7 · Bullish
MACD1.83 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 39/100
1M outlook-7.15%
1Y outlook-4.39%
5Y outlook-6.40%

الأسئلة المتداولة

Q What is the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF forecast for tomorrow?
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is projected near $88.56 versus the latest reference around $89.70. That implies a modeled move of -1.27% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF?
The weekly model points to $86.65, which maps to an expected drift of -3.40% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.29 (-7.15%), while the 1-year target is $85.77 (-4.39%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $83.96 with a modeled change of -6.40%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $90.53, while nearest support is around $88.87. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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