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US2Y Treasury Yield تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

تم التحديث: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▼ -1.42%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

ملخص التوقعات

الإطار الزمني	السعر المتوقع	ماضي	تاريخية	بصيرة
غداً	3.434% ▼ -1.04%	أمس	3.520% ▲ +2.03%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
أسبوع	3.377% ▼ -2.69%	الأسبوع الماضي	3.570% ▼ -0.83%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
شهر	3.281% ▼ -5.43%	الشهر الماضي	3.450% ▼ -4.70%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
سنة	3.334% ▼ -3.92%	العام الماضي	4.290% ▼ -6.74%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 سنوات	3.261% ▼ -6.02%	منذ 5 سنوات	4.600% ▲ +7.23%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

غداً3.434%▼ -1.04%

أمس3.520%▲ +2.03%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).

أسبوع3.377%▼ -2.69%

الأسبوع الماضي3.570%▼ -0.83%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

شهر3.281%▼ -5.43%

الشهر الماضي3.450%▼ -4.70%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

سنة3.334%▼ -3.92%

العام الماضي4.290%▼ -6.74%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 سنوات3.261%▼ -6.02%

منذ 5 سنوات4.600%▲ +7.23%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

مخطط الأسعار

تاريخيةتنبؤ بالمناخصاعدسبحة

التحليل الفني

Bearish

صاعد

حيادي

سبحة

المؤشرات الرئيسية

مؤشر	قيمة	إشارة
RSI 14	36.5	Bearish
MACD	0.12	Bullish
SMA 50	3.516%	Below
SMA 200	3.668%	Below
EMA 20	4.422%	Below

البيانات التاريخية

Open3.520%

Start Date

Day Range3.450% – 3.610%

Market Cap

Monthly Range3.450% – 3.610%

24h Volume

90D Range3.410% – 3.630%

Circulating

52W Range3.410% – 4.360%

Max Supply

Open	3.520%	Start Date
Day Range	3.450% – 3.610%	Market Cap
Monthly Range	3.450% – 3.610%	24h Volume
90D Range	3.410% – 3.630%	Circulating
52W Range	3.410% – 4.360%	Max Supply

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

3.624%R3 — upper range

3.565%R2 — swing high

3.521%R1 — near-term cap

3.470%السعر الحاليUS2Y

3.419%S1 — short-term supportSupport

3.375%S2 — trend support

3.316%S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 3.521%; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 3.419%; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.96%.

معالم الأسعار

المستويات الرئيسية والسياق التاريخي

Recent3.470%Current

Current reference level.

90D High3.630%Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low3.410%Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

دقة التنبؤ

كيف أداء نموذجنا

73%

اتجاهي

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

تتم إعادة معايرة الخوارزمية الخاصة بنا أسبوعيًا باستخدام أحدث حركة السعر ونظام التقلب وإشارات المؤشرات. تختلف الدقة حسب الإطار الزمني - فالزخم قصير المدى أكثر موثوقية من التوقعات طويلة المدى.

Tomorrow

77%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

74%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

71%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

66%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

إذا استثمرت $1,000 في US2Y اليوم

Bullish Case

$1,133.78

+13.38% from current

السعر المستهدف3.934%

سيناريوBreakout continuation

احتمال25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

السعر المستهدف3.609%

سيناريوTrend-following baseline

احتمال50%

Bearish Case

$851.09

-14.89% from current

السعر المستهدف2.953%

سيناريوVolatility drawdown

احتمال25%

أساس: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.02% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.96% daily).

مصفوفة الارتباط

متداول لمدة 30 يومًا · كيف يتحرك US2Y مع الأصول الأخرى

	US2Y
US2Y	1.00

عوامل التنبؤ

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 38/100

24H drift-1.04%

7D drift-2.69%

30D drift-5.43%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 37/100

RSI36.7 · Bearish

MACD0.14 · Bullish

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 41/100

1M outlook-5.43%

1Y outlook-3.92%

5Y outlook-6.02%

الأسئلة المتداولة

Q What is the US 2Y Treasury Yield forecast for tomorrow?

US 2Y Treasury Yield is projected near 3.434% versus the latest reference around 3.470%. That implies a modeled move of -1.04% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US 2Y Treasury Yield?

The weekly model points to 3.377%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.69% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.281% (-5.43%), while the 1-year target is 3.334% (-3.92%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.261% with a modeled change of -6.02%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.521%, while nearest support is around 3.419%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

US2Y Treasury Yield تنبؤ بالمناخ: غداً, أسبوع, شهر, 5 سنوات

ملخص التوقعات

مخطط الأسعار

التحليل الفني

المؤشرات الرئيسية

البيانات التاريخية

مستويات الدعم والمقاومة

معالم الأسعار

دقة التنبؤ

سيناريوهات الاستثمار

مصفوفة الارتباط

عوامل التنبؤ

الأسئلة المتداولة

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