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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

已更新: March 15, 2026 at 19:20 UTC
▲ +0.21%TA 中性的 · Focus 宏观+技术面

预测总结

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大体时间预计价格过去的历史洞察力
明天158.2600 ▼ -0.80%昨天159.2060 ▲ +0.21%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
星期156.5358 ▼ -1.88%上星期157.5340 ▲ +1.27%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月154.8911 ▼ -2.91%上个月152.8210 ▲ +4.39%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年153.8761 ▼ -3.55%去年147.9490 ▲ +7.83%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年153.6813 ▼ -3.67%5年前109.1340 ▲ +46.18%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明天158.2600▼ -0.80%
昨天159.2060▲ +0.21%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
星期156.5358▼ -1.88%
上星期157.5340▲ +1.27%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月154.8911▼ -2.91%
上个月152.8210▲ +4.39%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年153.8761▼ -3.55%
去年147.9490▲ +7.83%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年153.6813▼ -3.67%
5年前109.1340▲ +46.18%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

价格走势图

历史预报看涨看跌
160.1591158.7273157.2955155.8637154.43201W AgoNow7D F

技术分析

卖中性的买
Bullish
4
看涨
1
中性的
0
看跌

关键指标

指标价值信号
RSI 1486.6 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 50157.6605 Above
SMA 200150.6519 Above
EMA 20148.5113 Above

史料

Open159.2060
Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.5050 – 159.7200
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.5360
24h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.5360
Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.5360
Max Supplyn/a
Open159.2060Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.5050 – 159.7200Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.536024h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.5360Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.5360Max Supplyn/a

支撑位和阻力位

161.4278R3 — major ceiling
160.8603R2 — swing resistance
160.2927R1 — near-term resistance
159.5360当前价格USD
152.7010S1 — near-term supportSupport
152.2780S2 — structure support
146.6090S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 160.2927; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 152.7010; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.49% daily realized volatility.

价格里程碑

关键层面和历史背景
Recent159.5360Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High159.7200Local High+0.12%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low159.5050Local Low-0.02%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target154.8911Model 1M-2.91%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target153.8761Model 1Y-3.55%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario153.6813Model 5Y-3.67%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

预测准确度

我们的模型表现如何
83%
定向
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.49% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
我们的算法每周使用最新的价格行为、波动机制和指标信号进行重新校准。准确性因时间范围而异——短期势头比长期预测更可靠。
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投资场景

如果您今天投资 $1,000 于 USD
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
目标价格178.6803
设想Breakout continuation
可能性32%
Base Case
$970.88
-2.91% from current
目标价格154.8911
设想Trend-following baseline
可能性40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目标价格146.7731
设想Volatility drawdown
可能性28%
基础: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.91% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.49% daily).

相关矩阵

30天滚动·USD如何与其他资产一起移动
USDUSDTRYUSDARSUSDPKREURCHFUSDIDR
USD1.000.990.990.98-0.980.97
USDTRY0.991.001.001.00-0.990.98
USDARS0.991.001.001.00-0.990.98
USDPKR0.981.001.001.00-0.990.98
EURCHF-0.98-0.99-0.99-0.991.00-0.99
USDIDR0.970.980.980.98-0.991.00

预测因素

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.88%
30D drift-2.91%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI86.7 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-2.91%
1Y outlook-3.55%
5Y outlook-3.67%

常见问题解答

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 158.2600 versus the latest reference around 159.5360. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 156.5358, which maps to an expected drift of -1.88% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 154.8911 (-2.91%), while the 1-year target is 153.8761 (-3.55%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6813 with a modeled change of -3.67%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 160.2927, while nearest support is around 152.7010. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 159.5050 to 159.7200. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.