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Shopify Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Оновлено: March 10, 2026 at 23:23 UTC

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▼ -3.10%TA Bearish · Focus Earnings + trend

Підсумок прогнозу

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часові рамки	Прогнозована ціна	минуле	Історичний	Інсайт
завтра	$123.56 ▼ -4.48%	вчора	$133.50 ▼ -3.10%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
тиждень	$116.81 ▼ -9.70%	Минулий тиждень	$121.87 ▲ +6.15%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
місяць	$109.19 ▼ -15.59%	Останній місяць	$112.05 ▲ +15.45%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
рік	$101.73 ▼ -21.36%	Минулого року	$92.75 ▲ +39.47%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 років	$89.71 ▼ -30.65%	5 років тому	$114.22 ▲ +13.25%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

завтра$123.56▼ -4.48%

вчора$133.50▼ -3.10%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).

тиждень$116.81▼ -9.70%

Минулий тиждень$121.87▲ +6.15%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

місяць$109.19▼ -15.59%

Останній місяць$112.05▲ +15.45%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

рік$101.73▼ -21.36%

Минулого року$92.75▲ +39.47%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 років$89.71▼ -30.65%

5 років тому$114.22▲ +13.25%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Діаграма цін

ІсторичнийПрогнозбичачийВедмежий

Технічний аналіз

Neutral

бичачий

Нейтральний

Ведмежий

Ключові показники

Індикатор	Значення	Сигнал
RSI 14	59.0	Bullish
MACD	-0.10	Bearish
SMA 50	$122.38	Mid
SMA 200	$117.03	Mid
EMA 20	$117.44	Mid

Історичні дані

Open$133.50

Start Date2015-06-01

Day Range$128.27 – $134.35

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$110.66 – $143.64

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$110.66 – $179.01

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$76.89 – $179.01

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$133.50	Start Date	2015-06-01
Day Range	$128.27 – $134.35	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$110.66 – $143.64	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$110.66 – $179.01	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$76.89 – $179.01	Max Supply	n/a

Рівні підтримки та опору

$182.19R3 — major ceiling

$172.98R2 — swing resistance

$139.10R1 — near-term resistance

$129.36Поточна цінаSHOP

$126.77S1 — near-term supportSupport

$122.89S2 — structure support

$119.01S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $139.10; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $126.77; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 4.69% daily realized volatility.

Цінові віхи

Ключові рівні та історичний контекст

Recent$129.36Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$134.35Local High+3.86%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$128.27Local Low-0.84%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$109.19Model 1M-15.59%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$101.73Model 1Y-21.36%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$89.71Model 5Y-30.65%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Точність прогнозу

Як працює наша модель

79%

Спрямований

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (4.69% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Наш алгоритм щотижня повторно калібрується з використанням останніх цінових дій, режиму волатильності та сигналів індикаторів. Точність залежить від періоду часу — короткостроковий імпульс надійніший, ніж довгострокові прогнози.

Tomorrow

82%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

77%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

72%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±7.7%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Інвестиційні сценарії

Якщо ви інвестуєте $1,000 у SHOP сьогодні

Bullish Case

$1131.28

+13.13% from current

Цільова ціна$146.34

СценарійBreakout continuation

Ймовірність32%

Base Case

$844.08

-15.59% from current

Цільова ціна$109.19

СценарійTrend-following baseline

Ймовірність37%

Bearish Case

$902.98

-9.70% from current

Цільова ціна$116.81

СценарійVolatility drawdown

Ймовірність31%

Основа: Scenario engine blends live drift (-15.59% / 30D) and realized volatility (4.69% daily).

Кореляційна матриця

30-денна зміна · як SHOP рухається з іншими активами

	SHOP	INTC	JNJ	TCEHY	BA	UNH
SHOP	1.00	0.81	0.79	0.77	0.75	-0.74
INTC	0.81	1.00	0.91	0.89	0.93	-0.96
JNJ	0.79	0.91	1.00	0.82	0.88	-0.82
TCEHY	0.77	0.89	0.82	1.00	0.79	-0.88
BA	0.75	0.93	0.88	0.79	1.00	-0.94
UNH	-0.74	-0.96	-0.82	-0.88	-0.94	1.00

Фактори прогнозу

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 8/100

24H drift-4.48%

7D drift-9.70%

30D drift-15.59%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI59.7 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 12/100

1M outlook-15.59%

1Y outlook-21.36%

5Y outlook-30.65%

Часті запитання

Q What is the SHOP forecast for tomorrow?

SHOP is projected near $123.56 versus the latest reference around $129.36. That implies a modeled move of -4.48% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SHOP?

The weekly model points to $116.81, which maps to an expected drift of -9.70% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $109.19 (-15.59%), while the 1-year target is $101.73 (-21.36%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $89.71 with a modeled change of -30.65%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $139.10, while nearest support is around $126.77. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $128.27 to $134.35. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.