Home » All » ETF Forecast » Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecast

Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: March 18, 2026 at 15:06 UTC
▲ +0.19%TA Bullish · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.
TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow$57.21 ▼ -2.41%Yesterday$58.51 ▲ +0.19%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Week$58.01 ▼ -1.03%Last Week$56.98 ▲ +2.88%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$61.24 ▲ +4.47%Last Month$54.35 ▲ +7.86%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$63.14 ▲ +7.72%Last Year$45.67 ▲ +28.36%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$68.37 ▲ +16.63%5 Years Ago$24.76 ▲ +136.71%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow$57.21▼ -2.41%
Yesterday$58.51▲ +0.19%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Week$58.01▼ -1.03%
Last Week$56.98▲ +2.88%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$61.24▲ +4.47%
Last Month$54.35▲ +7.86%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$63.14▲ +7.72%
Last Year$45.67▲ +28.36%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$68.37▲ +16.63%
5 Years Ago$24.76▲ +136.71%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
$58.79$58.22$57.66$57.09$56.521W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Neutral
1
Bullish
3
Neutral
1
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1478.9 Bullish
MACD-0.05 Bearish
SMA 50$58.43 Mid
SMA 200$52.82 Mid
EMA 20$52.30 Mid

Historical Data

Open$58.51
Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$58.52 – $58.93
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$52.21 – $58.62
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.81 – $58.62
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $58.62
Max Supplyn/a
Open$58.51Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$58.52 – $58.93Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$52.21 – $58.6224h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.81 – $58.62Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $58.62Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$60.28R3 — major ceiling
$59.78R2 — swing resistance
$59.28R1 — near-term resistance
$58.62Current PriceXLE
$54.12S1 — near-term supportSupport
$43.99S2 — structure support
$42.35S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $59.28; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $54.12; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.18% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent$58.62Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$58.93Local High+0.53%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$58.52Local Low-0.18%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$61.24Model 1M+4.47%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$63.14Model 1Y+7.71%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$68.37Model 5Y+16.63%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
83%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.18% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in XLE today
Bullish Case
$1166.33
+16.63% from current
Target Price$68.37
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$1044.69
+4.47% from current
Target Price$61.24
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price$53.93
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+4.47% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.18% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how XLE moves with other assets
XLESPYDIAQQQXLFTLT
XLE1.001.000.990.990.99-0.96
SPY1.001.000.991.000.99-0.97
DIA0.990.991.000.970.99-0.96
QQQ0.991.000.971.000.98-0.96
XLF0.990.990.990.981.00-0.99
TLT-0.96-0.97-0.96-0.96-0.991.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 48/100
24H drift-2.41%
7D drift-1.03%
30D drift+4.47%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI79.3 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 58/100
1M outlook+4.47%
1Y outlook+7.72%
5Y outlook+16.63%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the XLE forecast for tomorrow?
XLE is projected near $57.21 versus the latest reference around $58.62. That implies a modeled move of -2.41% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLE?
The weekly model points to $58.01, which maps to an expected drift of -1.03% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $61.24 (+4.47%), while the 1-year target is $63.14 (+7.72%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $68.37 with a modeled change of +16.63%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $59.28, while nearest support is around $54.12. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $58.52 to $58.93. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.