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USD/IDR Forecast: Tomorrow, Week, Month, 5 Years

Updated: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +21.09%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow16,927.8098 ▲ +0.52%Yesterday16,809.0000 ▲ +0.09%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Week17,072.5913 ▲ +1.38%Last Week16,800.0000 ▲ +0.39%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month17,322.3336 ▲ +2.86%Last Month16,683.0000 ▼ -0.02%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year17,530.2240 ▲ +4.10%Last Year16,245.0996 ▲ +3.04%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years17,936.6578 ▲ +6.51%5 Years Ago14,558.0000 ▼ -10.39%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow16,927.8098▲ +0.52%
Yesterday16,809.0000▲ +0.09%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Week17,072.5913▲ +1.38%
Last Week16,800.0000▲ +0.39%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month17,322.3336▲ +2.86%
Last Month16,683.0000▼ -0.02%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year17,530.2240▲ +4.10%
Last Year16,245.0996▲ +3.04%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years17,936.6578▲ +6.51%
5 Years Ago14,558.0000▼ -10.39%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
17302.046917157.704217013.361516869.018816724.67611W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Neutral
1
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1461.4 Bullish
MACD-122.12 Bearish
SMA 5016,759.8120 Above
SMA 20016,507.4959 Above
EMA 2014,141.9900 Above

Historical Data

Open16,835.0000
Start Date
Day Range16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000
Market Cap
Monthly Range16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996
24h Volume
90D Range16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996
Circulating
52W Range15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004
Max Supply
Open16,835.0000Start Date
Day Range16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000Market Cap
Monthly Range16,674.6992 – 16,960.099624h Volume
90D Range16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996Circulating
52W Range15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004Max Supply

Support & Resistance Levels

17,193.6400R3 — upper range
17,058.9200R2 — swing high
16,957.8800R1 — near-term cap
16,840.0000Current PriceUSD
16,722.1200S1 — short-term supportSupport
16,621.0800S2 — trend support
16,486.3600S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 16,957.8800; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 16,722.1200; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.24%.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent16,840.0000Current
Current reference level.
90D High16,960.0996Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low16,150.0000Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
74%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today
Bullish Case
$1,228.36
+22.84% from current
Target Price20,685.6643
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability25%
Base Case
$1,040.99
+4.10% from current
Target Price17,530.2240
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Target Price14,819.2000
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability25%
Basis: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.24% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets
USD
USD1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 56/100
24H drift+0.52%
7D drift+1.38%
30D drift+2.86%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 63/100
RSI61.3 · Bullish
MACD-122.13 · Bearish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook+2.86%
1Y outlook+4.10%
5Y outlook+6.51%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD/IDR forecast for tomorrow?
USD/IDR is projected near 16927.8098 versus the latest reference around 16840.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.52% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/IDR?
The weekly model points to 17072.5913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 17322.3336 (+2.86%), while the 1-year target is 17530.2240 (+4.10%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 17936.6578 with a modeled change of +6.51%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 16,957.8800, while nearest support is around 16,722.1200. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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